NASDAQ$RUN

Sunrun Inc. · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Sunrun's Q3 2021 financial results were released, demonstrating significant growth in customer base and improved customer margins amidst a dynamic supply chain environment.

Sunrun reported a strong Q3 2021 with customer additions of 30,698, bringing the total to 630,441. The company's networked solar energy capacity reached 4.5 Gigawatts. Total revenue was $438.8 million, a 109% increase year-over-year, with a net income of $24.1 million, or $0.11 per diluted share.

  • Customer additions reached 30,698 in Q3, bringing the total customer count to 630,441.
  • Net Subscriber Value was $7,605 in Q3, an increase of $2,031 from Q2.
  • Annual Recurring Revenue reached $787 million with an average contract life remaining of 17.3 years.
  • Networked Solar Energy Capacity reached 4.5 Gigawatts.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$439M

Previous: $210M+109.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.11

Previous: $0.28-60.7%
Total customers

630.4K

Previous: 326.0K+93.4%
Networked solar capacity (MW)

4.5K

Previous: 109+3989.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$11.6M

Previous: -$2.38M-388.3%
Free Cash Flow

$12.5M

Previous: $35.1M-64.4%
Net Income

$24.1M

Previous: $37.4M-35.6%
Operating Income

-$138M

Previous: -$62.2M-121.8%
Gross Profit

$427K

Previous: $202K+111.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$718M

Previous: $276M+159.9%
Total Assets

$16.1B

Previous: $6.31B+155.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$39.3M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Sunrun · Revenue · Quarterly

$439M

Q3 2021+109.2%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Sunrun · $439M total across 2 segments · Q3 2021

  • Customer agreements
    $232M+102.5%
  • Energy systems & sales
    $207M+117.2%

Forward guidance

Sunrun anticipates Solar Energy Capacity Installed growth to be 30% for the full-year 2021. Total Value Generated is expected to be around $700 million for the full-year 2021. Cost synergies from the Vivint Solar acquisition are expected to be approximately $120 million in run-rate synergies by the end of 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Strong growth in customer base.
  • Improved customer margins.
  • Continued innovation and differentiated customer offerings.
  • Strong performance in channel business with record volume.
  • Momentum and scale in the new homes business.

Headwinds

  • Slightly higher material and logistics costs.
  • Lower mix of margin-accretive battery installations than previously forecasted.
  • Dynamic supply chain environment.
  • Battery supply and logistical constraints have lowered expected battery volumes in the near-term.
  • Severe weather events continue to uncover vulnerabilities in the electric grid.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

24 / 45 earnings

Positive

+22.0%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-35.0%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.7%+7.5%-0.7%
Q4 2025-35.0%-40.4%-38.3%
Q3 2025-16.0%-4.8%-13.9%
Q1 2025+15.0%+61.0%+15.2%
Q4 2024-8.3%-12.8%-24.9%
Q3 2024-14.0%-18.2%-11.1%
Q2 2024+10.8%+8.2%+16.5%
Q1 2024+5.3%-2.2%+14.2%
Q4 2023-19.6%-28.4%-28.6%
Q3 2023+8.3%+6.6%+48.6%
Q2 2023+0.3%-8.4%-17.4%
Q1 2023-13.0%-11.5%-3.8%
Q4 2022-1.4%-2.5%-24.9%
Q3 2022+13.9%+2.5%+42.5%
Q2 2022+2.0%+9.4%+0.6%
Q1 2022+8.9%-8.1%+16.7%
Q4 2021-12.4%-15.1%+25.4%
Q3 2021-3.6%-4.0%-31.5%
Q2 2021-8.4%-6.3%-13.8%
Q1 2021+7.7%-6.0%-2.5%
Q4 2020+0.0%+2.8%-8.7%
Q3 2020+6.9%-0.8%+6.9%
Q2 2020-7.9%-0.8%+20.1%
Q1 2020+4.2%+9.9%+41.1%
Q4 2019-7.5%-6.7%-51.1%
Q3 2019-4.6%+1.9%-1.8%
Q2 2019+0.1%-14.5%-19.7%
Q1 2019-7.3%-14.6%-2.4%
Q4 2018+2.4%-0.1%-9.8%
Q3 2018-2.9%-4.1%+7.6%
Q2 2018-7.0%-7.9%-14.2%
Q1 2018+22.0%+15.5%+34.6%
Q4 2017-6.1%-0.7%+38.1%
Q3 2017+6.5%+3.6%-2.2%
Q2 2017-3.0%-6.2%-2.8%
Q1 2017+2.0%+0.1%+10.4%
Q4 2016-0.6%-5.9%+1.3%
Q3 2016+6.7%+2.5%+22.1%
Q2 2016+19.3%+16.7%+16.1%
Q1 2015+3.3%
Q1 2016+3.8%
Q4 2015-4.4%
Q3 2015+4.6%
Q4 2014+0.5%
Q2 2015+1.0%
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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