NASDAQ$OTTR

Otter Tail Corporation · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Otter Tail's financial performance decreased due to lower revenues in the Plastics segment, while the Electric and Manufacturing segments showed growth.

Otter Tail Corporation reported a decrease in consolidated operating revenues and net income for the quarter ended March 31, 2023, compared to the same period in 2022. However, the Electric and Manufacturing segments delivered double-digit earnings growth. The company increased its 2023 earnings per share guidance due to expected earnings improvements in the Plastics and Manufacturing segments.

  • Consolidated operating revenues decreased by 10% to $339 million.
  • Consolidated net income decreased by 13% to $62 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share decreased by 13% to $1.49 per share.
  • Increased 2023 earnings per share guidance to a range of $4.55 to $4.85.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$339M

Previous: $375M-9.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.49

Previous: $1.72-13.4%
Free Cash Flow

$62.5M

Previous: $72M-13.2%
Net Income

$62.5M

Previous: $72M-13.2%
Operating Income

$80.7M

Previous: $98.3M-17.9%
Gross Profit

$227M

Previous: $223M+1.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$104M

Previous: $1.37M+7491.5%
Total Assets

$2.99B

Previous: $2.79B+7.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.27M

Previous: $4.9M+7.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Otter Tail · Revenue · Quarterly

$339M

Q1 2023-9.6%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Otter Tail · $339M total across 3 segments · Q1 2023

  • Electric
    $152M+16.5%
  • Manufacturing
    $107M+1.7%
  • Plastics
    $80.4M-42.4%

Forward guidance

Otter Tail Corporation increased its 2023 diluted earnings per share range to $4.55 to $4.85. The company anticipates margin compression to begin the second half of 2023 as industry supply and demand dynamics begin to normalize and are expected to result in reduced product sales prices.

Tailwinds

  • Increased sales volumes at BTD compared to original guidance, supported by increased demand in the Energy, Agriculture, Power Generation and Construction end markets.
  • Improved product mix and sales pricing largely offset inflationary cost pressures.
  • Increased scrap metal revenues at BTD driven by higher scrap metal prices and increased volumes; expect 2023 scrap metal revenues to be in line with 2022.
  • Elevated sales prices leading to stronger margins in the first quarter and expected stronger margins in the second quarter as sales prices remain high.
  • Increased earnings expected to be earned on higher levels of cash and cash equivalents as compared to original guidance and gains recognized on corporate investments in the first quarter of 2023.

Headwinds

  • Lower sales volumes, especially in the first half of 2023, as distributors and contractors continue to manage purchase volumes and consume current inventories given the ongoing dynamics within the industry.
  • Anticipate margin compression to begin the second half of 2023 as industry supply and demand dynamics begin to normalize and are expected to result in reduced product sales prices.
  • We expect to see a decline in profitability in the last half of 2023 as compared to the first half of 2023.
  • The company's earnings mix in 2023 is expected to deviate from its long-term expected earnings mix.
  • Backlog for the manufacturing companies as of March 31, 2023 was approximately $289 million, compared with $339 million one year ago.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

38 / 68 earnings

Positive

+11.5%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-10.6%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.0%-0.6%-2.3%
Q4 2025-1.7%-3.6%-0.7%
Q3 2025+5.4%+8.4%+6.0%
Q1 2025+1.1%+3.7%+2.2%
Q4 2024+6.1%+5.8%+7.0%
Q3 2024+4.4%+1.2%+2.4%
Q2 2024-3.9%-3.5%-14.1%
Q1 2024+2.8%+5.8%+2.6%
Q4 2023-9.1%-8.1%-16.5%
Q3 2023+9.3%+17.8%+5.9%
Q2 2023+9.8%+10.9%+3.6%
Q1 2023+7.2%+9.1%+3.1%
Q4 2022-4.4%+11.3%+7.9%
Q3 2022-9.3%-18.9%-13.2%
Q2 2022+11.5%+7.8%+7.5%
Q1 2022+5.1%+7.5%+14.6%
Q4 2021-0.0%+0.1%+3.3%
Q3 2021+1.6%+6.1%+5.5%
Q2 2021+5.1%+5.3%+9.2%
Q1 2021+1.9%+3.6%+2.3%
Q4 2020-2.3%-0.8%+7.3%
Q3 2020+10.8%+3.8%+6.5%
Q2 2020+1.4%+8.7%+1.4%
Q1 2020-5.0%+0.0%-3.7%
Q4 2019-0.6%+1.2%-26.4%
Q3 2019-10.6%-13.8%-14.0%
Q2 2019-2.6%-0.8%-2.8%
Q1 2019-3.2%-3.3%-1.6%
Q4 2018+0.5%-0.6%-2.4%
Q3 2018+5.6%+7.7%+6.6%
Q2 2018+0.4%+0.3%-0.1%
Q1 2018-1.0%-0.2%+1.9%
Q4 2017+0.8%+1.8%+2.9%
Q3 2017+1.6%-0.1%+4.2%
Q2 2017+3.7%+1.9%+4.0%
Q1 2017+0.0%-2.9%+1.1%
Q4 2016-1.9%-0.6%-6.0%
Q3 2016-1.7%+0.7%+9.2%
Q2 2016+0.7%+0.5%+3.2%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015-1.8%
Q3 2015-3.7%
Q2 2015+8.0%
Q1 2015-5.0%
Q4 2014+0.9%
Q3 2014-0.6%
Q2 2014-2.1%
Q1 2014-0.6%
Q4 2013+10.1%
Q3 2013+2.9%
Q2 2013-6.3%
Q1 2013-0.3%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012+3.6%
Q2 2012+0.2%
Q1 2012+2.8%
Q4 2011-1.8%
Q3 2011-1.1%
Q2 2011+6.7%
Q1 2010-2.3%
Q1 2011+0.5%
Q4 2010-1.3%
Q4 2008-1.3%
Q3 2010+0.6%
Q3 2009+0.6%
Q2 2010+1.4%
Q2 2009+1.4%
Q4 2009+1.4%

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