NYSE$FOR
Forestar Group Inc · Q4 2020 earnings
Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Reported a strong increase in revenue and net income, driven by significant growth in residential lots sold.
Forestar Group Inc. reported a substantial increase in financial performance for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2020. Net income attributable to Forestar increased by 91% to $24.2 million, or $0.50 per diluted share. Revenues increased by 47% to $347.6 million, and residential lots sold surged by 108% to 3,977 lots.
- Net income attributable to Forestar increased 91% to $24.2 million, or $0.50 per diluted share.
- Revenues increased 47% to $347.6 million.
- Residential lots sold increased 108% to 3,977 lots.
- The company expects to deliver between 13,000 and 13,500 lots in fiscal year 2021.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Forestar · Revenue · Quarterly
$348M
Revenue by segment
Forestar · $550M total across 2 segments · Q4 2023
- Residential Lot Sales$486M+39.8%88.3%
- Tract Sales & Other$64.1M+131.4%11.7%
Forward guidance
Forestar expects to deliver between 13,000 and 13,500 lots in fiscal 2021.
Tailwinds
- Housing market conditions remain favorable across the country.
- Forestar is consolidating market share in the fragmented and under-capitalized U.S. lot development industry.
- The company's return-focused business model is centered on a high turnover, lower risk lot manufacturing strategy.
- Forestar is well positioned to effectively operate through changing economic conditions due to its low net leverage and strong liquidity position.
- The company has a strategic relationship with D.R. Horton, the nation’s largest homebuilder.
Headwinds
- The impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and the related widespread reductions in economic activity began to temporarily affect the Company’s business operations and the demand for its residential lots.
- There is significant uncertainty regarding the extent to which and how long C-19 and its related effects will have on the U.S. economy, capital markets and demand for the Company's lots.
- The extent to which C-19 impacts Forestar's operational and financial performance will depend on future developments, including the duration and spread of C-19 and the impact on the Company's customers, trade partners and employees, all of which are highly uncertain and cannot be predicted.
- The cyclical nature of the homebuilding and lot development industries and changes in economic, real estate and other conditions
- Fluctuations in costs and expenses, including impacts from shortages in materials or labor
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020
+0.2%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.4%
Avg return
5 days after
+3.6%
Avg return
30 days after
49%
32 / 65 earnings
Positive
+17.9%
Q4 2017
Best reaction
-15.3%
Q3 2018
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | +0.4% | +6.3% | -1.3% | |
| Q1 2026 | -4.6% | -9.6% | +8.2% | |
| Q4 2025 | +6.6% | -0.2% | -1.0% | |
| Q3 2025 | +0.6% | +1.3% | +1.8% | |
| Q2 2025 | -0.6% | +1.6% | +6.2% | |
| Q1 2025 | -10.1% | -12.4% | -14.0% | |
| Q4 2024 | +0.9% | -1.9% | -5.6% | |
| Q3 2024 | -14.8% | -11.4% | -18.6% | |
| Q2 2024 | -7.5% | -7.9% | +2.4% | |
| Q1 2024 | -8.7% | -6.2% | -6.9% | |
| Q4 2023 | +14.9% | +14.3% | +20.3% | |
| Q3 2023 | +13.1% | +21.6% | +19.9% | |
| Q2 2023 | +10.4% | +17.0% | +31.7% | |
| Q1 2023 | -9.7% | -10.7% | -15.6% | |
| Q4 2022 | +15.9% | +17.2% | +32.0% | |
| Q3 2022 | -6.2% | -6.9% | -11.6% | |
| Q2 2022 | -3.5% | -2.9% | -6.1% | |
| Q1 2022 | +8.8% | +11.7% | +1.9% | |
| Q4 2021 | +3.2% | +2.2% | -2.5% | |
| Q3 2021 | +12.4% | +12.4% | +5.3% | |
| Q2 2021 | -1.1% | -0.5% | -9.8% | |
| Q1 2021 | -1.1% | -1.6% | -3.2% | |
| Q4 2020 | +5.6% | +7.1% | +12.5% | |
| Q3 2020 | +2.7% | +5.4% | +9.1% | |
| Q2 2020 | +0.9% | +13.0% | +24.0% | |
| Q1 2020 | -0.4% | -9.2% | -2.3% | |
| Q4 2019 | +3.2% | +4.0% | +4.9% | |
| Q3 2019 | +3.0% | +6.8% | -5.2% | |
| Q2 2019 | +0.8% | +1.5% | -2.6% | |
| Q4 2018 | -0.4% | +1.6% | +7.6% | |
| Q3 2018 | -15.3% | -16.4% | -20.3% | |
| Q2 2018 | +1.1% | +0.0% | +5.5% | |
| Q1 2018 | -2.2% | -4.8% | +2.8% | |
| Q4 2017 | +17.9% | +11.0% | +6.7% | |
| Q3 2017 | -4.8% | -1.4% | +27.0% | |
| Q2 2017 | -0.9% | -0.9% | +0.3% | |
| Q1 2017 | +0.0% | +0.0% | +14.9% | |
| Q4 2016 | -1.5% | -1.5% | +2.6% | |
| Q3 2016 | +3.5% | +9.7% | +19.8% | |
| Q2 2016 | -2.0% | -2.6% | +2.5% | |
| Q1 2016 | -5.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +10.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -5.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +3.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -5.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +8.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +0.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -5.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -0.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -6.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -4.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +5.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +3.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -10.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +4.0% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -1.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +2.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +5.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +5.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +3.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +3.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -9.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -9.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -9.2% | — | — |
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