NYSE$GRBK

Green Brick Partners Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Green Brick delivered record third quarter results with increased EPS, revenues, and net income.

Green Brick Partners reported a record third quarter with a 65.3% increase in diluted EPS to $1.57, a 19.2% increase in total revenues to $407.9 million, and a 51.6% increase in net income attributable to Green Brick Partners to $73.5 million. The company also achieved a record homebuilding gross margin of 32.4%.

  • Diluted EPS increased by 65.3% to $1.57.
  • Net income attributable to Green Brick Partners increased by 51.6% to $73.5 million.
  • Homebuilding gross margin reached a record 32.4%.
  • Total revenues increased by 19.2% to $407.9 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$408M

Previous: $342M+19.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.57

Previous: $0.95+65.3%
New Homes Delivered

650

No prior period
Avg Sales Price Delivered

$607K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$1.35M

Previous: -$1.78M+24.3%
Free Cash Flow

$72.2M

Previous: $46.7M+54.5%
Net Income

$73.5M

Previous: $48.5M+51.6%
Operating Income

$90.5M

Previous: $57.8M+56.4%
Gross Profit

$133M

Previous: $91.3M+46.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$48.2M

Previous: $21.6M+123.6%
Total Assets

$1.66B

Previous: $1.35B+23.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Green Brick · Revenue · Quarterly

$408M

Q3 2022+19.2%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Green Brick · $408M total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Residential Units
    $397M+17.1%
  • Land and Lots
    $11.2M+225.4%

Forward guidance

Green Brick Partners anticipates managing pace versus price decisions effectively, increasing market share, and growing the count of active selling communities.

Tailwinds

  • Flexibility to manage pace versus price decisions.
  • Opportunity to increase market share.
  • Potential to increase active selling communities by 20% to 30%.
  • New communities with favorable land/lot basis.
  • Optionality of pricing aggressively.

Headwinds

  • Challenging market conditions going forward.
  • Peers pulling back.
  • Potential impact of market conditions.
  • Competition in the homebuilding industry.
  • Macroeconomic conditions, including increasing interest rates and inflation.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.9%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

34 / 63 earnings

Positive

+47.8%

Q3 2010

Best reaction

-26.5%

Q1 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2025+4.0%-3.5%-16.8%
Q3 2025+2.8%-1.6%+5.4%
Q1 2025+3.1%+1.9%+0.2%
Q4 2024+5.8%+2.4%-0.2%
Q3 2024-8.6%-7.1%-5.3%
Q2 2024-2.5%-7.4%+5.4%
Q1 2024+1.7%+4.2%+0.9%
Q4 2023-4.3%-9.4%+5.5%
Q3 2023+8.4%+17.3%+24.0%
Q2 2023-9.2%-6.8%-10.8%
Q1 2023+24.6%+36.3%+39.2%
Q4 2022+3.7%+9.7%+13.3%
Q3 2022-11.3%-14.0%+4.0%
Q2 2022+13.7%+8.2%-9.0%
Q1 2022+12.0%+6.7%+20.5%
Q4 2021+3.1%-1.8%-14.8%
Q3 2021-6.5%-2.6%+2.4%
Q2 2021-3.9%-0.9%-1.0%
Q1 2021-11.3%-6.4%-17.0%
Q4 2020+0.3%+8.0%+25.6%
Q3 2020+3.0%+13.7%+29.7%
Q2 2020+6.3%+3.2%+5.2%
Q1 2020+2.1%+3.8%+26.3%
Q4 2019-2.3%-9.6%-39.8%
Q3 2019+4.1%+13.5%+16.6%
Q2 2019+5.5%+4.5%+1.7%
Q1 2019+1.6%+2.6%-2.6%
Q4 2018-3.1%-2.8%+1.4%
Q3 2018-2.0%-7.2%-15.7%
Q2 2018+5.9%+11.2%+7.4%
Q1 2018+2.4%+5.7%+14.4%
Q4 2017-0.9%-3.8%+0.9%
Q3 2017-0.5%+2.8%+1.8%
Q2 2017-6.7%-11.1%-18.2%
Q1 2017+0.5%+6.4%+4.7%
Q4 2016+1.6%+4.9%+9.9%
Q3 2016+4.5%+10.3%+25.2%
Q2 2016+3.9%+3.3%+8.8%
Q1 2016-1.1%
Q4 2015+16.2%
Q3 2015-4.2%
Q2 2015+6.2%
Q1 2015+0.5%
Q4 2014+5.0%
Q3 2014+2.8%
Q2 2014+4.3%
Q1 2014-14.3%
Q4 2013-10.8%
Q3 2013+6.2%
Q2 2013-12.0%
Q1 2013-2.7%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2012-12.3%
Q2 2012-8.4%
Q1 2012-26.5%
Q1 2011-26.5%
Q4 2011+6.9%
Q3 2011+47.8%
Q3 2010+47.8%
Q2 2011-5.3%
Q4 2010-6.0%
Q2 2010-5.9%
Q1 2010-15.4%

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