NASDAQ$OTTR

Otter Tail Corporation · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced first quarter earnings with EPS increasing 22% and increased 2021 earnings per share guidance.

Otter Tail Corporation announced strong first quarter results, with consolidated net income increasing 25.0% to $30.3 million, driven primarily by the Plastics segment. Diluted earnings per share increased 21.7% to $0.73. The corporation increased its 2021 diluted earnings per share guidance range to $2.47 to $2.62.

  • Consolidated operating revenues increased 11.5% to $261.7 million.
  • Consolidated net income increased 25.0% to $30.3 million primarily driven by strong Plastics segment performance.
  • Diluted earnings per share increased 21.7% to $0.73 per share.
  • Increased 2021 diluted earnings per share guidance range to $2.47 to $2.62.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$262M

Previous: $235M+11.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.73

Previous: $0.60+21.7%
Free Cash Flow

$30.3M

No prior period
Net Income

$30.3M

Previous: $24.3M+24.8%
Operating Income

$44.2M

Previous: $35.8M+23.5%
Gross Profit

$262M

Previous: $63.8M+310.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.21M

Previous: $47.8M-97.5%
Total Assets

$2.62B

Previous: $2.31B+13.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.2M

Previous: $2.77M+51.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Otter Tail · Revenue · Quarterly

$262M

Q1 2021+11.5%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Otter Tail · $262M total across 3 segments · Q1 2021

  • Electric
    $124M-17.2%
  • Manufacturing
    $75.8M+30.7%
  • Plastics
    $62.2M+86.2%

Forward guidance

The corporation is increasing its 2021 diluted earnings per share guidance range to $2.47 to $2.62, driven by expected performance in the Plastics Segment. The Electric segment is expected to provide approximately 68% of consolidated earnings.

Tailwinds

  • Merricourt and Astoria Station projects being commercially operational and fully reflected in rate base.
  • Recovery mechanism in place in all three jurisdictions for Merricourt and Astoria Station.
  • Impact of filed Minnesota 2021 rate case with an approved interim rate increase of 3.2% or $6.9 million in annual revenues.
  • Expected increase in sales at BTD driven mostly by improving end markets.
  • Sales prices of PVC pipe in the first quarter were higher than expected and are expected to continue to be higher throughout the year.

Headwinds

  • Unfavorable weather in the first quarter negatively impacted first quarter earnings by $.04 per share.
  • Commercial and Industrial revenues are expected to be lower based on continuing impacts from COVID-19.
  • The level of self-funded interconnection interim projects revenue is pending FERC approval.
  • Lower levels of capital expenditures and lower transmission revenue requirements resulting in a lower level of earnings than originally expected
  • Increased non-labor operating and maintenance expenses related to a planned outage at Big Stone Plant of $3.9 million in 2021 and increased postretirement expense caused by a decrease in the discount rate and long-term rate of return on plan assets.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

38 / 68 earnings

Positive

+11.5%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-10.6%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.0%-0.6%-2.3%
Q4 2025-1.7%-3.6%-0.7%
Q3 2025+5.4%+8.4%+6.0%
Q1 2025+1.1%+3.7%+2.2%
Q4 2024+6.1%+5.8%+7.0%
Q3 2024+4.4%+1.2%+2.4%
Q2 2024-3.9%-3.5%-14.1%
Q1 2024+2.8%+5.8%+2.6%
Q4 2023-9.1%-8.1%-16.5%
Q3 2023+9.3%+17.8%+5.9%
Q2 2023+9.8%+10.9%+3.6%
Q1 2023+7.2%+9.1%+3.1%
Q4 2022-4.4%+11.3%+7.9%
Q3 2022-9.3%-18.9%-13.2%
Q2 2022+11.5%+7.8%+7.5%
Q1 2022+5.1%+7.5%+14.6%
Q4 2021-0.0%+0.1%+3.3%
Q3 2021+1.6%+6.1%+5.5%
Q2 2021+5.1%+5.3%+9.2%
Q1 2021+1.9%+3.6%+2.3%
Q4 2020-2.3%-0.8%+7.3%
Q3 2020+10.8%+3.8%+6.5%
Q2 2020+1.4%+8.7%+1.4%
Q1 2020-5.0%+0.0%-3.7%
Q4 2019-0.6%+1.2%-26.4%
Q3 2019-10.6%-13.8%-14.0%
Q2 2019-2.6%-0.8%-2.8%
Q1 2019-3.2%-3.3%-1.6%
Q4 2018+0.5%-0.6%-2.4%
Q3 2018+5.6%+7.7%+6.6%
Q2 2018+0.4%+0.3%-0.1%
Q1 2018-1.0%-0.2%+1.9%
Q4 2017+0.8%+1.8%+2.9%
Q3 2017+1.6%-0.1%+4.2%
Q2 2017+3.7%+1.9%+4.0%
Q1 2017+0.0%-2.9%+1.1%
Q4 2016-1.9%-0.6%-6.0%
Q3 2016-1.7%+0.7%+9.2%
Q2 2016+0.7%+0.5%+3.2%
Q1 2016+4.2%
Q4 2015-1.8%
Q3 2015-3.7%
Q2 2015+8.0%
Q1 2015-5.0%
Q4 2014+0.9%
Q3 2014-0.6%
Q2 2014-2.1%
Q1 2014-0.6%
Q4 2013+10.1%
Q3 2013+2.9%
Q2 2013-6.3%
Q1 2013-0.3%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012+3.6%
Q2 2012+0.2%
Q1 2012+2.8%
Q4 2011-1.8%
Q3 2011-1.1%
Q2 2011+6.7%
Q1 2010-2.3%
Q1 2011+0.5%
Q4 2010-1.3%
Q4 2008-1.3%
Q3 2010+0.6%
Q3 2009+0.6%
Q2 2010+1.4%
Q2 2009+1.4%
Q4 2009+1.4%

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