NASDAQ$CACC

Credit Acceptance · Q1 2022 earnings

Q1 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced first quarter 2022 results, with net income of $214.3 million and EPS of $14.94.

Credit Acceptance Corporation reported a consolidated net income of $214.3 million, or $14.94 per diluted share, for the three months ended March 31, 2022, compared to $202.1 million, or $11.82 per diluted share, for the same period in 2021. The results were influenced by increased forecasted collection rates, high profitability per consumer loan, and a decline in consumer loan assignment volume.

  • Forecasted collection rates increased for consumer loans assigned in 2016, 2017, and 2019 through 2021, increasing forecasted net cash flows by $110.2 million.
  • Forecasted profitability per consumer loan assignment significantly exceeded initial estimates for loans assigned in 2018 through 2021.
  • Consumer loan assignment volume decreased, with unit and dollar volumes declining 22.1% and 10.5%, respectively, compared to Q1 2021.
  • Approximately 802,000 shares were repurchased, representing 5.7% of the shares outstanding at the beginning of the quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$456M

Previous: $451M+1.0%
EPS (adj)

$13.76

Previous: $9.64+42.7%
Consumer Loan unit volume

73.1K

Previous: 93.9K-22.1%
Active dealers

8.3K

Previous: 9.1K-9.4%
Average volume per active dealer

8.8

Previous: 10.3-14.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.7M

Previous: -$800K-112.5%
Free Cash Flow

$213M

Previous: $201M+5.6%
Net Income

$214M

Previous: $202M+6.0%
Operating Income

$408M

Previous: $378M+7.9%
Gross Profit

$447M

Previous: $442M+1.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$17.6M

Previous: $45.7M-61.5%
Total Assets

$7.04B

Previous: $7.71B-8.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$9.1M

Previous: $1.1M+727.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Credit Acceptance · Revenue · Quarterly

$456M

Q1 2022+1%vs Q1 2021
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Credit Acceptance · $456M total across 3 segments · Q1 2022

  • Finance charges
    $424M-0.2%
  • Other income
    $17.8M+52.1%
  • Premiums earned
    $13.8M-4.2%

Forward guidance

Unit volume for April 2022 declined 13.8% compared to April 2021, but the year-over-year change in unit volume improved significantly throughout the month. Should recent trends continue for the remainder of 2022, the year-over-year change in unit volume would improve from April 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Significant improvement in year-over-year unit volume change throughout April 2022.
  • Potential for continued improvement in unit volume trends throughout the remainder of 2022.
  • Anticipated improvement in year-over-year unit volume change compared to the significant decline in 2021.
  • Increase in the average advance paid per unit due to increases in both the average size of consumer loans and the average advance rate.
  • Focus on maximizing economic profit within capital and infrastructure constraints.

Headwinds

  • Unit volume for April 2022 declined 13.8% compared to April 2021.
  • Decline in consumer loan assignment volume, with unit and dollar volumes down 22.1% and 10.5%, respectively, in Q1 2022.
  • Decline in the number of active dealers by 9.4% and a 14.6% decrease in the average unit volume per active dealer.
  • Belief that low dealer inventories and elevated used vehicle prices are due to supply chain disruptions in the automotive industry.
  • Impact of the distribution of federal stimulus payments in the first four months of 2021 affecting unit volume comparisons.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2022

Historical avgQ1 2022

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

26 / 65 earnings

Positive

+21.3%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-15.8%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%-0.7%+3.5%
Q4 2025+10.6%+12.4%+4.9%
Q3 2025+0.9%-0.2%+2.1%
Q1 2025-4.0%+2.0%-2.1%
Q4 2024-1.2%+1.0%-4.2%
Q3 2024-6.1%-6.4%+10.0%
Q2 2024-15.8%-18.4%-19.7%
Q1 2024-6.9%-4.3%-7.9%
Q4 2023+4.9%+1.9%-0.4%
Q3 2023-0.5%+9.6%+11.4%
Q2 2023-13.1%-10.5%-9.9%
Q1 2023-12.1%-8.0%-9.0%
Q4 2022+17.2%+17.6%+0.0%
Q3 2022-6.1%-4.9%+1.9%
Q2 2022-8.2%-5.5%-7.6%
Q1 2022+21.3%+17.0%+13.9%
Q4 2021-0.9%-1.9%+4.5%
Q3 2021+12.1%+14.7%+4.5%
Q2 2021+2.6%+14.5%+22.5%
Q1 2021+0.4%+6.3%+13.8%
Q4 2020-14.1%-10.1%-2.8%
Q3 2020-4.9%-3.7%-4.4%
Q2 2020-2.4%-0.9%-4.2%
Q1 2020+4.1%+11.5%+16.5%
Q4 2019-7.1%-6.3%-12.6%
Q3 2019-6.0%-3.2%-1.7%
Q2 2019-2.1%-4.5%-5.9%
Q1 2019-1.0%-0.7%-6.9%
Q4 2018-2.6%+4.4%+9.3%
Q3 2018+8.4%+6.8%+3.9%
Q2 2018+13.7%+18.7%+20.0%
Q1 2018-2.1%-0.6%+8.1%
Q4 2017-11.5%-14.4%-14.6%
Q3 2017-4.1%-6.1%+1.7%
Q2 2017+9.1%+9.1%+8.9%
Q1 2017+7.9%+6.1%+5.8%
Q4 2016-5.5%-1.7%-1.4%
Q3 2016-11.4%-9.2%+3.8%
Q2 2016+5.0%+6.1%+8.0%
Q1 2016-5.8%
Q4 2015-3.4%
Q3 2015-13.1%
Q2 2015+9.8%
Q1 2015+9.9%
Q4 2014+13.4%
Q3 2014+6.3%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014-6.9%
Q4 2013+8.1%
Q3 2013-0.7%
Q2 2013+0.4%
Q1 2013-2.2%
Q4 2009-7.5%
Q4 2012+3.5%
Q3 2012-0.1%
Q2 2012+4.2%
Q1 2011-7.3%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q3 2011+5.6%
Q3 2010+5.6%
Q2 2011-0.7%
Q4 2010-0.7%
Q2 2010-0.7%
Q1 2010-0.1%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro