NASDAQ$NCMI
National CineMedia Inc · Q4 2021 earnings
Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
National CineMedia's Q4 2021 earnings showed a significant revenue increase and a return to profitability, marking progress in recovery from the pandemic's impact.
National CineMedia reported a strong recovery in Q4 2021, with a 304.5% increase in revenue to $63.5 million and a net income of $8.6 million, or $0.11 per diluted share, compared to a net loss in the same quarter of the previous year. The company's performance reflects the reopening of theaters and an increase in attendance, leading to positive Adjusted OIBDA for the first time since Q1 2020.
- Total revenue increased by 304.5% to $63.5 million compared to the same quarter last year.
- Operating income was $8.0 million, a 138.5% increase from an operating loss in Q4 2020.
- Net income reached $8.6 million, or $0.11 per diluted share, a significant improvement from a net loss in Q4 2020.
- Adjusted OIBDA turned positive at $18.4 million, marking the first positive figure since Q1 2020.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
National CineMedia · Revenue · Quarterly
$63.5M
Revenue by segment
National CineMedia · $57.7M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023
- National Advertising$44.3M-12.6%76.8%
- Local and Regional$13.4M+27.6%23.2%
Forward guidance
Due to uncertainties related to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Company is providing revenue and Adjusted OIBDA guidance for the first quarter of 2022 only. The Company expects to earn revenue of $32.0 to $35.0 million and Adjusted OIBDA of negative $7.0 million to negative $4.0 million for the first quarter of 2022.
Tailwinds
- Meaningful upfront bookings
- Very strong high-quality film slate for the year
- Growing consumer demand to return to the theaters
- COVID-19 infection levels decrease
- Mask mandates loosen
Headwinds
- Continued uncertainties related to the COVID-19 pandemic over the near term
- Impact of changes in consumer behavior on attendance following the reopening of the theaters
- Revenue of $32.0 to $35.0 million expected for Q1 2022
- Adjusted OIBDA of negative $7.0 million to negative $4.0 million expected for Q1 2022
- Inability to predict the amount and timing of impacts outside of the Company’s control, such as the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021
+2.5%
Avg return
Earnings day
+3.6%
Avg return
5 days after
+1.9%
Avg return
30 days after
43%
28 / 65 earnings
Positive
+232.3%
Q4 2022
Best reaction
-27.2%
Q1 2017
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -2.9% | -19.5% | — | |
| Q4 2025 | +1.4% | +1.4% | -13.4% | |
| Q3 2025 | +0.7% | -9.3% | -3.7% | |
| Q1 2025 | -11.6% | -12.1% | -10.5% | |
| Q4 2024 | -17.8% | -12.9% | -9.9% | |
| Q3 2024 | -8.3% | -11.5% | -0.1% | |
| Q2 2024 | +11.1% | +7.4% | +20.1% | |
| Q1 2024 | +0.9% | -1.5% | +11.4% | |
| Q4 2023 | +19.3% | +32.8% | +5.0% | |
| Q3 2023 | +6.1% | +2.7% | -2.9% | |
| Q2 2023 | +2.4% | -6.5% | +33.2% | |
| Q1 2023 | +3.9% | +0.0% | +12.9% | |
| Q4 2022 | +232.3% | +169.2% | +146.2% | |
| Q3 2022 | +31.3% | +38.1% | -7.1% | |
| Q2 2022 | -19.4% | +2.3% | -35.3% | |
| Q1 2022 | -22.4% | -31.7% | -38.0% | |
| Q4 2021 | -10.7% | -11.7% | -16.7% | |
| Q3 2021 | -1.3% | +0.3% | -25.5% | |
| Q2 2021 | -6.0% | -14.7% | -19.7% | |
| Q1 2021 | -2.7% | +2.1% | +16.3% | |
| Q4 2020 | -2.5% | +26.1% | -4.8% | |
| Q3 2020 | +7.3% | +4.0% | +99.5% | |
| Q2 2020 | +15.8% | +20.2% | +45.7% | |
| Q1 2020 | -5.5% | +3.6% | +1.6% | |
| Q4 2019 | +18.2% | +5.9% | -66.0% | |
| Q3 2019 | -16.6% | -10.1% | -20.5% | |
| Q2 2019 | -3.3% | -0.6% | +16.4% | |
| Q1 2019 | +6.4% | +6.7% | -8.0% | |
| Q4 2018 | +11.8% | +6.5% | +2.5% | |
| Q3 2018 | -15.7% | -12.9% | -19.9% | |
| Q2 2018 | -0.9% | +5.2% | +7.8% | |
| Q1 2018 | +21.9% | +29.6% | +30.3% | |
| Q4 2017 | -10.0% | -17.5% | -20.1% | |
| Q3 2017 | -12.6% | -16.1% | -2.1% | |
| Q2 2017 | -6.5% | -17.0% | -19.4% | |
| Q1 2017 | -27.2% | -28.7% | -38.3% | |
| Q4 2016 | -5.5% | +0.4% | -1.9% | |
| Q3 2016 | +3.9% | +13.0% | +13.8% | |
| Q2 2016 | -4.7% | -3.4% | -5.6% | |
| Q1 2016 | -2.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | -3.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +5.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -2.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +6.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +0.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +13.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -13.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | -4.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -13.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -7.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +5.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +7.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -0.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -2.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -10.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | -6.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +4.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | +10.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +10.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | -6.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -6.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -6.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +2.0% | — | — |
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