NASDAQ$RUN

Sunrun Inc. · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Sunrun's financial performance declined slightly due to decreased megawatts deployed, but the company is optimistic about future growth and the acquisition of Vivint Solar.

Sunrun reported a decrease in revenue and megawatts deployed compared to the previous year, but customer agreements revenue increased. The company is focused on cost structure improvements and expanding its customer base through the acquisition of Vivint Solar. They also announced new virtual power plant contracts and a venture for home electrification.

  • Sunrun's customer base reached 309,000, a 21% increase year-over-year.
  • The company entered into an agreement to acquire Vivint Solar to expand customer reach and improve scale efficiencies.
  • Sunrun announced partnerships to build virtual power plants and provide backup power solutions.
  • Megawatts Deployed were 78 MW, a 24% year-over-year decline.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$181M

Previous: $205M-11.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.11

Previous: -$0.01-1000.0%
Total customers

309.0K

Previous: 255.0K+21.2%
Networked solar capacity (MW)

2.2K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$2.34M

Previous: -$14M+83.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$15.9M

Previous: -$15.2M-4.3%
Net Income

-$13.6M

Previous: -$1.29M-948.9%
Operating Income

-$83.5M

Previous: -$62.8M-32.9%
Gross Profit

$181M

Previous: $205M-11.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$270M

Previous: $300M-10.0%
Total Assets

$6.01B

Previous: $5.21B+15.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Sunrun · Revenue · Quarterly

$181M

Q2 2020-11.4%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 5 of 16 quarters(31%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Sunrun · $181M total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • Customer agreements
    $106M+14.8%
  • Energy systems & sales
    $75.2M-33.0%

Forward guidance

Sunrun expects to grow Megawatts Deployed by over 20% sequentially in the third quarter, at improving Unlevered NPV levels. They expect Unlevered NPV to increase to above $8,000 per leased customer in the fourth quarter. Management also expects to maintain a strong total cash balance and grow Net Earning Assets in full-year 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Megawatts Deployed expected to grow by over 20% sequentially in Q3
  • Unlevered NPV levels are improving.
  • Unlevered NPV expected to increase to above $8,000 per leased customer in Q4.
  • Strong total cash balance expected to be maintained.
  • Net Earning Assets expected to grow in full-year 2020.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

24 / 45 earnings

Positive

+22.0%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-35.0%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.7%+7.5%-0.7%
Q4 2025-35.0%-40.4%-38.3%
Q3 2025-16.0%-4.8%-13.9%
Q1 2025+15.0%+61.0%+15.2%
Q4 2024-8.3%-12.8%-24.9%
Q3 2024-14.0%-18.2%-11.1%
Q2 2024+10.8%+8.2%+16.5%
Q1 2024+5.3%-2.2%+14.2%
Q4 2023-19.6%-28.4%-28.6%
Q3 2023+8.3%+6.6%+48.6%
Q2 2023+0.3%-8.4%-17.4%
Q1 2023-13.0%-11.5%-3.8%
Q4 2022-1.4%-2.5%-24.9%
Q3 2022+13.9%+2.5%+42.5%
Q2 2022+2.0%+9.4%+0.6%
Q1 2022+8.9%-8.1%+16.7%
Q4 2021-12.4%-15.1%+25.4%
Q3 2021-3.6%-4.0%-31.5%
Q2 2021-8.4%-6.3%-13.8%
Q1 2021+7.7%-6.0%-2.5%
Q4 2020+0.0%+2.8%-8.7%
Q3 2020+6.9%-0.8%+6.9%
Q2 2020-7.9%-0.8%+20.1%
Q1 2020+4.2%+9.9%+41.1%
Q4 2019-7.5%-6.7%-51.1%
Q3 2019-4.6%+1.9%-1.8%
Q2 2019+0.1%-14.5%-19.7%
Q1 2019-7.3%-14.6%-2.4%
Q4 2018+2.4%-0.1%-9.8%
Q3 2018-2.9%-4.1%+7.6%
Q2 2018-7.0%-7.9%-14.2%
Q1 2018+22.0%+15.5%+34.6%
Q4 2017-6.1%-0.7%+38.1%
Q3 2017+6.5%+3.6%-2.2%
Q2 2017-3.0%-6.2%-2.8%
Q1 2017+2.0%+0.1%+10.4%
Q4 2016-0.6%-5.9%+1.3%
Q3 2016+6.7%+2.5%+22.1%
Q2 2016+19.3%+16.7%+16.1%
Q1 2015+3.3%
Q1 2016+3.8%
Q4 2015-4.4%
Q3 2015+4.6%
Q4 2014+0.5%
Q2 2015+1.0%
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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