NASDAQ$OTTR

Otter Tail Corporation · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced record third quarter earnings and updated guidance.

Otter Tail Corporation reported exceptional financial results for Q3 2022, driven by its diversified business model. Each operating segment contributed to double-digit earnings growth, with the Plastics segment being a significant contributor. The company is adjusting its 2022 diluted earnings per share guidance due to resin price reductions impacting the Plastics segment.

  • Consolidated operating revenues increased 21% to $384 million.
  • Consolidated net income increased 60% to $84 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share increased 60% to $2.01 per share.
  • MISO approved several projects within its long-range transmission plan involving Otter Tail Power.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$384M

Previous: $316M+21.4%
EPS (adj)

$2.01

Previous: $1.26+59.5%
Free Cash Flow

$84.2M

Previous: $52.8M+59.7%
Net Income

$84.2M

Previous: $52.8M+59.7%
Operating Income

$116M

Previous: $74.5M+55.8%
Gross Profit

$244M

Previous: $182M+34.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$73M

Previous: $1.27M+5638.0%
Total Assets

$2.9B

Previous: $2.71B+6.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$630K

Previous: $830K-24.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Otter Tail · Revenue · Quarterly

$384M

Q3 2022+21.4%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Otter Tail · $384M total across 3 segments · Q3 2022

  • Electric
    $143M+20.2%
  • Plastics
    $142M+32.4%
  • Manufacturing
    $98.8M+9.8%

Forward guidance

The company is lowering its 2022 diluted earnings per share guidance to a range of $6.42 to $6.72, primarily driven by expected sales volume reductions in the Plastics segment due to declining PVC resin prices. The midpoint of the revised guidance represents a 55% growth rate from 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Increased sales volumes from commercial and industrial customers and improved margins from favorable pricing in the Electric segment.
  • Lower than anticipated labor and non-labor operating and maintenance costs in the Electric segment.
  • Increased sales volumes at BTD driven by end market demand in the Manufacturing segment.
  • Increased earnings from T.O. Plastics driven by customer demand and improved gross profit margins due to the availability of low-cost raw material inputs and improved manufacturing productivity.
  • Anticipate sale prices for PVC pipe will remain elevated for the remainder of 2022.

Headwinds

  • Reduced demand for PVC pipe in the fourth quarter of 2022 due to anticipated further declines in PVC resin prices resulting in reduced purchase volumes from distributors and contractors.
  • Potential for continued decline of resin prices and reduced sales volumes could put downward pressure on sales prices for the remainder of 2022 and into 2023.
  • Finished goods inventory levels have started to increase as the availability of resin, additives and other ingredients used to manufacture PVC pipe has improved.
  • Investment losses on corporate-owned life insurance policies and other investments during the third quarter of 2022.
  • Expected increase in health insurance costs in the self-insured health plan due to higher claims experience.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

38 / 68 earnings

Positive

+11.5%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-10.6%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.0%-0.6%-2.3%
Q4 2025-1.7%-3.6%-0.7%
Q3 2025+5.4%+8.4%+6.0%
Q1 2025+1.1%+3.7%+2.2%
Q4 2024+6.1%+5.8%+7.0%
Q3 2024+4.4%+1.2%+2.4%
Q2 2024-3.9%-3.5%-14.1%
Q1 2024+2.8%+5.8%+2.6%
Q4 2023-9.1%-8.1%-16.5%
Q3 2023+9.3%+17.8%+5.9%
Q2 2023+9.8%+10.9%+3.6%
Q1 2023+7.2%+9.1%+3.1%
Q4 2022-4.4%+11.3%+7.9%
Q3 2022-9.3%-18.9%-13.2%
Q2 2022+11.5%+7.8%+7.5%
Q1 2022+5.1%+7.5%+14.6%
Q4 2021-0.0%+0.1%+3.3%
Q3 2021+1.6%+6.1%+5.5%
Q2 2021+5.1%+5.3%+9.2%
Q1 2021+1.9%+3.6%+2.3%
Q4 2020-2.3%-0.8%+7.3%
Q3 2020+10.8%+3.8%+6.5%
Q2 2020+1.4%+8.7%+1.4%
Q1 2020-5.0%+0.0%-3.7%
Q4 2019-0.6%+1.2%-26.4%
Q3 2019-10.6%-13.8%-14.0%
Q2 2019-2.6%-0.8%-2.8%
Q1 2019-3.2%-3.3%-1.6%
Q4 2018+0.5%-0.6%-2.4%
Q3 2018+5.6%+7.7%+6.6%
Q2 2018+0.4%+0.3%-0.1%
Q1 2018-1.0%-0.2%+1.9%
Q4 2017+0.8%+1.8%+2.9%
Q3 2017+1.6%-0.1%+4.2%
Q2 2017+3.7%+1.9%+4.0%
Q1 2017+0.0%-2.9%+1.1%
Q4 2016-1.9%-0.6%-6.0%
Q3 2016-1.7%+0.7%+9.2%
Q2 2016+0.7%+0.5%+3.2%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015-1.8%
Q3 2015-3.7%
Q2 2015+8.0%
Q1 2015-5.0%
Q4 2014+0.9%
Q3 2014-0.6%
Q2 2014-2.1%
Q1 2014-0.6%
Q4 2013+10.1%
Q3 2013+2.9%
Q2 2013-6.3%
Q1 2013-0.3%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012+3.6%
Q2 2012+0.2%
Q1 2012+2.8%
Q4 2011-1.8%
Q3 2011-1.1%
Q2 2011+6.7%
Q1 2010-2.3%
Q1 2011+0.5%
Q4 2010-1.3%
Q4 2008-1.3%
Q3 2010+0.6%
Q3 2009+0.6%
Q2 2010+1.4%
Q2 2009+1.4%
Q4 2009+1.4%

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