NASDAQ$TW

Tradeweb Markets Inc. · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Tradeweb reported a strong fourth quarter and full-year financial results, driven by diversification and increased electronic trading adoption.

Tradeweb Markets Inc. reported a strong fourth quarter with a 10.5% increase in revenues to $197.3 million and a 95.4% increase in net income to $57.3 million. The company achieved record quarterly ADV in US high-grade and high-yield credit and record market share for US high-grade TRACE volume. Full-year ADV and revenues also reached record levels.

  • Average daily volume (ADV) of $684.6 billion for the quarter increased 16.3%.
  • Revenues of $197.3 million increased 10.5%.
  • Net income of $57.3 million for the quarter compared to $29.3 million for the prior year period.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin of 46.9% for the quarter compared to 36.6% for the prior year period.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$197M

Previous: $179M+10.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.26

Previous: $0.13+100.0%
Average Daily Volume

$685B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$7.21M

Previous: $9.09M-20.6%
Free Cash Flow

$113M

Previous: $103M+9.5%
Net Income

$57.3M

Previous: $29.3M+95.5%
Operating Income

$54.3M

Previous: $31.9M+70.1%
Gross Profit

$121M

Previous: $98.2M+23.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$461M

Previous: $410M+12.3%
Total Assets

$5.1B

Previous: $5B+2.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.73M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Tradeweb · Revenue · Quarterly

$197M

Q4 2019+10.5%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 11 of 11 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Tradeweb · $197M total across 6 segments · Q4 2019

  • Rates
    $108M—
  • Credit
    $43.5M—
  • Market Data
    $19.4M—
  • Equities
    $11.7M—
  • Money Markets
    $10M—
  • Other
    $5.17M—

Forward guidance

Tradeweb provided full-year 2020 guidance, including adjusted expenses of $495 - $510 million, an assumed non-GAAP tax rate of 22.0%, capital expenditures and capitalization of software of $45 - $50 million, and acquisition and Refinitiv Transaction related depreciation and amortization expense of $110 million.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted expenses of $495 - $510 million
  • Includes approximately $5 million of new investments, primarily in data strategy and cybersecurity
  • Includes approximately $3 million of duplicative rent expense
  • Assumed non-GAAP tax rate of 22.0%
  • Capital expenditures and capitalization of software of $45 - $50 million

Headwinds

  • GAAP operating expenses and tax rate guidance are not provided due to the inherent difficulty in quantifying certain amounts due to a variety of factors including the unpredictability in the movement of foreign currency rates.
  • Unpredictability in the movement of foreign currency rates
  • Potential impacts from new investments in data strategy and cybersecurity
  • Duplicative rent expense
  • Factors that impact acquisition and Refinitiv Transaction related depreciation and amortization.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.8%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

18 / 30 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-8.5%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025———
Q1 2026+5.2%+0.1%-10.9%
Q4 2025+8.6%+15.8%+23.6%
Q3 2025-1.2%-0.6%+3.2%
Q1 2025+0.7%+5.0%+5.1%
Q4 2024-1.4%-0.6%+6.4%
Q3 2024-3.4%-3.3%+3.1%
Q2 2024-1.2%+1.9%+8.6%
Q1 2024-1.1%-1.2%+9.0%
Q4 2023+2.1%+5.2%+6.4%
Q3 2023+5.2%+7.9%+14.4%
Q2 2023+10.8%+9.0%+14.3%
Q1 2023+1.0%+1.2%-1.0%
Q4 2022-4.8%-1.2%-1.4%
Q3 2022+3.6%+3.6%+8.2%
Q2 2022+0.7%+3.2%-4.3%
Q1 2022-8.5%-11.4%-11.4%
Q4 2021-0.1%+1.0%+4.0%
Q3 2021+2.3%+5.0%+10.2%
Q2 2021-0.5%+0.4%+2.1%
Q1 2021+2.2%+2.3%+5.4%
Q4 2020+1.0%+5.1%+11.7%
Q3 2020-6.5%-5.7%+0.1%
Q2 2020-1.0%-0.7%+4.6%
Q1 2020+8.8%+9.9%+16.3%
Q4 2019+2.5%+7.1%-6.0%
Q4 2018+3.4%+4.5%+9.5%
Q3 2018+3.4%+4.5%+9.5%
Q3 2019+5.2%+6.1%+11.9%
Q2 2019-1.4%-0.8%-8.4%
Q1 2019+0.4%+2.2%-0.6%
Q2 2018———
Q1 2018———
Q4 2017———
Q1 2016———
Q4 2015———
Q3 2015———
Q2 2015———
Q1 2015———
Q4 2014———
Q3 2014———
Q2 2014———
Q1 2014———
Q4 2013———
Q3 2013———
Q2 2013———
Q1 2013———

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