NASDAQ$RUN

Sunrun Inc. · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Sunrun's Q3 2022 financial results were reported, highlighting significant expansion in Net Subscriber Value and a substantial increase in Net Earning Assets.

Sunrun reported Q3 2022 financial results, with Net Subscriber Value expanding significantly to $13,259 and Net Earning Assets increasing by $465 million to $5.1 billion. The company added 35,760 new customers, bringing the total to 759,937, and installed 255.8 Megawatts of solar energy capacity.

  • Net Subscriber Value expanded significantly, exceeding guidance at $13,259.
  • Net Earning Assets increased by $465 million from the prior quarter, reaching $5.1 billion.
  • Customer Additions totaled 35,760 in Q3, bringing the total customer base to 759,937, a 21% year-over-year growth.
  • Solar Energy Capacity Installed reached 255.8 Megawatts in Q3, reflecting a 17% year-over-year growth.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$632M

Previous: $439M+44.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.96

Previous: $0.11+772.7%
Total customers

759.9K

Previous: 630.4K+20.5%
Networked solar capacity (MW)

5.4K

Previous: 4.5K+21.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$10.8M

Previous: -$11.6M+7.0%
Free Cash Flow

$200M

Previous: $12.5M+1499.3%
Net Income

$211M

Previous: $24.1M+772.6%
Operating Income

-$136M

Previous: -$138M+1.2%
Gross Profit

$111M

Previous: $427K+25798.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$672M

Previous: $718M-6.3%
Total Assets

$18.6B

Previous: $16.1B+15.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$22.8M

Previous: $39.3M-41.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Sunrun · Revenue · Quarterly

$632M

Q3 2022+44%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Sunrun · $632M total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Energy systems & sales
    $361M+74.3%
  • Customer agreements
    $271M+17.0%

Forward guidance

Sunrun expects Solar Energy Capacity Installed growth to be approximately 25% for the full year 2022. Net Subscriber Value is expected to increase sequentially in Q4 from Q3. Total Value Generated is expected to be greater than $1 billion for the full year 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Solar Energy Capacity Installed growth to be approximately 25% for the full year 2022.
  • Net Subscriber Value is expected to increase sequentially in Q4 from Q3.
  • Total Value Generated is expected to be greater than $1 billion for the full year 2022.
  • Continued margin improvements in the quarters ahead.
  • Focus on a disciplined strategy for sustainable growth.

Headwinds

  • Pressures on sales and installation activities at the end of the quarter from the devastating hurricanes in Puerto Rico and Florida.
  • Current supply constraints and long cycle times are resulting in lower attachment rates than previously forecasted.
  • Higher interest rates and material costs.
  • Macroeconomic trends
  • Potential impacts of proposed, amended, and newly adopted legislation and regulation on the solar industry and our business

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

53%

24 / 45 earnings

Positive

+22.0%

Q1 2018

Best reaction

-35.0%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.7%+7.5%-0.7%
Q4 2025-35.0%-40.4%-38.3%
Q3 2025-16.0%-4.8%-13.9%
Q1 2025+15.0%+61.0%+15.2%
Q4 2024-8.3%-12.8%-24.9%
Q3 2024-14.0%-18.2%-11.1%
Q2 2024+10.8%+8.2%+16.5%
Q1 2024+5.3%-2.2%+14.2%
Q4 2023-19.6%-28.4%-28.6%
Q3 2023+8.3%+6.6%+48.6%
Q2 2023+0.3%-8.4%-17.4%
Q1 2023-13.0%-11.5%-3.8%
Q4 2022-1.4%-2.5%-24.9%
Q3 2022+13.9%+2.5%+42.5%
Q2 2022+2.0%+9.4%+0.6%
Q1 2022+8.9%-8.1%+16.7%
Q4 2021-12.4%-15.1%+25.4%
Q3 2021-3.6%-4.0%-31.5%
Q2 2021-8.4%-6.3%-13.8%
Q1 2021+7.7%-6.0%-2.5%
Q4 2020+0.0%+2.8%-8.7%
Q3 2020+6.9%-0.8%+6.9%
Q2 2020-7.9%-0.8%+20.1%
Q1 2020+4.2%+9.9%+41.1%
Q4 2019-7.5%-6.7%-51.1%
Q3 2019-4.6%+1.9%-1.8%
Q2 2019+0.1%-14.5%-19.7%
Q1 2019-7.3%-14.6%-2.4%
Q4 2018+2.4%-0.1%-9.8%
Q3 2018-2.9%-4.1%+7.6%
Q2 2018-7.0%-7.9%-14.2%
Q1 2018+22.0%+15.5%+34.6%
Q4 2017-6.1%-0.7%+38.1%
Q3 2017+6.5%+3.6%-2.2%
Q2 2017-3.0%-6.2%-2.8%
Q1 2017+2.0%+0.1%+10.4%
Q4 2016-0.6%-5.9%+1.3%
Q3 2016+6.7%+2.5%+22.1%
Q2 2016+19.3%+16.7%+16.1%
Q1 2015+3.3%
Q1 2016+3.8%
Q4 2015-4.4%
Q3 2015+4.6%
Q4 2014+0.5%
Q2 2015+1.0%
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014

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