NASDAQ$CACC

Credit Acceptance · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Credit Acceptance reported strong Q2 results driven by improved loan performance and effective cost management.

Credit Acceptance Corporation announced consolidated net income of $288.6 million, or $17.18 per diluted share, for the three months ended June 30, 2021, compared to $96.4 million, or $5.40 per diluted share, for the same period in 2020. The results were driven by an increase in forecasted collection rates, impacting net cash flows positively, and a decrease in operating expenses.

  • Forecasted collection rates for Consumer Loans assigned in 2017 through 2021 increased, boosting forecasted net cash flows by $104.5 million.
  • Profitability per Consumer Loan assignment was consistent with initial estimates for 2021 assignments and exceeded estimates for 2018-2020 assignments.
  • Consumer Loan assignment volume declined, with unit and dollar volumes decreasing by 28.7% and 20.5%, respectively.
  • The company repurchased approximately 598,000 shares, representing 3.6% of the shares outstanding at the beginning of the quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$472M

Previous: $406M+16.1%
EPS (adj)

$13.71

Previous: $8.63+58.9%
Consumer Loan unit volume

69.8K

Previous: 97.9K-28.7%
Active dealers

8.3K

Previous: 9.3K-10.8%
Average volume per active dealer

8.4

Previous: 10.5-20.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.1M

Previous: -$6.3M+50.8%
Free Cash Flow

$286M

Previous: $90.1M+216.9%
Net Income

$289M

Previous: $96.4M+199.4%
Operating Income

$429M

Previous: $364M+17.9%
Gross Profit

$461M

Previous: $397M+16.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$384M

Previous: $8.5M+4411.8%
Total Assets

$7.8B

Previous: $7.34B+6.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$11.5M

Previous: $1.4M+721.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Credit Acceptance · Revenue · Quarterly

$472M

Q2 2021+16.1%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Credit Acceptance · $472M total across 3 segments · Q2 2021

  • Finance charges
    $445M+17.8%
  • Premiums earned
    $15.8M+11.3%
  • Other income
    $10.5M-24.5%

Forward guidance

The company did not provide specific forward guidance but noted the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on their business, particularly related to dealer inventories and used vehicle prices.

Tailwinds

  • Continued focus on maximizing economic profit within capital and infrastructure constraints.
  • Expectations of long-term value creation through strategic investments.
  • Commitment to improving credit scores for consumers.
  • Adaptation to market changes and economic conditions.
  • Aiming to provide opportunity to improve lives.

Headwinds

  • Ongoing impact of COVID-19 pandemic on business operations.
  • Decline in consumer loan assignment volume.
  • Low dealer inventories and increasing used vehicle prices.
  • Potential challenges in accurately forecasting future collections.
  • Dependence on external economic conditions and market factors.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

26 / 65 earnings

Positive

+21.3%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-15.8%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%-0.7%+3.5%
Q4 2025+10.6%+12.4%+4.9%
Q3 2025+0.9%-0.2%+2.1%
Q1 2025-4.0%+2.0%-2.1%
Q4 2024-1.2%+1.0%-4.2%
Q3 2024-6.1%-6.4%+10.0%
Q2 2024-15.8%-18.4%-19.7%
Q1 2024-6.9%-4.3%-7.9%
Q4 2023+4.9%+1.9%-0.4%
Q3 2023-0.5%+9.6%+11.4%
Q2 2023-13.1%-10.5%-9.9%
Q1 2023-12.1%-8.0%-9.0%
Q4 2022+17.2%+17.6%+0.0%
Q3 2022-6.1%-4.9%+1.9%
Q2 2022-8.2%-5.5%-7.6%
Q1 2022+21.3%+17.0%+13.9%
Q4 2021-0.9%-1.9%+4.5%
Q3 2021+12.1%+14.7%+4.5%
Q2 2021+2.6%+14.5%+22.5%
Q1 2021+0.4%+6.3%+13.8%
Q4 2020-14.1%-10.1%-2.8%
Q3 2020-4.9%-3.7%-4.4%
Q2 2020-2.4%-0.9%-4.2%
Q1 2020+4.1%+11.5%+16.5%
Q4 2019-7.1%-6.3%-12.6%
Q3 2019-6.0%-3.2%-1.7%
Q2 2019-2.1%-4.5%-5.9%
Q1 2019-1.0%-0.7%-6.9%
Q4 2018-2.6%+4.4%+9.3%
Q3 2018+8.4%+6.8%+3.9%
Q2 2018+13.7%+18.7%+20.0%
Q1 2018-2.1%-0.6%+8.1%
Q4 2017-11.5%-14.4%-14.6%
Q3 2017-4.1%-6.1%+1.7%
Q2 2017+9.1%+9.1%+8.9%
Q1 2017+7.9%+6.1%+5.8%
Q4 2016-5.5%-1.7%-1.4%
Q3 2016-11.4%-9.2%+3.8%
Q2 2016+5.0%+6.1%+8.0%
Q1 2016-5.8%
Q4 2015-3.4%
Q3 2015-13.1%
Q2 2015+9.8%
Q1 2015+9.9%
Q4 2014+13.4%
Q3 2014+6.3%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014-6.9%
Q4 2013+8.1%
Q3 2013-0.7%
Q2 2013+0.4%
Q1 2013-2.2%
Q4 2009-7.5%
Q4 2012+3.5%
Q3 2012-0.1%
Q2 2012+4.2%
Q1 2011-7.3%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q3 2011+5.6%
Q3 2010+5.6%
Q2 2011-0.7%
Q4 2010-0.7%
Q2 2010-0.7%
Q1 2010-0.1%

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