NYSE$FOR

Forestar Group Inc · Q1 2025 earnings

Q1 2025 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported first quarter fiscal 2025 results with a decrease in net income and revenues.

Forestar Group Inc. reported a decrease in net income to $16.5 million and revenues to $250.4 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2025. The company sold 2,333 lots and invested $684.4 million in land acquisition and development.

  • Net income totaled $16.5 million or $0.32 per diluted share.
  • Revenues of $250.4 million on 2,333 lots sold.
  • Land acquisition and development investments totaled $684.4 million.
  • Owned and controlled lots of 106,000 at December 31, 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$250M

Previous: $306M-18.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.32

Previous: $0.76-57.9%
Lots Sold

2.3K

Previous: 3.1K-25.9%
Avg Sales Price/Lot

$106K

Previous: $96.4K+9.4%
Total Lots Owned & Controlled

99.8K

No prior period
Owned Lots Under Contract

23.8K

No prior period
Owned Lots

65.1K

No prior period
Controlled Lots Under Contract

34.7K

No prior period
Owned Fully Developed Lots

8.9K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$0.00

Previous: -$200K+100.0%
Net Income

$16.5M

Previous: $38.2M-56.8%
Operating Income

$21.9M

Previous: $44.9M-51.2%
Gross Profit

$55M

Previous: $72.9M-24.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.6M

Previous: $900K+188.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Forestar · Revenue · Quarterly

$250M

Q1 2025-18.1%vs Q1 2024
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Forestar · $550M total across 2 segments · Q4 2023

  • Residential Lot Sales
    $486M+39.8%
  • Tract Sales & Other
    $64.1M+131.4%

Forward guidance

Forestar expects lot deliveries to increase over the remaining three quarters of fiscal 2025. They anticipate delivering between 16,000 and 16,500 lots, generating $1.6 billion to $1.65 billion of revenue, and plan to invest approximately $2.0 billion in land acquisition and development.

Tailwinds

  • Expects lot deliveries to increase over the remaining three quarters
  • Anticipates delivering between 16,000 and 16,500 lots
  • Generating $1.6 billion to $1.65 billion of revenue
  • Plan to invest approximately $2.0 billion in land acquisition and development
  • Strong balance sheet and liquidity give flexibility to adapt to market conditions

Headwinds

  • First quarter is expected to be the lowest delivery quarter
  • Net income for the first quarter of fiscal 2025 decreased 57%
  • Pre-tax income for the quarter decreased 57%
  • Revenues totaled $250.4 million in the first quarter compared to $305.9 million in the same quarter of fiscal 2024.
  • Lots sold during the first quarter decreased 26%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2025

Historical avgQ1 2025

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.6%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

32 / 65 earnings

Positive

+17.9%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-15.3%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+0.4%+6.3%-1.3%
Q1 2026-4.6%-9.6%+8.2%
Q4 2025+6.6%-0.2%-1.0%
Q3 2025+0.6%+1.3%+1.8%
Q2 2025-0.6%+1.6%+6.2%
Q1 2025-10.1%-12.4%-14.0%
Q4 2024+0.9%-1.9%-5.6%
Q3 2024-14.8%-11.4%-18.6%
Q2 2024-7.5%-7.9%+2.4%
Q1 2024-8.7%-6.2%-6.9%
Q4 2023+14.9%+14.3%+20.3%
Q3 2023+13.1%+21.6%+19.9%
Q2 2023+10.4%+17.0%+31.7%
Q1 2023-9.7%-10.7%-15.6%
Q4 2022+15.9%+17.2%+32.0%
Q3 2022-6.2%-6.9%-11.6%
Q2 2022-3.5%-2.9%-6.1%
Q1 2022+8.8%+11.7%+1.9%
Q4 2021+3.2%+2.2%-2.5%
Q3 2021+12.4%+12.4%+5.3%
Q2 2021-1.1%-0.5%-9.8%
Q1 2021-1.1%-1.6%-3.2%
Q4 2020+5.6%+7.1%+12.5%
Q3 2020+2.7%+5.4%+9.1%
Q2 2020+0.9%+13.0%+24.0%
Q1 2020-0.4%-9.2%-2.3%
Q4 2019+3.2%+4.0%+4.9%
Q3 2019+3.0%+6.8%-5.2%
Q2 2019+0.8%+1.5%-2.6%
Q4 2018-0.4%+1.6%+7.6%
Q3 2018-15.3%-16.4%-20.3%
Q2 2018+1.1%+0.0%+5.5%
Q1 2018-2.2%-4.8%+2.8%
Q4 2017+17.9%+11.0%+6.7%
Q3 2017-4.8%-1.4%+27.0%
Q2 2017-0.9%-0.9%+0.3%
Q1 2017+0.0%+0.0%+14.9%
Q4 2016-1.5%-1.5%+2.6%
Q3 2016+3.5%+9.7%+19.8%
Q2 2016-2.0%-2.6%+2.5%
Q1 2016-5.9%
Q4 2015+10.0%
Q3 2015-5.8%
Q2 2015+3.0%
Q1 2015-5.8%
Q4 2014+8.3%
Q3 2014+0.5%
Q2 2014+0.0%
Q1 2014-5.9%
Q4 2013-0.5%
Q3 2013-6.3%
Q2 2013-4.9%
Q1 2013+5.0%
Q4 2012+3.7%
Q3 2012-10.0%
Q2 2012+4.0%
Q1 2011-1.1%
Q1 2012+2.3%
Q4 2009+5.4%
Q4 2011+5.4%
Q3 2010+3.5%
Q3 2011+3.5%
Q2 2010-9.2%
Q2 2011-9.2%
Q4 2010-9.2%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro