NASDAQ$RUN
Sunrun Inc. · Q3 2023 earnings
Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Sunrun's focus sharpened on cash generation, transitioning to a storage-first company, and lowering full-year growth guidance for Solar Capacity Installed.
Sunrun reported Q3 2023 financial results, highlighting a focus on cash generation and a transition to a storage-first company. Storage attachment rates surged to 33%, and the company installed 258.2 Megawatts of Solar Energy Capacity. Full-year growth guidance for Solar Capacity Installed was lowered.
- Storage attachment rates reached over 33% in Q3, nearly double the rate in Q2.
- Launched a premium storage-add-on offering in California.
- Completed a record-setting $715 million securitization of residential solar and battery systems.
- PG&E Grid Services program provided nearly 30 Megawatts to the grid.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Sunrun · Revenue · Quarterly
$563M
Revenue by segment
Sunrun · $563M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023
- Customer agreements$317M+16.7%56.2%
- Energy systems & sales$247M-31.6%43.8%
Forward guidance
Sunrun is sharpening its focus on cash generation and continues to execute a customer-first, sustainable growth strategy that does not require equity funding. Storage Capacity Installed is expected to be in a range of 180 to 200 Megawatt hours in Q4. Solar Energy Capacity Installed is expected to be in a range of 220 to 245 megawatts in Q4. Net Subscriber Value is expected to be stable in Q4.
Tailwinds
- Increasing installations of storage systems provide increased margins and value creation opportunities.
- Launching battery retrofit offerings.
- Meaningful hardware cost deflation tailwinds are expected.
- Forthcoming ITC adder value is expected to provide material uplift to Net Subscriber Values in 2024.
- Focus on delivering meaningful Cash Generation faster.
Headwinds
- Presents near-term impacts as operations shift.
- Lowering full-year growth guidance for Solar Capacity Installed.
- Fixed cost absorption pressures offset many benefits from higher storage mix in Q4.
- Strategy prioritizes storage over volume growth.
- Transitioning to a storage-first company requires adjustments.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023
-0.7%
Avg return
Earnings day
-2.1%
Avg return
5 days after
+1.4%
Avg return
30 days after
53%
24 / 45 earnings
Positive
+22.0%
Q1 2018
Best reaction
-35.0%
Q4 2025
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -4.7% | +7.5% | -0.7% | |
| Q4 2025 | -35.0% | -40.4% | -38.3% | |
| Q3 2025 | -16.0% | -4.8% | -13.9% | |
| Q1 2025 | +15.0% | +61.0% | +15.2% | |
| Q4 2024 | -8.3% | -12.8% | -24.9% | |
| Q3 2024 | -14.0% | -18.2% | -11.1% | |
| Q2 2024 | +10.8% | +8.2% | +16.5% | |
| Q1 2024 | +5.3% | -2.2% | +14.2% | |
| Q4 2023 | -19.6% | -28.4% | -28.6% | |
| Q3 2023 | +8.3% | +6.6% | +48.6% | |
| Q2 2023 | +0.3% | -8.4% | -17.4% | |
| Q1 2023 | -13.0% | -11.5% | -3.8% | |
| Q4 2022 | -1.4% | -2.5% | -24.9% | |
| Q3 2022 | +13.9% | +2.5% | +42.5% | |
| Q2 2022 | +2.0% | +9.4% | +0.6% | |
| Q1 2022 | +8.9% | -8.1% | +16.7% | |
| Q4 2021 | -12.4% | -15.1% | +25.4% | |
| Q3 2021 | -3.6% | -4.0% | -31.5% | |
| Q2 2021 | -8.4% | -6.3% | -13.8% | |
| Q1 2021 | +7.7% | -6.0% | -2.5% | |
| Q4 2020 | +0.0% | +2.8% | -8.7% | |
| Q3 2020 | +6.9% | -0.8% | +6.9% | |
| Q2 2020 | -7.9% | -0.8% | +20.1% | |
| Q1 2020 | +4.2% | +9.9% | +41.1% | |
| Q4 2019 | -7.5% | -6.7% | -51.1% | |
| Q3 2019 | -4.6% | +1.9% | -1.8% | |
| Q2 2019 | +0.1% | -14.5% | -19.7% | |
| Q1 2019 | -7.3% | -14.6% | -2.4% | |
| Q4 2018 | +2.4% | -0.1% | -9.8% | |
| Q3 2018 | -2.9% | -4.1% | +7.6% | |
| Q2 2018 | -7.0% | -7.9% | -14.2% | |
| Q1 2018 | +22.0% | +15.5% | +34.6% | |
| Q4 2017 | -6.1% | -0.7% | +38.1% | |
| Q3 2017 | +6.5% | +3.6% | -2.2% | |
| Q2 2017 | -3.0% | -6.2% | -2.8% | |
| Q1 2017 | +2.0% | +0.1% | +10.4% | |
| Q4 2016 | -0.6% | -5.9% | +1.3% | |
| Q3 2016 | +6.7% | +2.5% | +22.1% | |
| Q2 2016 | +19.3% | +16.7% | +16.1% | |
| Q1 2015 | +3.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2016 | +3.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -4.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +4.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +1.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | — | — | — |
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