NASDAQ$TW

Tradeweb Markets Inc. · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Tradeweb reported strong financial results for Q4 2020, marked by record average daily volumes and revenue growth across various asset classes.

Tradeweb Markets Inc. reported an 18.1% increase in quarterly gross revenues, reaching $233.1 million. The company also saw a 30.9% increase in record average daily volume (ADV) for the quarter, driven by growth in U.S. High Yield bonds, Chinese bonds, and Repos. Net income was $66.4 million, and adjusted net income was $80.5 million, representing increases of 16.0% and 33.1%, respectively.

  • Quarterly gross revenues increased by 18.1% year over year, reaching $233.1 million.
  • Record average daily volume (ADV) for the quarter increased by 30.9% year over year, totaling $897.9 billion.
  • Net income increased by 16.0% to $66.4 million, and adjusted net income increased by 33.1% to $80.5 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin was 49.2%, resulting in $114.6 million adjusted EBITDA for the quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$233M

Previous: $197M+18.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.34

Previous: $0.26+30.8%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

49.2%

No prior period
Average Daily Volume

$898B

Previous: $685B+31.2%
Adjusted EBITDA

$115M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$5.01M

Previous: $7.21M-30.6%
Free Cash Flow

$135M

Previous: $113M+18.9%
Net Income

$66.4M

Previous: $57.3M+16.0%
Operating Income

$71.6M

Previous: $54.3M+31.8%
Gross Profit

$147M

Previous: $121M+21.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$791M

Previous: $461M+71.8%
Total Assets

$5.68B

Previous: $5.1B+11.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$11.2M

Previous: $8.73M+28.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Tradeweb · Revenue · Quarterly

$233M

Q4 2020+18.1%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 11 quarters(91%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Tradeweb · $233M total across 6 segments · Q4 2020

  • Rates
    $122M+13.2%
  • Credit
    $59.3M+36.1%
  • Market Data
    $20.9M+7.8%
  • Equities
    $15M+28.7%
  • Money Markets
    $10.4M+3.5%
  • Other
    $5.87M+13.4%

Forward guidance

Tradeweb provided full-year 2021 guidance, including adjusted expenses, acquisition and Refinitiv Transaction related depreciation and amortization expense, assumed non-GAAP tax rate, and capital expenditures and capitalization of software development.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted Expenses: $530 - $560 million
  • Acquisition and Refinitiv Transaction related depreciation and amortization expense: $120 million
  • Assumed non-GAAP tax rate: 22.0%
  • Capital expenditures and capitalization of software development: $45 - $50 million
  • Volumes off to a strong start

Headwinds

  • Non-GAAP adjusted expense guidance does not include any expenses tied to our recently announced acquisition of Nasdaq’s U.S. fixed income electronic trading platform.
  • GAAP operating expenses and tax rate guidance are not provided due to the inherent difficulty in quantifying certain amounts due to a variety of factors including the unpredictability in the movement of foreign currency rates.
  • The potential impacts of COVID-19 remain inherently uncertain
  • General market conditions
  • Prevailing price and trading volumes of our Class A common stock

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.8%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

18 / 30 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-8.5%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.2%+0.1%-10.9%
Q4 2025+8.6%+15.8%+23.6%
Q3 2025-1.2%-0.6%+3.2%
Q1 2025+0.7%+5.0%+5.1%
Q4 2024-1.4%-0.6%+6.4%
Q3 2024-3.4%-3.3%+3.1%
Q2 2024-1.2%+1.9%+8.6%
Q1 2024-1.1%-1.2%+9.0%
Q4 2023+2.1%+5.2%+6.4%
Q3 2023+5.2%+7.9%+14.4%
Q2 2023+10.8%+9.0%+14.3%
Q1 2023+1.0%+1.2%-1.0%
Q4 2022-4.8%-1.2%-1.4%
Q3 2022+3.6%+3.6%+8.2%
Q2 2022+0.7%+3.2%-4.3%
Q1 2022-8.5%-11.4%-11.4%
Q4 2021-0.1%+1.0%+4.0%
Q3 2021+2.3%+5.0%+10.2%
Q2 2021-0.5%+0.4%+2.1%
Q1 2021+2.2%+2.3%+5.4%
Q4 2020+1.0%+5.1%+11.7%
Q3 2020-6.5%-5.7%+0.1%
Q2 2020-1.0%-0.7%+4.6%
Q1 2020+8.8%+9.9%+16.3%
Q4 2019+2.5%+7.1%-6.0%
Q4 2018+3.4%+4.5%+9.5%
Q3 2018+3.4%+4.5%+9.5%
Q3 2019+5.2%+6.1%+11.9%
Q2 2019-1.4%-0.8%-8.4%
Q1 2019+0.4%+2.2%-0.6%
Q2 2018
Q1 2018
Q4 2017
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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