NYSE$GRBK

Green Brick Partners Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Green Brick reported record first quarter results with a diluted EPS of $1.82, up 32.8% year-over-year, and a record homebuilding gross margin of 33.4%, up 580 basis points.

Green Brick Partners reported record results for the first quarter of 2024. Diluted earnings per share reached a record $1.82, a 32.8% increase year-over-year. The company delivered 821 homes, generating $443.1 million in home closings revenue. Homebuilding gross margin was a record 33.4%.

  • Diluted EPS was $1.82, a record for any first quarter, up 32.8% year-over-year.
  • Homebuilding gross margin reached a record 33.4%, up 580 basis points.
  • Net new home orders totaled 1,071, flat year-over-year and up 58% sequentially.
  • Backlog increased to $725 million, up 31.8% year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$447M

Previous: $452M-1.0%
EPS

$1.82

Previous: $1.37+32.8%
Net New Home Orders

1.1K

No prior period
Active Selling Communities

98

No prior period
Backlog Value

$725M

No prior period
New Homes Delivered

821

No prior period
Avg Sales Price Delivered

$540K

No prior period
Homebuilding Gross Margin

33.4%

No prior period
SG&A % of Residential Revenue

11.4%

No prior period
Homes Under Construction

2.2K

No prior period
Cancellation Rate

4.1%

Previous: 6.2%-33.9%
Absorption Rate

11.4

No prior period
Backlog Units

1.0K

No prior period
Avg Sales Price Backlog

$711K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$942K

Previous: -$1.58M+40.4%
Free Cash Flow

$82.4M

Previous: $62.6M+31.6%
Net Income

$83.3M

Previous: $64.2M+29.8%
Operating Income

$97.8M

Previous: $78.8M+24.0%
Gross Profit

$148M

Previous: $125M+19.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Green Brick · Revenue · Quarterly

$447M

Q1 2024-1%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Green Brick · $419M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Residential Units
    $416M+4.8%
  • Land and Lots
    $3.06M-72.7%

Forward guidance

The press release contains forward-looking statements regarding the company's expectations, beliefs, projections, plans, and strategies.

Tailwinds

  • Strategic advantages, including focus on infill and infill-adjacent locations, and the impact on future results
  • Positioning to capture future demand and succeed in the current environment, including ability to maintain industry-leading performance and margins
  • Ability to successfully implement growth strategy, including expectations for expansion and growth of Trophy brand within DFW and into Austin and Houston, and ancillary business opportunities
  • Expectations regarding trends in markets, such as demographic trends and demand for single-family homes
  • Strategies to maintain the strength of balance sheet and financial flexibility, and positioning in the industry

Headwinds

  • Changes in macroeconomic conditions, including increased interest rates and inflation that could adversely impact demand for new homes or the ability of potential buyers to qualify
  • General economic conditions, seasonality, cyclicality and competition in the homebuilding industry
  • Shortages, delays or increased costs of raw materials and increased demand for materials, or increases in other operating costs, including costs related to labor, real estate taxes and insurance, which in each case exceed ability to increase prices
  • A shortage of qualified labor
  • Inability to acquire land in current and new markets at anticipated prices or difficulty in obtaining land-use entitlements

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.9%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

34 / 63 earnings

Positive

+47.8%

Q3 2010

Best reaction

-26.5%

Q1 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+4.0%-3.5%-16.8%
Q3 2025+2.8%-1.6%+5.4%
Q1 2025+3.1%+1.9%+0.2%
Q4 2024+5.8%+2.4%-0.2%
Q3 2024-8.6%-7.1%-5.3%
Q2 2024-2.5%-7.4%+5.4%
Q1 2024+1.7%+4.2%+0.9%
Q4 2023-4.3%-9.4%+5.5%
Q3 2023+8.4%+17.3%+24.0%
Q2 2023-9.2%-6.8%-10.8%
Q1 2023+24.6%+36.3%+39.2%
Q4 2022+3.7%+9.7%+13.3%
Q3 2022-11.3%-14.0%+4.0%
Q2 2022+13.7%+8.2%-9.0%
Q1 2022+12.0%+6.7%+20.5%
Q4 2021+3.1%-1.8%-14.8%
Q3 2021-6.5%-2.6%+2.4%
Q2 2021-3.9%-0.9%-1.0%
Q1 2021-11.3%-6.4%-17.0%
Q4 2020+0.3%+8.0%+25.6%
Q3 2020+3.0%+13.7%+29.7%
Q2 2020+6.3%+3.2%+5.2%
Q1 2020+2.1%+3.8%+26.3%
Q4 2019-2.3%-9.6%-39.8%
Q3 2019+4.1%+13.5%+16.6%
Q2 2019+5.5%+4.5%+1.7%
Q1 2019+1.6%+2.6%-2.6%
Q4 2018-3.1%-2.8%+1.4%
Q3 2018-2.0%-7.2%-15.7%
Q2 2018+5.9%+11.2%+7.4%
Q1 2018+2.4%+5.7%+14.4%
Q4 2017-0.9%-3.8%+0.9%
Q3 2017-0.5%+2.8%+1.8%
Q2 2017-6.7%-11.1%-18.2%
Q1 2017+0.5%+6.4%+4.7%
Q4 2016+1.6%+4.9%+9.9%
Q3 2016+4.5%+10.3%+25.2%
Q2 2016+3.9%+3.3%+8.8%
Q1 2016-1.1%
Q4 2015+16.2%
Q3 2015-4.2%
Q2 2015+6.2%
Q1 2015+0.5%
Q4 2014+5.0%
Q3 2014+2.8%
Q2 2014+4.3%
Q1 2014-14.3%
Q4 2013-10.8%
Q3 2013+6.2%
Q2 2013-12.0%
Q1 2013-2.7%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2012-12.3%
Q2 2012-8.4%
Q1 2012-26.5%
Q1 2011-26.5%
Q4 2011+6.9%
Q3 2011+47.8%
Q3 2010+47.8%
Q2 2011-5.3%
Q4 2010-6.0%
Q2 2010-5.9%
Q1 2010-15.4%

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