NASDAQ$TW

Tradeweb Markets Inc. · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Tradeweb reported strong financial results for Q4 2020, marked by record average daily volumes and revenue growth across various asset classes.

Tradeweb Markets Inc. reported an 18.1% increase in quarterly gross revenues, reaching $233.1 million. The company also saw a 30.9% increase in record average daily volume (ADV) for the quarter, driven by growth in U.S. High Yield bonds, Chinese bonds, and Repos. Net income was $66.4 million, and adjusted net income was $80.5 million, representing increases of 16.0% and 33.1%, respectively.

  • Quarterly gross revenues increased by 18.1% year over year, reaching $233.1 million.
  • Record average daily volume (ADV) for the quarter increased by 30.9% year over year, totaling $897.9 billion.
  • Net income increased by 16.0% to $66.4 million, and adjusted net income increased by 33.1% to $80.5 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin was 49.2%, resulting in $114.6 million adjusted EBITDA for the quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$233M

Previous: $197M+18.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.34

Previous: $0.26+30.8%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

49.2%

No prior period
Average Daily Volume

$898B

Previous: $685B+31.2%
Adjusted EBITDA

$115M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$5.01M

Previous: $7.21M-30.6%
Free Cash Flow

$135M

Previous: $113M+18.9%
Net Income

$66.4M

Previous: $57.3M+16.0%
Operating Income

$71.6M

Previous: $54.3M+31.8%
Gross Profit

$147M

Previous: $121M+21.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$791M

Previous: $461M+71.8%
Total Assets

$5.68B

Previous: $5.1B+11.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$11.2M

Previous: $8.73M+28.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Tradeweb · Revenue · Quarterly

$233M

Q4 2020+18.1%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 10 of 11 quarters(91%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Tradeweb · $233M total across 6 segments · Q4 2020

  • Rates
    $122M+13.2%
  • Credit
    $59.3M+36.1%
  • Market Data
    $20.9M+7.8%
  • Equities
    $15M+28.7%
  • Money Markets
    $10.4M+3.5%
  • Other
    $5.87M+13.4%

Forward guidance

Tradeweb provided full-year 2021 guidance, including adjusted expenses, acquisition and Refinitiv Transaction related depreciation and amortization expense, assumed non-GAAP tax rate, and capital expenditures and capitalization of software development.

Tailwinds

  • Adjusted Expenses: $530 - $560 million
  • Acquisition and Refinitiv Transaction related depreciation and amortization expense: $120 million
  • Assumed non-GAAP tax rate: 22.0%
  • Capital expenditures and capitalization of software development: $45 - $50 million
  • Volumes off to a strong start

Headwinds

  • Non-GAAP adjusted expense guidance does not include any expenses tied to our recently announced acquisition of Nasdaq’s U.S. fixed income electronic trading platform.
  • GAAP operating expenses and tax rate guidance are not provided due to the inherent difficulty in quantifying certain amounts due to a variety of factors including the unpredictability in the movement of foreign currency rates.
  • The potential impacts of COVID-19 remain inherently uncertain
  • General market conditions
  • Prevailing price and trading volumes of our Class A common stock

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.8%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

18 / 30 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-8.5%

Q1 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025———
Q1 2026+5.2%+0.1%-10.9%
Q4 2025+8.6%+15.8%+23.6%
Q3 2025-1.2%-0.6%+3.2%
Q1 2025+0.7%+5.0%+5.1%
Q4 2024-1.4%-0.6%+6.4%
Q3 2024-3.4%-3.3%+3.1%
Q2 2024-1.2%+1.9%+8.6%
Q1 2024-1.1%-1.2%+9.0%
Q4 2023+2.1%+5.2%+6.4%
Q3 2023+5.2%+7.9%+14.4%
Q2 2023+10.8%+9.0%+14.3%
Q1 2023+1.0%+1.2%-1.0%
Q4 2022-4.8%-1.2%-1.4%
Q3 2022+3.6%+3.6%+8.2%
Q2 2022+0.7%+3.2%-4.3%
Q1 2022-8.5%-11.4%-11.4%
Q4 2021-0.1%+1.0%+4.0%
Q3 2021+2.3%+5.0%+10.2%
Q2 2021-0.5%+0.4%+2.1%
Q1 2021+2.2%+2.3%+5.4%
Q4 2020+1.0%+5.1%+11.7%
Q3 2020-6.5%-5.7%+0.1%
Q2 2020-1.0%-0.7%+4.6%
Q1 2020+8.8%+9.9%+16.3%
Q4 2019+2.5%+7.1%-6.0%
Q4 2018+3.4%+4.5%+9.5%
Q3 2018+3.4%+4.5%+9.5%
Q3 2019+5.2%+6.1%+11.9%
Q2 2019-1.4%-0.8%-8.4%
Q1 2019+0.4%+2.2%-0.6%
Q2 2018———
Q1 2018———
Q4 2017———
Q1 2016———
Q4 2015———
Q3 2015———
Q2 2015———
Q1 2015———
Q4 2014———
Q3 2014———
Q2 2014———
Q1 2014———
Q4 2013———
Q3 2013———
Q2 2013———
Q1 2013———

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