NASDAQ$NCMI

National CineMedia Inc · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong revenue growth driven by increased advertising demand following box office success and upfront presentations.

National CineMedia reported a significant increase in revenue for Q1 2022, exceeding management's guidance. The company's operating loss improved, and they are encouraged by the increase in advertising demand.

  • Total revenue increased by 564.8% to $35.9 million compared to the same quarter last year.
  • Operating loss improved to $22.5 million from $28.3 million year-over-year.
  • Net loss was $25.2 million, or $0.31 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $19.4 million, or $0.25 per diluted share, in the prior year.
  • Cash, cash equivalents and investments totaled $115.1 million as of March 31, 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$35.9M

Previous: $5.4M+564.8%
EPS (adj)

-$2.00

Previous: -$2.40+16.7%
Total Attendance

76.0M

Previous: 13.8M+450.7%
Nat'l Ad Rev per Attendee

$0.35

No prior period
Local Ad Rev per Attendee

$0.08

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$700K

Previous: -$2M+65.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$25.9M

Previous: -$21.4M-21.0%
Net Income

-$25.2M

Previous: -$19.4M-29.9%
Operating Income

-$22.5M

Previous: -$28.3M+20.5%
Gross Profit

$31.2M

Previous: $3.9M+700.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$114M

Previous: $191M-40.3%
Total Assets

$822M

Previous: $895M-8.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.4M

Previous: $2.7M-48.1%

Revenue & EPS history

National CineMedia · Revenue · Quarterly

$35.9M

Q1 2022+564.8%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

National CineMedia · $32.4M total across 2 segments · Q1 2022

  • National Advertising
    $26.3M
  • Local and Regional
    $6.1M

Forward guidance

The company expects to earn revenue of $63.0 to $70.0 million and Adjusted OIBDA of $12.5 million to $18.5 million for the second quarter of 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Company expects revenue of $63.0 to $70.0 million for the second quarter of 2022.
  • Company expects Adjusted OIBDA of $12.5 million to $18.5 million for the second quarter of 2022.
  • The movie slate for the remainder of 2022 looks strong due to the addition of major motion pictures that had been delayed in 2020 and 2021
  • Reestablishment of exclusive release windows by most studios.
  • NCMx, a state-of-the-art data management and analytics platform, was launched.

Headwinds

  • Continued uncertainties related to the COVID-19 pandemic over the near term.
  • Impact of changes in consumer behavior on attendance following the reopening of the theaters.
  • Network attendance remained below historical first quarter levels due primarily to an approximate 57% decrease in the number of films released versus the first quarter of 2019.
  • Fewer films and lower overall industry attendance resulted in lower in-theater advertising revenue.
  • Less severe variants of the COVID-19 virus continue to circulate throughout the United States and may lead to increased health and safety regulations and restrictions.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

+2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

28 / 65 earnings

Positive

+232.3%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-27.2%

Q1 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.9%-19.5%
Q4 2025+1.4%+1.4%-13.4%
Q3 2025+0.7%-9.3%-3.7%
Q1 2025-11.6%-12.1%-10.5%
Q4 2024-17.8%-12.9%-9.9%
Q3 2024-8.3%-11.5%-0.1%
Q2 2024+11.1%+7.4%+20.1%
Q1 2024+0.9%-1.5%+11.4%
Q4 2023+19.3%+32.8%+5.0%
Q3 2023+6.1%+2.7%-2.9%
Q2 2023+2.4%-6.5%+33.2%
Q1 2023+3.9%+0.0%+12.9%
Q4 2022+232.3%+169.2%+146.2%
Q3 2022+31.3%+38.1%-7.1%
Q2 2022-19.4%+2.3%-35.3%
Q1 2022-22.4%-31.7%-38.0%
Q4 2021-10.7%-11.7%-16.7%
Q3 2021-1.3%+0.3%-25.5%
Q2 2021-6.0%-14.7%-19.7%
Q1 2021-2.7%+2.1%+16.3%
Q4 2020-2.5%+26.1%-4.8%
Q3 2020+7.3%+4.0%+99.5%
Q2 2020+15.8%+20.2%+45.7%
Q1 2020-5.5%+3.6%+1.6%
Q4 2019+18.2%+5.9%-66.0%
Q3 2019-16.6%-10.1%-20.5%
Q2 2019-3.3%-0.6%+16.4%
Q1 2019+6.4%+6.7%-8.0%
Q4 2018+11.8%+6.5%+2.5%
Q3 2018-15.7%-12.9%-19.9%
Q2 2018-0.9%+5.2%+7.8%
Q1 2018+21.9%+29.6%+30.3%
Q4 2017-10.0%-17.5%-20.1%
Q3 2017-12.6%-16.1%-2.1%
Q2 2017-6.5%-17.0%-19.4%
Q1 2017-27.2%-28.7%-38.3%
Q4 2016-5.5%+0.4%-1.9%
Q3 2016+3.9%+13.0%+13.8%
Q2 2016-4.7%-3.4%-5.6%
Q1 2016-2.6%
Q4 2015-3.4%
Q3 2015+5.7%
Q2 2015-2.5%
Q1 2015+6.8%
Q4 2014+0.7%
Q3 2014+13.0%
Q2 2014-13.1%
Q1 2014-4.1%
Q4 2013-13.4%
Q3 2013-7.5%
Q2 2013+5.2%
Q1 2013+7.8%
Q4 2011-0.5%
Q4 2012-2.9%
Q3 2012-10.0%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2011-6.4%
Q1 2012-0.1%
Q4 2009+4.2%
Q3 2010+10.0%
Q3 2011+10.0%
Q4 2010-6.4%
Q2 2011-6.4%
Q2 2010-6.4%
Q1 2010+2.0%

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