NASDAQ$TW

Tradeweb Markets Inc. · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Tradeweb reported a strong fourth quarter and full-year financial results, driven by diversification and increased electronic trading adoption.

Tradeweb Markets Inc. reported a strong fourth quarter with a 10.5% increase in revenues to $197.3 million and a 95.4% increase in net income to $57.3 million. The company achieved record quarterly ADV in US high-grade and high-yield credit and record market share for US high-grade TRACE volume. Full-year ADV and revenues also reached record levels.

  • Average daily volume (ADV) of $684.6 billion for the quarter increased 16.3%.
  • Revenues of $197.3 million increased 10.5%.
  • Net income of $57.3 million for the quarter compared to $29.3 million for the prior year period.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin of 46.9% for the quarter compared to 36.6% for the prior year period.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$197M

Previous: $179M+10.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.26

Previous: $0.13+100.0%
Average Daily Volume

$685B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$7.21M

Previous: $9.09M-20.6%
Free Cash Flow

$113M

Previous: $103M+9.5%
Net Income

$57.3M

Previous: $29.3M+95.5%
Operating Income

$54.3M

Previous: $31.9M+70.1%
Gross Profit

$121M

Previous: $98.2M+23.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$461M

Previous: $410M+12.3%
Total Assets

$5.1B

Previous: $5B+2.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.73M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Tradeweb · Revenue · Quarterly

$197M

Q4 2019+10.5%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 11 of 11 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Tradeweb · $197M total across 6 segments · Q4 2019

  • Rates
    $108M
  • Credit
    $43.5M
  • Market Data
    $19.4M
  • Equities
    $11.7M
  • Money Markets
    $10M
  • Other
    $5.17M

Forward guidance

Tradeweb provided full-year 2020 guidance, including adjusted expenses of $495 - $510 million, an assumed non-GAAP tax rate of 22.0%, capital expenditures and capitalization of software of $45 - $50 million, and acquisition and Refinitiv Transaction related depreciation and amortization expense of $110 million.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted expenses of $495 - $510 million
  • Includes approximately $5 million of new investments, primarily in data strategy and cybersecurity
  • Includes approximately $3 million of duplicative rent expense
  • Assumed non-GAAP tax rate of 22.0%
  • Capital expenditures and capitalization of software of $45 - $50 million

Headwinds

  • GAAP operating expenses and tax rate guidance are not provided due to the inherent difficulty in quantifying certain amounts due to a variety of factors including the unpredictability in the movement of foreign currency rates.
  • Unpredictability in the movement of foreign currency rates
  • Potential impacts from new investments in data strategy and cybersecurity
  • Duplicative rent expense
  • Factors that impact acquisition and Refinitiv Transaction related depreciation and amortization.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.8%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

18 / 30 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-8.5%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.2%+0.1%-10.9%
Q4 2025+8.6%+15.8%+23.6%
Q3 2025-1.2%-0.6%+3.2%
Q1 2025+0.7%+5.0%+5.1%
Q4 2024-1.4%-0.6%+6.4%
Q3 2024-3.4%-3.3%+3.1%
Q2 2024-1.2%+1.9%+8.6%
Q1 2024-1.1%-1.2%+9.0%
Q4 2023+2.1%+5.2%+6.4%
Q3 2023+5.2%+7.9%+14.4%
Q2 2023+10.8%+9.0%+14.3%
Q1 2023+1.0%+1.2%-1.0%
Q4 2022-4.8%-1.2%-1.4%
Q3 2022+3.6%+3.6%+8.2%
Q2 2022+0.7%+3.2%-4.3%
Q1 2022-8.5%-11.4%-11.4%
Q4 2021-0.1%+1.0%+4.0%
Q3 2021+2.3%+5.0%+10.2%
Q2 2021-0.5%+0.4%+2.1%
Q1 2021+2.2%+2.3%+5.4%
Q4 2020+1.0%+5.1%+11.7%
Q3 2020-6.5%-5.7%+0.1%
Q2 2020-1.0%-0.7%+4.6%
Q1 2020+8.8%+9.9%+16.3%
Q4 2019+2.5%+7.1%-6.0%
Q4 2018+3.4%+4.5%+9.5%
Q3 2018+3.4%+4.5%+9.5%
Q3 2019+5.2%+6.1%+11.9%
Q2 2019-1.4%-0.8%-8.4%
Q1 2019+0.4%+2.2%-0.6%
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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