NASDAQ$CACC

Credit Acceptance · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Credit Acceptance Corporation reported consolidated net income for Q3 2020, surpassing the income reported in the same period of the previous year.

Credit Acceptance Corporation announced consolidated net income of $242.1 million, or $13.56 per diluted share, for the three months ended September 30, 2020, compared to consolidated net income of $165.4 million, or $8.73 per diluted share, for the same period in 2019. However, the company acknowledges the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on its business, with uncertainty remaining as to when economic conditions will return to normalcy.

  • Consolidated net income increased to $242.1 million, or $13.56 per diluted share, for the three months ended September 30, 2020, compared to $165.4 million, or $8.73 per diluted share, for the same period in 2019.
  • Adjusted net income, a non-GAAP financial measure, was $167.0 million, or $9.36 per diluted share, for the three months ended September 30, 2020, compared to $168.4 million, or $8.89 per diluted share, for the same period in 2019.
  • Forecasted collection rates improved for Consumer Loans assigned in 2017 through 2020 and were generally consistent with expectations at the start of the period for all other assignment years presented.
  • Unit and dollar volumes declined 8.8% and 4.7%, respectively, during the third quarter of 2020 as the number of active dealers declined 6.5% while average unit volume per active dealer declined 2.2%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$427M

Previous: $379M+12.6%
EPS (adj)

$9.36

Previous: $8.89+5.3%
Consumer Loan unit volume

78.7K

Previous: 86.3K-8.8%
Active dealers

8.9K

Previous: 9.6K-6.5%
Average volume per active dealer

8.8

Previous: 9-2.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$7.7M

Previous: -$23.6M+67.4%
Free Cash Flow

$234M

Previous: $142M+65.3%
Net Income

$242M

Previous: $165M+46.4%
Operating Income

$382M

Previous: $337M+13.4%
Gross Profit

$416M

Previous: $371M+12.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$8.9M

Previous: $24.7M-64.0%
Total Assets

$7.42B

Previous: $7.07B+5.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.5M

Previous: $2M-25.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Credit Acceptance · Revenue · Quarterly

$427M

Q3 2020+12.6%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Credit Acceptance · $427M total across 3 segments · Q3 2020

  • Finance charges
    $404M
  • Premiums earned
    $15.1M
  • Other income
    $7M

Forward guidance

The company refrains from providing specific forward guidance due to the uncertainty caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Tailwinds

  • Not applicable, no specific positives mentioned in the context of forward guidance.
  • Not applicable, no specific positives mentioned in the context of forward guidance.
  • Not applicable, no specific positives mentioned in the context of forward guidance.
  • Not applicable, no specific positives mentioned in the context of forward guidance.
  • Not applicable, no specific positives mentioned in the context of forward guidance.

Headwinds

  • Our inability to accurately forecast and estimate the amount and timing of future collections could have a material adverse effect on results of operations.
  • We may be unable to execute our business strategy due to current economic conditions.
  • We may be unable to continue to access or renew funding sources and obtain capital needed to maintain and grow our business.
  • The terms of our debt limit how we conduct our business.
  • A violation of the terms of our asset-backed secured financing facilities or revolving secured warehouse facilities could have a material adverse impact on our operations.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

26 / 65 earnings

Positive

+21.3%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-15.8%

Q2 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%-0.7%+3.5%
Q4 2025+10.6%+12.4%+4.9%
Q3 2025+0.9%-0.2%+2.1%
Q1 2025-4.0%+2.0%-2.1%
Q4 2024-1.2%+1.0%-4.2%
Q3 2024-6.1%-6.4%+10.0%
Q2 2024-15.8%-18.4%-19.7%
Q1 2024-6.9%-4.3%-7.9%
Q4 2023+4.9%+1.9%-0.4%
Q3 2023-0.5%+9.6%+11.4%
Q2 2023-13.1%-10.5%-9.9%
Q1 2023-12.1%-8.0%-9.0%
Q4 2022+17.2%+17.6%+0.0%
Q3 2022-6.1%-4.9%+1.9%
Q2 2022-8.2%-5.5%-7.6%
Q1 2022+21.3%+17.0%+13.9%
Q4 2021-0.9%-1.9%+4.5%
Q3 2021+12.1%+14.7%+4.5%
Q2 2021+2.6%+14.5%+22.5%
Q1 2021+0.4%+6.3%+13.8%
Q4 2020-14.1%-10.1%-2.8%
Q3 2020-4.9%-3.7%-4.4%
Q2 2020-2.4%-0.9%-4.2%
Q1 2020+4.1%+11.5%+16.5%
Q4 2019-7.1%-6.3%-12.6%
Q3 2019-6.0%-3.2%-1.7%
Q2 2019-2.1%-4.5%-5.9%
Q1 2019-1.0%-0.7%-6.9%
Q4 2018-2.6%+4.4%+9.3%
Q3 2018+8.4%+6.8%+3.9%
Q2 2018+13.7%+18.7%+20.0%
Q1 2018-2.1%-0.6%+8.1%
Q4 2017-11.5%-14.4%-14.6%
Q3 2017-4.1%-6.1%+1.7%
Q2 2017+9.1%+9.1%+8.9%
Q1 2017+7.9%+6.1%+5.8%
Q4 2016-5.5%-1.7%-1.4%
Q3 2016-11.4%-9.2%+3.8%
Q2 2016+5.0%+6.1%+8.0%
Q1 2016-5.8%
Q4 2015-3.4%
Q3 2015-13.1%
Q2 2015+9.8%
Q1 2015+9.9%
Q4 2014+13.4%
Q3 2014+6.3%
Q2 2014-3.6%
Q1 2014-6.9%
Q4 2013+8.1%
Q3 2013-0.7%
Q2 2013+0.4%
Q1 2013-2.2%
Q4 2009-7.5%
Q4 2012+3.5%
Q3 2012-0.1%
Q2 2012+4.2%
Q1 2011-7.3%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q3 2011+5.6%
Q3 2010+5.6%
Q2 2011-0.7%
Q4 2010-0.7%
Q2 2010-0.7%
Q1 2010-0.1%

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