NASDAQ$OTTR

Otter Tail Corporation · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced third quarter earnings and increased 2021 earnings per share guidance driven by continued strong results from plastics segment.

Otter Tail Corporation announced strong Q3 2021 results, with net income increasing by 46.8% to $52.8 million, driven by the Plastics segment. The company increased its 2021 diluted earnings per share guidance range to $4.05 to $4.20.

  • Consolidated operating revenues increased 34.2% to $316.3 million.
  • Consolidated net income increased 46.8% to $52.8 million primarily driven by strong Plastics segment performance resulting from unique market conditions.
  • Diluted earnings per share increased 44.8% to $1.26 per share.
  • The corporation increases its 2021 diluted earnings per share guidance range to $4.05 to $4.20 reflecting a range of 73% to 79% growth from 2020 reported diluted earnings per share of $2.34.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$316M

Previous: $236M+34.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.26

Previous: $0.87+44.8%
Free Cash Flow

$52.8M

No prior period
Net Income

$52.8M

Previous: $35.9M+46.9%
Operating Income

$74.5M

Previous: $48.1M+55.0%
Gross Profit

$182M

Previous: $77.5M+135.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.27M

Previous: $175M-99.3%
Total Assets

$2.71B

Previous: $2.53B+7.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$830K

Previous: $1.28M-34.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Otter Tail · Revenue · Quarterly

$316M

Q3 2021+34.2%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Otter Tail · $316M total across 3 segments · Q3 2021

  • Electric
    $119M-10.3%
  • Plastics
    $108M+106.9%
  • Manufacturing
    $90M+70.1%

Forward guidance

The company is increasing its 2021 diluted earnings per share guidance range to $4.05 to $4.20, driven by expected performance in the Plastics segment.

Tailwinds

  • Electric segment guidance maintained.
  • Manufacturing segment guidance maintained.
  • Steel lead times have improved somewhat and supply has become less of an issue.
  • Backlog for the manufacturing companies of approximately $90 million for 2021 compared with $59 million one year ago.
  • Pounds of pipe sold in 2021 are now expected to be slightly higher than 2020 driven by strong construction and municipal markets.

Headwinds

  • We anticipate elevated steel prices will continue throughout the remainder of 2021 and into 2022.
  • Resin suppliers continued to enforce resin allocations to customers and increase prices for raw materials due to market conditions such as availability constraints related to feedstock supplies for resin and a strong export market that has higher resin prices than the domestic market.
  • Unexpected PVC resin supply constraints arose from the extreme cold weather in February which caused resin suppliers to temporarily close various petrochemical plants.
  • Supply constraints were further exacerbated in the third quarter due to the impacts from Hurricane Ida, which caused resin suppliers to again enforce force majeure contract provisions.
  • We currently expect these conditions could moderate during the last half of 2022.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

38 / 68 earnings

Positive

+11.5%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-10.6%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.0%-0.6%-2.3%
Q4 2025-1.7%-3.6%-0.7%
Q3 2025+5.4%+8.4%+6.0%
Q1 2025+1.1%+3.7%+2.2%
Q4 2024+6.1%+5.8%+7.0%
Q3 2024+4.4%+1.2%+2.4%
Q2 2024-3.9%-3.5%-14.1%
Q1 2024+2.8%+5.8%+2.6%
Q4 2023-9.1%-8.1%-16.5%
Q3 2023+9.3%+17.8%+5.9%
Q2 2023+9.8%+10.9%+3.6%
Q1 2023+7.2%+9.1%+3.1%
Q4 2022-4.4%+11.3%+7.9%
Q3 2022-9.3%-18.9%-13.2%
Q2 2022+11.5%+7.8%+7.5%
Q1 2022+5.1%+7.5%+14.6%
Q4 2021-0.0%+0.1%+3.3%
Q3 2021+1.6%+6.1%+5.5%
Q2 2021+5.1%+5.3%+9.2%
Q1 2021+1.9%+3.6%+2.3%
Q4 2020-2.3%-0.8%+7.3%
Q3 2020+10.8%+3.8%+6.5%
Q2 2020+1.4%+8.7%+1.4%
Q1 2020-5.0%+0.0%-3.7%
Q4 2019-0.6%+1.2%-26.4%
Q3 2019-10.6%-13.8%-14.0%
Q2 2019-2.6%-0.8%-2.8%
Q1 2019-3.2%-3.3%-1.6%
Q4 2018+0.5%-0.6%-2.4%
Q3 2018+5.6%+7.7%+6.6%
Q2 2018+0.4%+0.3%-0.1%
Q1 2018-1.0%-0.2%+1.9%
Q4 2017+0.8%+1.8%+2.9%
Q3 2017+1.6%-0.1%+4.2%
Q2 2017+3.7%+1.9%+4.0%
Q1 2017+0.0%-2.9%+1.1%
Q4 2016-1.9%-0.6%-6.0%
Q3 2016-1.7%+0.7%+9.2%
Q2 2016+0.7%+0.5%+3.2%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015-1.8%
Q3 2015-3.7%
Q2 2015+8.0%
Q1 2015-5.0%
Q4 2014+0.9%
Q3 2014-0.6%
Q2 2014-2.1%
Q1 2014-0.6%
Q4 2013+10.1%
Q3 2013+2.9%
Q2 2013-6.3%
Q1 2013-0.3%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012+3.6%
Q2 2012+0.2%
Q1 2012+2.8%
Q4 2011-1.8%
Q3 2011-1.1%
Q2 2011+6.7%
Q1 2010-2.3%
Q1 2011+0.5%
Q4 2010-1.3%
Q4 2008-1.3%
Q3 2010+0.6%
Q3 2009+0.6%
Q2 2010+1.4%
Q2 2009+1.4%
Q4 2009+1.4%

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