NASDAQ$CACC

Credit Acceptance · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Credit Acceptance reported consolidated net income and adjusted net income for Q4 2021 and FY 2021.

Credit Acceptance Corporation announced consolidated net income of $217.6 million, or $14.60 per diluted share, for the three months ended December 31, 2021, compared to $166.3 million, or $9.43 per diluted share, for the same period in 2020. Adjusted net income for the three months ended December 31, 2021, was $212.6 million, or $14.26 per diluted share, compared to $189.5 million, or $10.75 per diluted share, for the same period in 2020.

  • Forecasted collection rates for Consumer Loans assigned in 2019 and 2020 increased, increasing forecasted net cash flows from our loan portfolio by $31.9 million.
  • Forecasted profitability per Consumer Loan assignment has exceeded our initial estimate for Consumer Loans assigned in 2021 and significantly exceeded our initial estimates for Consumer Loans assigned in 2018 through 2020.
  • Consumer Loan assignment volume declined, as unit and dollar volumes declined 22.6% and 12.7%, respectively, as compared to the fourth quarter of 2020.
  • Stock repurchases of approximately 606,000 shares, which represented 4.1% of the shares outstanding at the beginning of the quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$463M

Previous: $447M+3.5%
EPS (adj)

$14.26

Previous: $10.75+32.7%
Consumer Loan unit volume

49.4K

Previous: 63.9K-22.6%
Active dealers

7.5K

Previous: 8.5K-11.5%
Average volume per active dealer

6.6

Previous: 7.6-13.2%
Capital Expenditures

$1.5M

Previous: $800K+87.5%
Free Cash Flow

$130M

Previous: $201M-35.7%
Net Income

$218M

Previous: $166M+30.8%
Operating Income

$285M

Previous: $216M+31.7%
Gross Profit

$330M

Previous: $333M-0.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$23.3M

Previous: $16M+45.6%
Total Assets

$7.05B

Previous: $7.49B-5.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$19.4M

Previous: $1.5M+1193.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Credit Acceptance · Revenue · Quarterly

$463M

Q4 2021+3.5%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Credit Acceptance · $463M total across 3 segments · Q4 2021

  • Finance charges
    $430M+2.9%
  • Other income
    $18.3M+27.1%
  • Premiums earned
    $14.7M-2.6%

Forward guidance

We claim the protection of the safe harbor for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 for all of our forward-looking statements. Statements in this release that are not historical facts, such as those using terms like “may,” “will,” “should,” “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “assume,” “forecast,” “estimate,” “intend,” “plan,” “target” and those regarding our future results, plans and objectives, are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the federal securities laws.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

26 / 65 earnings

Positive

+21.3%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-15.8%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%-0.7%+3.5%
Q4 2025+10.6%+12.4%+4.9%
Q3 2025+0.9%-0.2%+2.1%
Q1 2025-4.0%+2.0%-2.1%
Q4 2024-1.2%+1.0%-4.2%
Q3 2024-6.1%-6.4%+10.0%
Q2 2024-15.8%-18.4%-19.7%
Q1 2024-6.9%-4.3%-7.9%
Q4 2023+4.9%+1.9%-0.4%
Q3 2023-0.5%+9.6%+11.4%
Q2 2023-13.1%-10.5%-9.9%
Q1 2023-12.1%-8.0%-9.0%
Q4 2022+17.2%+17.6%+0.0%
Q3 2022-6.1%-4.9%+1.9%
Q2 2022-8.2%-5.5%-7.6%
Q1 2022+21.3%+17.0%+13.9%
Q4 2021-0.9%-1.9%+4.5%
Q3 2021+12.1%+14.7%+4.5%
Q2 2021+2.6%+14.5%+22.5%
Q1 2021+0.4%+6.3%+13.8%
Q4 2020-14.1%-10.1%-2.8%
Q3 2020-4.9%-3.7%-4.4%
Q2 2020-2.4%-0.9%-4.2%
Q1 2020+4.1%+11.5%+16.5%
Q4 2019-7.1%-6.3%-12.6%
Q3 2019-6.0%-3.2%-1.7%
Q2 2019-2.1%-4.5%-5.9%
Q1 2019-1.0%-0.7%-6.9%
Q4 2018-2.6%+4.4%+9.3%
Q3 2018+8.4%+6.8%+3.9%
Q2 2018+13.7%+18.7%+20.0%
Q1 2018-2.1%-0.6%+8.1%
Q4 2017-11.5%-14.4%-14.6%
Q3 2017-4.1%-6.1%+1.7%
Q2 2017+9.1%+9.1%+8.9%
Q1 2017+7.9%+6.1%+5.8%
Q4 2016-5.5%-1.7%-1.4%
Q3 2016-11.4%-9.2%+3.8%
Q2 2016+5.0%+6.1%+8.0%
Q1 2016-5.8%
Q4 2015-3.4%
Q3 2015-13.1%
Q2 2015+9.8%
Q1 2015+9.9%
Q4 2014+13.4%
Q3 2014+6.3%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014-6.9%
Q4 2013+8.1%
Q3 2013-0.7%
Q2 2013+0.4%
Q1 2013-2.2%
Q4 2009-7.5%
Q4 2012+3.5%
Q3 2012-0.1%
Q2 2012+4.2%
Q1 2011-7.3%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q3 2011+5.6%
Q3 2010+5.6%
Q2 2011-0.7%
Q4 2010-0.7%
Q2 2010-0.7%
Q1 2010-0.1%

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