NASDAQ$RUN

Sunrun Inc. · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Sunrun reported strong Q1 2023 financial results with solar energy capacity installed exceeding guidance and sales activities growing year-over-year.

Sunrun's Q1 2023 saw accelerated demand for clean energy, driven by their subscription offering and market presence. The company installed 240 MW of solar capacity, exceeding guidance, and is on track to add over 1 GW this year. They are also focused on operational efficiency and cost discipline, aiming for meaningful cash generation.

  • Solar Energy Capacity Installed of 240 Megawatts, exceeding the high-end of guidance
  • Net Subscriber Value of $12,000, exceeding guidance
  • Sales activities growing over 30% year-over-year in Q1, with over 80% growth in California
  • Launched Sunrun Shift™ offering in California, sales activities increasing significantly in recent weeks

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$590M

Previous: $496M+19.0%
EPS (adj)

-$1.12

Previous: -$0.42-166.7%
Total customers

829.7K

Previous: 689.8K+20.3%
Networked solar capacity (MW)

5.9K

Previous: 4.9K+20.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$4M

Previous: -$6.47M+38.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$244M

Previous: -$94.2M-159.3%
Net Income

-$240M

Previous: -$87.8M-173.9%
Operating Income

-$228M

Previous: -$181M-25.5%
Gross Profit

$32.9M

Previous: $44.2M-25.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$629M

Previous: $629M-0.1%
Total Assets

$19.7B

Previous: $17.3B+14.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$28.3M

Previous: $39.2M-27.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Sunrun · Revenue · Quarterly

$590M

Q1 2023+19%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Sunrun · $590M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Energy systems & sales
    $343M+20.0%
  • Customer agreements
    $246M+17.5%

Forward guidance

Management expects Solar Energy Capacity Installed growth to be in a range of 10% to 15% for the full year 2023. Management expects Solar Energy Capacity Installed growth to be in a range of 270 to 290 Megawatts in the second quarter of 2023. Net Subscriber Value is expected to increase sequentially in the second quarter and to be materially higher in the second half of 2023 compared to the first half of 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Expects Solar Energy Capacity Installed growth to be in a range of 10% to 15% for the full year 2023.
  • Anticipates market share gains in 2023.
  • Expects Solar Energy Capacity Installed growth to be in a range of 270 to 290 Megawatts in the second quarter of 2023.
  • Net Subscriber Value is expected to increase sequentially in the second quarter
  • Net Subscriber Value is expected to be materially higher in the second half of 2023 compared to the first half of 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

24 / 45 earnings

Positive

+22.0%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-35.0%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.7%+7.5%-0.7%
Q4 2025-35.0%-40.4%-38.3%
Q3 2025-16.0%-4.8%-13.9%
Q1 2025+15.0%+61.0%+15.2%
Q4 2024-8.3%-12.8%-24.9%
Q3 2024-14.0%-18.2%-11.1%
Q2 2024+10.8%+8.2%+16.5%
Q1 2024+5.3%-2.2%+14.2%
Q4 2023-19.6%-28.4%-28.6%
Q3 2023+8.3%+6.6%+48.6%
Q2 2023+0.3%-8.4%-17.4%
Q1 2023-13.0%-11.5%-3.8%
Q4 2022-1.4%-2.5%-24.9%
Q3 2022+13.9%+2.5%+42.5%
Q2 2022+2.0%+9.4%+0.6%
Q1 2022+8.9%-8.1%+16.7%
Q4 2021-12.4%-15.1%+25.4%
Q3 2021-3.6%-4.0%-31.5%
Q2 2021-8.4%-6.3%-13.8%
Q1 2021+7.7%-6.0%-2.5%
Q4 2020+0.0%+2.8%-8.7%
Q3 2020+6.9%-0.8%+6.9%
Q2 2020-7.9%-0.8%+20.1%
Q1 2020+4.2%+9.9%+41.1%
Q4 2019-7.5%-6.7%-51.1%
Q3 2019-4.6%+1.9%-1.8%
Q2 2019+0.1%-14.5%-19.7%
Q1 2019-7.3%-14.6%-2.4%
Q4 2018+2.4%-0.1%-9.8%
Q3 2018-2.9%-4.1%+7.6%
Q2 2018-7.0%-7.9%-14.2%
Q1 2018+22.0%+15.5%+34.6%
Q4 2017-6.1%-0.7%+38.1%
Q3 2017+6.5%+3.6%-2.2%
Q2 2017-3.0%-6.2%-2.8%
Q1 2017+2.0%+0.1%+10.4%
Q4 2016-0.6%-5.9%+1.3%
Q3 2016+6.7%+2.5%+22.1%
Q2 2016+19.3%+16.7%+16.1%
Q1 2015+3.3%
Q1 2016+3.8%
Q4 2015-4.4%
Q3 2015+4.6%
Q4 2014+0.5%
Q2 2015+1.0%
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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