NASDAQ$OTTR

Otter Tail Corporation · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Otter Tail Corporation announced record annual earnings and increased quarterly dividend.

Otter Tail Corporation reported a strong Q4 2023, with increased operating revenues and net income. The corporation's board of directors increased the quarterly common stock dividend to $0.4675 per share.

  • Consolidated operating revenues increased 4.3% to $314.3 million.
  • Net income increased 37.5% to $57.8 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share increased 37% to $1.37.
  • Plastics segment net income increased $14.9 million primarily due to a 59% increase in sales volumes.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$314M

Previous: $301M+4.3%
EPS (adj)

$1.37

Previous: $1.00+37.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$58.7M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$28.7M

No prior period
Net Income

$57.8M

Previous: $42M+37.5%
Operating Income

$70.1M

Previous: $54.9M+27.6%
Gross Profit

$120M

Previous: $101M+19.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$778K

Previous: $673K+15.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Otter Tail · Revenue · Quarterly

$314M

Q4 2023+4.3%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Otter Tail · $358M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Electric
    $130M-8.7%
  • Plastics
    $127M-10.7%
  • Manufacturing
    $101M+1.9%

Forward guidance

Otter Tail Corporation anticipates 2024 diluted earnings per share to be in the range of $5.13 to $5.43.

Tailwinds

  • Normal weather conditions in 2024.
  • Returns generated from an increase in average rate base of 8.5% in 2024, compared to 2023.
  • Interim revenue increase, which commenced January 1, 2024, resulting from the general rate case filed in North Dakota.
  • Lower operating and maintenance expenses driven by lower anticipated employee benefit cost and discretionary spending.
  • Higher sales volumes and favorable product mix, improved productivity and lower incentive costs at BTD, partially offset by continued cost pressures in the business.

Headwinds

  • Product pricing pressures and increased manufacturing cost at T.O. Plastics driving a decline in earnings in 2024.
  • Anticipated margin compression resulting from a continued downward trend in product prices over the course of 2024.
  • Increased depreciation expense resulting from our capital expenditures.
  • Increased interest expense from increased borrowings to fund our capital investments.
  • Lower anticipated market-based gains on our corporate investments.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

38 / 68 earnings

Positive

+11.5%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-10.6%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.0%-0.6%-2.3%
Q4 2025-1.7%-3.6%-0.7%
Q3 2025+5.4%+8.4%+6.0%
Q1 2025+1.1%+3.7%+2.2%
Q4 2024+6.1%+5.8%+7.0%
Q3 2024+4.4%+1.2%+2.4%
Q2 2024-3.9%-3.5%-14.1%
Q1 2024+2.8%+5.8%+2.6%
Q4 2023-9.1%-8.1%-16.5%
Q3 2023+9.3%+17.8%+5.9%
Q2 2023+9.8%+10.9%+3.6%
Q1 2023+7.2%+9.1%+3.1%
Q4 2022-4.4%+11.3%+7.9%
Q3 2022-9.3%-18.9%-13.2%
Q2 2022+11.5%+7.8%+7.5%
Q1 2022+5.1%+7.5%+14.6%
Q4 2021-0.0%+0.1%+3.3%
Q3 2021+1.6%+6.1%+5.5%
Q2 2021+5.1%+5.3%+9.2%
Q1 2021+1.9%+3.6%+2.3%
Q4 2020-2.3%-0.8%+7.3%
Q3 2020+10.8%+3.8%+6.5%
Q2 2020+1.4%+8.7%+1.4%
Q1 2020-5.0%+0.0%-3.7%
Q4 2019-0.6%+1.2%-26.4%
Q3 2019-10.6%-13.8%-14.0%
Q2 2019-2.6%-0.8%-2.8%
Q1 2019-3.2%-3.3%-1.6%
Q4 2018+0.5%-0.6%-2.4%
Q3 2018+5.6%+7.7%+6.6%
Q2 2018+0.4%+0.3%-0.1%
Q1 2018-1.0%-0.2%+1.9%
Q4 2017+0.8%+1.8%+2.9%
Q3 2017+1.6%-0.1%+4.2%
Q2 2017+3.7%+1.9%+4.0%
Q1 2017+0.0%-2.9%+1.1%
Q4 2016-1.9%-0.6%-6.0%
Q3 2016-1.7%+0.7%+9.2%
Q2 2016+0.7%+0.5%+3.2%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015-1.8%
Q3 2015-3.7%
Q2 2015+8.0%
Q1 2015-5.0%
Q4 2014+0.9%
Q3 2014-0.6%
Q2 2014-2.1%
Q1 2014-0.6%
Q4 2013+10.1%
Q3 2013+2.9%
Q2 2013-6.3%
Q1 2013-0.3%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012+3.6%
Q2 2012+0.2%
Q1 2012+2.8%
Q4 2011-1.8%
Q3 2011-1.1%
Q2 2011+6.7%
Q1 2010-2.3%
Q1 2011+0.5%
Q4 2010-1.3%
Q4 2008-1.3%
Q3 2010+0.6%
Q3 2009+0.6%
Q2 2010+1.4%
Q2 2009+1.4%
Q4 2009+1.4%

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