NASDAQ$RUN

Sunrun Inc. · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Sunrun reported Q4 2022 financial results, with significant expansion in Net Subscriber Value reaching the highest level in the company's history and over 25% year-over-year growth in Solar Energy Capacity Installed.

Sunrun reported strong Q4 2022 results, highlighted by a record Net Subscriber Value of $16,569 and over 25% year-over-year growth in Solar Energy Capacity Installed. The company's annual recurring revenue now exceeds $1 billion. Management expects Solar Energy Capacity Installed growth to be in a range of 10% to 15% for the full year 2023.

  • Net Subscriber Value expanded significantly to $16,569, reaching the highest level in Sunrun’s history.
  • Over 25% year-over-year growth in Solar Energy Capacity Installed for both Q4 and for full year 2022.
  • Customer interest at record-setting levels entering 2023 with January early-funnel sales activities growing over 30% year-over-year, with even higher growth in California.
  • Annual Recurring Revenue now over $1 billion with Average Contract Life Remaining of 17.6 years.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$609M

Previous: $435M+40.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.29

Previous: -$0.19+252.6%
Total customers

797.3K

Previous: 660.3K+20.7%
Subscriber additions

27.5K

No prior period
Solar capacity installed (MW)

275.4

No prior period
Net subscriber value

$16.6K

No prior period
Networked solar capacity (MW)

5.7K

Previous: 4.7K+21.2%
Capital Expenditures

$7.38M

Previous: -$3.06M+341.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$312M

Previous: -$278M-12.1%
Net Income

$63M

Previous: -$321M+119.6%
Operating Income

-$189M

Previous: -$208M+9.0%
Gross Profit

$54.4M

Previous: $40M+35.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$741M

Previous: $618M+19.9%
Total Assets

$19.3B

Previous: $16.5B+16.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$21.9M

Previous: $50.2M-56.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Sunrun · Revenue · Quarterly

$609M

Q4 2022+40%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Sunrun · $609M total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • Energy systems & sales
    $367M+56.4%
  • Customer agreements
    $242M+20.8%

Forward guidance

Management expects Solar Energy Capacity Installed growth to be in a range of 10% to 15% for the full year 2023. Management currently sees more upside opportunity than downside risk to achieving growth in this range and anticipates market share gains in 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

24 / 45 earnings

Positive

+22.0%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-35.0%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.7%+7.5%-0.7%
Q4 2025-35.0%-40.4%-38.3%
Q3 2025-16.0%-4.8%-13.9%
Q1 2025+15.0%+61.0%+15.2%
Q4 2024-8.3%-12.8%-24.9%
Q3 2024-14.0%-18.2%-11.1%
Q2 2024+10.8%+8.2%+16.5%
Q1 2024+5.3%-2.2%+14.2%
Q4 2023-19.6%-28.4%-28.6%
Q3 2023+8.3%+6.6%+48.6%
Q2 2023+0.3%-8.4%-17.4%
Q1 2023-13.0%-11.5%-3.8%
Q4 2022-1.4%-2.5%-24.9%
Q3 2022+13.9%+2.5%+42.5%
Q2 2022+2.0%+9.4%+0.6%
Q1 2022+8.9%-8.1%+16.7%
Q4 2021-12.4%-15.1%+25.4%
Q3 2021-3.6%-4.0%-31.5%
Q2 2021-8.4%-6.3%-13.8%
Q1 2021+7.7%-6.0%-2.5%
Q4 2020+0.0%+2.8%-8.7%
Q3 2020+6.9%-0.8%+6.9%
Q2 2020-7.9%-0.8%+20.1%
Q1 2020+4.2%+9.9%+41.1%
Q4 2019-7.5%-6.7%-51.1%
Q3 2019-4.6%+1.9%-1.8%
Q2 2019+0.1%-14.5%-19.7%
Q1 2019-7.3%-14.6%-2.4%
Q4 2018+2.4%-0.1%-9.8%
Q3 2018-2.9%-4.1%+7.6%
Q2 2018-7.0%-7.9%-14.2%
Q1 2018+22.0%+15.5%+34.6%
Q4 2017-6.1%-0.7%+38.1%
Q3 2017+6.5%+3.6%-2.2%
Q2 2017-3.0%-6.2%-2.8%
Q1 2017+2.0%+0.1%+10.4%
Q4 2016-0.6%-5.9%+1.3%
Q3 2016+6.7%+2.5%+22.1%
Q2 2016+19.3%+16.7%+16.1%
Q1 2015+3.3%
Q1 2016+3.8%
Q4 2015-4.4%
Q3 2015+4.6%
Q4 2014+0.5%
Q2 2015+1.0%
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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