NASDAQ$NCMI

National CineMedia Inc · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

National CineMedia reported an 8% increase in fourth quarter revenue and a significant rise in net income for the period ended January 1, 2026.

National CineMedia (NCM) delivered a strong fourth quarter with revenue growth of 8% to $93.2 million, outperforming theater attendance growth. The company saw operating income rise to $23.8 million and net income reach $29.3 million. Despite a full-year net loss, the company's Q4 performance exceeded guidance for Adjusted OIBDA and showed improved advertiser demand heading into a promising 2026 film slate.

  • Q4 revenue grew 8% year-over-year to $93.2 million, driven by strong advertiser demand that outpaced theater attendance.
  • Operating income for the quarter increased to $23.8 million compared to $20.0 million in the prior year period.
  • Adjusted OIBDA of $37.2 million exceeded company guidance and improved from $35.0 million in Q4 2024.
  • The company declared a cash dividend of $0.03 per share, reflecting confidence in its financial position and 2026 outlook.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$93.2M

Previous: $86.3M+8.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.28

Previous: $0.26+7.7%
Adjusted OIBDA

$37.2M

No prior period
Adjusted OIBDA Margin

39.9%

No prior period
Total Attendance

107.4M

No prior period
Nat'l Ad Rev per Attendee

$0.71

No prior period
Local Ad Rev per Attendee

$0.13

No prior period
Total Screens

17.6K

No prior period
ESA Party Screens

9.3K

No prior period
ESA Party Attendance

64.2M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$3.8M

No prior period
Ad Rev per Attendee

$0.84

No prior period
Total Rev per Attendee

$0.87

No prior period
Net Income

$29.3M

Previous: $24.7M+18.6%
Operating Income

$23.8M

Previous: $20M+19.0%

Revenue & EPS history

National CineMedia · Revenue · Quarterly

$93.2M

Q4 2025+8%vs Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

National CineMedia · $57.7M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • National Advertising
    $44.3M-12.6%
  • Local and Regional
    $13.4M+27.6%

Forward guidance

For Q1 2026, NCM expects revenue between $32.5 million and $36.5 million, with a projected Adjusted OIBDA loss.

Tailwinds

  • 2026 film slate is expected to be the strongest since 2019.
  • Steady cadence of major commercial releases planned for the upcoming year.
  • Continued growth in the cinema advertising market.
  • NCM is well positioned to capture meaningful upside in 2026.
  • Company declared a $0.03 per share dividend payable in March 2026.

Headwinds

  • Q1 2026 Adjusted OIBDA is expected to be a loss between $10.0 million and $13.0 million.
  • Full year 2025 resulted in a net loss of $10.6 million.
  • Total screen count decreased year-over-year from 18,028 to 17,621.
  • Macroeconomic uncertainty could alter spending priorities of advertisers.
  • Potential for production delays or strikes in the entertainment industry.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

+2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.8%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

28 / 65 earnings

Positive

+232.3%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-27.2%

Q1 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.9%-19.5%
Q4 2025+1.4%+1.4%-13.4%
Q3 2025+0.7%-9.3%-3.7%
Q1 2025-11.6%-12.1%-10.5%
Q4 2024-17.8%-12.9%-9.9%
Q3 2024-8.3%-11.5%-0.1%
Q2 2024+11.1%+7.4%+20.1%
Q1 2024+0.9%-1.5%+11.4%
Q4 2023+19.3%+32.8%+5.0%
Q3 2023+6.1%+2.7%-2.9%
Q2 2023+2.4%-6.5%+33.2%
Q1 2023+3.9%+0.0%+12.9%
Q4 2022+232.3%+169.2%+146.2%
Q3 2022+31.3%+38.1%-7.1%
Q2 2022-19.4%+2.3%-35.3%
Q1 2022-22.4%-31.7%-38.0%
Q4 2021-10.7%-11.7%-16.7%
Q3 2021-1.3%+0.3%-25.5%
Q2 2021-6.0%-14.7%-19.7%
Q1 2021-2.7%+2.1%-88.4%
Q4 2020-2.5%+26.1%-4.8%
Q3 2020+7.3%+4.0%+99.5%
Q2 2020+15.8%+20.2%+45.7%
Q1 2020-5.5%+3.6%+1.6%
Q4 2019+18.2%+5.9%-66.0%
Q3 2019-16.6%-10.1%-20.5%
Q2 2019-3.3%-0.6%+16.4%
Q1 2019+6.4%+6.7%-8.0%
Q4 2018+11.8%+6.5%+2.5%
Q3 2018-15.7%-12.9%-19.9%
Q2 2018-0.9%+5.2%+7.8%
Q1 2018+21.9%+29.6%+30.3%
Q4 2017-10.0%-17.5%-20.1%
Q3 2017-12.6%-16.1%-2.1%
Q2 2017-6.5%-17.0%-19.4%
Q1 2017-27.2%-28.7%-38.3%
Q4 2016-5.5%+0.4%-1.9%
Q3 2016+3.9%+13.0%+13.8%
Q2 2016-4.7%-3.4%-5.6%
Q1 2016-2.6%
Q4 2015-3.4%
Q3 2015+5.7%
Q2 2015-2.5%
Q1 2015+6.8%
Q4 2014+0.7%
Q3 2014+13.0%
Q2 2014-13.1%
Q1 2014-4.1%
Q4 2013-13.4%
Q3 2013-7.5%
Q2 2013+5.2%
Q1 2013+7.8%
Q4 2011-0.5%
Q4 2012-2.9%
Q3 2012-10.0%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2011-6.4%
Q1 2012-0.1%
Q4 2009+4.2%
Q3 2011+10.0%
Q3 2010+10.0%
Q4 2010-6.4%
Q2 2010-6.4%
Q2 2011-6.4%
Q1 2010+2.0%

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