NASDAQ$NCMI

National CineMedia Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced a significant decrease in revenue and operating income due to COVID-19 pandemic and theater closures, while maintaining a strong liquidity position.

National CineMedia Inc. reported a 94.6% decrease in revenue for Q3 2020, totaling $6.0 million compared to $110.5 million in the same quarter last year. The company experienced an operating loss of $21.3 million, a 153.3% increase from the $40.0 million income in Q3 2019. Net loss for the quarter was $12.7 million, or $0.16 per diluted share, compared to a net income of $9.2 million, or $0.12 per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2019. The company's results were significantly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic and related theater closures.

  • Total revenue decreased 94.6% to $6.0 million compared to $110.5 million for the comparable quarter last year.
  • Operating loss increased 153.3% to a loss of $21.3 million from income of $40.0 million for the third quarter of 2019.
  • Net loss for the third quarter of 2020 was $12.7 million, or $0.16 per diluted share, compared to net income of $9.2 million, or $0.12 per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2019.
  • As of September 24, 2020, the Company had $220.7 million of cash, cash equivalents and investments.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$6M

Previous: $111M-94.6%
EPS (adj)

-$1.60

Previous: $1.20-233.3%
Adjusted OIBDA

-$11.2M

Previous: $51.7M-121.7%
Total Attendance

5.2M

Previous: 163.4M-96.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$6.6M

Previous: -$9.8M+32.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$19.3M

Previous: -$600K-3116.7%
Net Income

-$12.7M

Previous: $9.2M-238.0%
Operating Income

-$21.3M

Previous: $40M-153.3%
Gross Profit

$4.9M

Previous: $101M-95.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$218M

Previous: $46.3M+370.2%
Total Assets

$1.1B

Previous: $1.08B+1.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$800K

Previous: $1.4M-42.9%

Revenue & EPS history

National CineMedia · Revenue · Quarterly

$6M

Q3 2020-94.6%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

National CineMedia · $57.7M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • National Advertising
    $44.3M-12.6%
  • Local and Regional
    $13.4M+27.6%

Forward guidance

Due to the current unprecedented market conditions related to the COVID-19 pandemic and the resulting uncertainty regarding the duration and ultimate impact of governmental regulations, including mandated business closures and theater capacity restrictions that affect our network theaters and clients, shifting movie slates, as well as the impact of changes in consumer behavior (such as social distancing) on attendance following the reopening of the theaters, the Company is not providing updated guidance for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2020.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

43%

28 / 65 earnings

Positive

+232.3%

Q4 2022

Best reaction

-27.2%

Q1 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.9%-19.5%
Q4 2025+1.4%+1.4%-13.4%
Q3 2025+0.7%-9.3%-3.7%
Q1 2025-11.6%-12.1%-10.5%
Q4 2024-17.8%-12.9%-9.9%
Q3 2024-8.3%-11.5%-0.1%
Q2 2024+11.1%+7.4%+20.1%
Q1 2024+0.9%-1.5%+11.4%
Q4 2023+19.3%+32.8%+5.0%
Q3 2023+6.1%+2.7%-2.9%
Q2 2023+2.4%-6.5%+33.2%
Q1 2023+3.9%+0.0%+12.9%
Q4 2022+232.3%+169.2%+146.2%
Q3 2022+31.3%+38.1%-7.1%
Q2 2022-19.4%+2.3%-35.3%
Q1 2022-22.4%-31.7%-38.0%
Q4 2021-10.7%-11.7%-16.7%
Q3 2021-1.3%+0.3%-25.5%
Q2 2021-6.0%-14.7%-19.7%
Q1 2021-2.7%+2.1%+16.3%
Q4 2020-2.5%+26.1%-4.8%
Q3 2020+7.3%+4.0%+99.5%
Q2 2020+15.8%+20.2%+45.7%
Q1 2020-5.5%+3.6%+1.6%
Q4 2019+18.2%+5.9%-66.0%
Q3 2019-16.6%-10.1%-20.5%
Q2 2019-3.3%-0.6%+16.4%
Q1 2019+6.4%+6.7%-8.0%
Q4 2018+11.8%+6.5%+2.5%
Q3 2018-15.7%-12.9%-19.9%
Q2 2018-0.9%+5.2%+7.8%
Q1 2018+21.9%+29.6%+30.3%
Q4 2017-10.0%-17.5%-20.1%
Q3 2017-12.6%-16.1%-2.1%
Q2 2017-6.5%-17.0%-19.4%
Q1 2017-27.2%-28.7%-38.3%
Q4 2016-5.5%+0.4%-1.9%
Q3 2016+3.9%+13.0%+13.8%
Q2 2016-4.7%-3.4%-5.6%
Q1 2016-2.6%
Q4 2015-3.4%
Q3 2015+5.7%
Q2 2015-2.5%
Q1 2015+6.8%
Q4 2014+0.7%
Q3 2014+13.0%
Q2 2014-13.1%
Q1 2014-4.1%
Q4 2013-13.4%
Q3 2013-7.5%
Q2 2013+5.2%
Q1 2013+7.8%
Q4 2011-0.5%
Q4 2012-2.9%
Q3 2012-10.0%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2011-6.4%
Q1 2012-0.1%
Q4 2009+4.2%
Q3 2010+10.0%
Q3 2011+10.0%
Q4 2010-6.4%
Q2 2011-6.4%
Q2 2010-6.4%
Q1 2010+2.0%

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