NYSE$CAG

ConAgra Foods Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a mixed Q4 2023 with sales increase offset by operating margin and EPS decreases.

Conagra Brands reported a 2.2% increase in net sales and a decrease in diluted EPS of 75.8% to $0.08 for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2023. The increase in net sales was driven by a 9.9% improvement in price/mix, which was partially offset by a 7.7% decrease in volume. The company is providing fiscal 2024 guidance that includes organic net sales growth of approximately 1% and adjusted operating margin between 16% and 16.5%.

  • Reported and organic net sales increased 2.2%.
  • Operating margin decreased 544 basis points to 1.9%; adjusted operating margin decreased 39 basis points to 14.6%.
  • Diluted earnings per share (EPS) decreased 75.8% to $0.08, and adjusted EPS decreased 4.6% to $0.62.
  • The company gained share in snacking categories including meat snacks and seeds, and some staples categories including canned pasta and Asian sauces and marinades.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.97B

Previous: $2.91B+2.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.62

Previous: $0.65-4.6%
Capital Expenditures

$94.8M

Previous: $100M-5.4%
Free Cash Flow

$633M

Previous: $713M-11.2%
Net Income

$37M

Previous: $159M-76.7%
Operating Income

$57M

Previous: $215M-73.5%
Gross Profit

$783M

Previous: $713M+9.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$558M

Previous: $180M+210.0%
Total Assets

$22.2B

Previous: $19.9B+11.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$10.4M

Previous: -$700K+1585.7%

Revenue & EPS history

ConAgra · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.97B

Q4 2023+2.2%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ConAgra · $554M total across 2 segments · Q4 2023

  • Foodservice
    $303M+5.6%
  • International
    $251M+8.7%

Forward guidance

The company is providing the following guidance for fiscal 2024: Organic net sales growth is expected to be approximately 1% compared to fiscal 2023, Adjusted operating margin is expected to be between 16% and 16.5%, Adjusted EPS is expected to be between $2.70 and $2.75.

Tailwinds

  • Organic net sales growth is expected to be approximately 1% compared to fiscal 2023
  • Adjusted operating margin is expected to be between 16% and 16.5%
  • Adjusted EPS is expected to be between $2.70 and $2.75
  • Capital expenditures of approximately $500M
  • Adjusted effective tax rate of approximately 24%

Headwinds

  • Cost of goods sold inflation to continue into fiscal 2024.
  • Net inflation (input cost inflation including the impacts of hedging and other sourcing benefits) to be roughly 3%.
  • Inability to predict the amount and timing of the impacts of foreign exchange.
  • Inability to predict the amount and timing of acquisitions.
  • Inability to predict the amount and timing of divestitures.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.0%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

36 / 72 earnings

Positive

+20.7%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-23.9%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-0.1%-6.2%
Q2 2026-2.6%-4.0%-4.7%
Q1 2026+5.5%+2.2%-6.1%
Q4 2025-1.3%-6.2%-6.8%
Q3 2025+1.5%-5.3%-9.6%
Q2 2025-0.9%+1.0%-5.7%
Q1 2025-10.3%-11.1%-11.5%
Q4 2024-1.6%+0.6%+4.7%
Q3 2024+7.0%+7.6%+5.3%
Q2 2024-3.7%+0.1%+0.6%
Q1 2024-0.5%+3.8%+4.8%
Q4 2023-0.2%-2.4%-5.2%
Q3 2023+2.1%-0.0%+0.6%
Q2 2023+6.0%+4.6%-5.7%
Q1 2023-2.8%+0.3%+6.4%
Q4 2022-5.6%-6.4%-3.8%
Q3 2022+0.5%+2.2%+3.6%
Q2 2022+1.8%-0.5%+1.7%
Q1 2022-2.2%-3.1%-5.5%
Q4 2021-5.7%-3.0%-6.5%
Q3 2021-2.8%-0.1%+1.9%
Q2 2021-4.6%-7.9%-3.1%
Q1 2021+3.3%+3.2%-1.7%
Q4 2020+5.8%+5.1%+10.9%
Q3 2020+5.4%+10.6%+18.5%
Q2 2020+20.7%+17.2%+14.7%
Q1 2020+1.3%-1.4%-10.0%
Q4 2019-8.3%-7.8%+0.8%
Q3 2019+15.5%+18.4%+33.3%
Q2 2019-23.9%-27.9%-25.9%
Q1 2019-5.8%-7.3%-1.8%
Q4 2018-6.3%-8.4%-2.5%
Q3 2018+0.5%+2.7%+3.1%
Q2 2018-0.2%+0.2%-1.0%
Q1 2018+1.2%+0.2%+1.0%
Q4 2017-4.3%-5.0%-8.4%
Q3 2017-0.0%-0.7%+0.4%
Q2 2017+4.7%+4.9%+3.0%
Q1 2017+9.2%+10.1%+11.5%
Q4 2016+1.7%+0.3%-1.8%
Q3 2016+1.6%
Q2 2016+3.5%
Q1 2016-6.8%
Q4 2015+2.7%
Q3 2015+5.2%
Q2 2015-0.6%
Q1 2015+5.0%
Q4 2014+3.1%
Q3 2014+1.6%
Q2 2014+5.5%
Q1 2014-3.3%
Q4 2013+4.7%
Q3 2013-2.5%
Q2 2013-0.6%
Q1 2013+7.3%
Q4 2012+3.0%
Q3 2012+1.1%
Q2 2012-1.2%
Q1 2012-1.4%
Q4 2008+0.6%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2011-0.1%
Q2 2011+0.3%
Q1 2011+0.3%
Q4 2010+1.1%
Q3 2010-0.1%
Q3 2009-0.1%
Q2 2010+0.1%
Q1 2010-0.5%
Q4 2009-0.5%
Q1 2009-0.5%
Q2 2009-0.5%

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