NYSE$GRBK

Green Brick Partners Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Green Brick Partners, Inc. reported record fourth quarter and full year 2024 results, with significant increases in revenue, EPS, and home closings.

Green Brick Partners, Inc. achieved record results in Q4 2024, with total revenues reaching $567.3 million, diluted EPS of $2.31, and 1,019 new homes delivered. The company also reported a record full-year diluted EPS of $8.45 and total revenues of $2.1 billion, driven by strong homebuilding gross margins and strategic land positions.

  • Record Q4 home closings revenue of $557 million, up 24.2% year-over-year.
  • Diluted EPS of $2.31 for Q4, a record for any fourth quarter, up 46.2% year-over-year.
  • Record full-year homebuilding gross margin of 33.8%, an increase of 290 basis points.
  • Net new home orders increased 29.3% year-over-year to 878 homes in Q4, a record for any fourth quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$567M

Previous: $450M+26.0%
EPS (adj)

$2.31

Previous: $1.58+46.2%
Net New Home Orders

878

Previous: 679+29.3%
Active Selling Communities

106

Previous: 91+16.5%
Backlog Value

$496M

Previous: $555M-10.7%
New Homes Delivered

1.0K

Previous: 825+23.5%
Avg Sales Price Delivered

$547K

Previous: $544K+0.6%
Homebuilding Gross Margin

34.3%

Previous: 31.4%+9.2%
SG&A % of Residential Revenue

10.9%

Previous: 11.4%-4.4%
Homes Under Construction

2.3K

Previous: 2.1K+13.8%
Cancellation Rate

7.8%

Previous: 7.2%+8.3%
Absorption Rate

8.3

Previous: 7.6+9.2%
Backlog Units

668

Previous: 770-13.2%
Avg Sales Price Backlog

$742K

Previous: $721K+3.0%
Total Lots Owned/Contracted

44.3K

Previous: 28.7K+54.3%
Homebuilding Debt-to-Capital

17.2%

No prior period
Net Debt-to-Capital

10.7%

No prior period
Net Income

$104M

Previous: $73M+42.2%
Operating Income

$138M

Previous: $102M+35.6%
Gross Profit

$194M

Previous: $142M+37.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Green Brick · Revenue · Quarterly

$567M

Q4 2024+26%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Green Brick · $419M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Residential Units
    $416M+4.8%
  • Land and Lots
    $3.06M-72.7%

Forward guidance

Green Brick Partners, Inc. is optimistic about the housing market's long-term prospects, supported by demographic tailwinds and persistent housing shortages. The company plans to continue evaluating its land acquisition strategy and share repurchase program.

Tailwinds

  • Strong position for growth with total lots owned and controlled up 31.9% year-over-year.
  • Increased share repurchase authorization to $100 million, indicating confidence in future performance.
  • Optimism on the housing market over the long term due to demographic tailwinds and housing shortages.
  • Strategic focus on desirable infill and infill-adjacent submarkets where supply is more constrained.
  • Ability to maintain industry-leading performance and margins.

Headwinds

  • Potential adverse impact from increasing interest rates and inflation on demand.
  • Risks of shortages, delays, or increased costs of raw materials and labor.
  • Difficulty in obtaining land-use entitlements or acquiring land at anticipated prices.
  • Challenges in recruiting, retaining, or developing highly skilled employees.
  • Adverse changes in the availability or volatility of mortgage financing.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.9%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

34 / 63 earnings

Positive

+47.8%

Q3 2010

Best reaction

-26.5%

Q1 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+4.0%-3.5%-16.8%
Q3 2025+2.8%-1.6%+5.4%
Q1 2025+3.1%+1.9%+0.2%
Q4 2024+5.8%+2.4%-0.2%
Q3 2024-8.6%-7.1%-5.3%
Q2 2024-2.5%-7.4%+5.4%
Q1 2024+1.7%+4.2%+0.9%
Q4 2023-4.3%-9.4%+5.5%
Q3 2023+8.4%+17.3%+24.0%
Q2 2023-9.2%-6.8%-10.8%
Q1 2023+24.6%+36.3%+39.2%
Q4 2022+3.7%+9.7%+13.3%
Q3 2022-11.3%-14.0%+4.0%
Q2 2022+13.7%+8.2%-9.0%
Q1 2022+12.0%+6.7%+20.5%
Q4 2021+3.1%-1.8%-14.8%
Q3 2021-6.5%-2.6%+2.4%
Q2 2021-3.9%-0.9%-1.0%
Q1 2021-11.3%-6.4%-17.0%
Q4 2020+0.3%+8.0%+25.6%
Q3 2020+3.0%+13.7%+29.7%
Q2 2020+6.3%+3.2%+5.2%
Q1 2020+2.1%+3.8%+26.3%
Q4 2019-2.3%-9.6%-39.8%
Q3 2019+4.1%+13.5%+16.6%
Q2 2019+5.5%+4.5%+1.7%
Q1 2019+1.6%+2.6%-2.6%
Q4 2018-3.1%-2.8%+1.4%
Q3 2018-2.0%-7.2%-15.7%
Q2 2018+5.9%+11.2%+7.4%
Q1 2018+2.4%+5.7%+14.4%
Q4 2017-0.9%-3.8%+0.9%
Q3 2017-0.5%+2.8%+1.8%
Q2 2017-6.7%-11.1%-18.2%
Q1 2017+0.5%+6.4%+4.7%
Q4 2016+1.6%+4.9%+9.9%
Q3 2016+4.5%+10.3%+25.2%
Q2 2016+3.9%+3.3%+8.8%
Q1 2016-1.1%
Q4 2015+16.2%
Q3 2015-4.2%
Q2 2015+6.2%
Q1 2015+0.5%
Q4 2014+5.0%
Q3 2014+2.8%
Q2 2014+4.3%
Q1 2014-14.3%
Q4 2013-10.8%
Q3 2013+6.2%
Q2 2013-12.0%
Q1 2013-2.7%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2012-12.3%
Q2 2012-8.4%
Q1 2012-26.5%
Q1 2011-26.5%
Q4 2011+6.9%
Q3 2011+47.8%
Q3 2010+47.8%
Q2 2011-5.3%
Q4 2010-6.0%
Q2 2010-5.9%
Q1 2010-15.4%

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