NYSE$TREX

Trex Co Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Trex reported robust demand and record results.

Trex Company reported a 33% increase in consolidated net sales, reaching $304 million for the fourth quarter of 2021. Net income was reported at $25 million, or $0.22 per diluted share. Adjusted net income was $64 million, or $0.55 per diluted share. The company's adjusted EBITDA increased by 44% to $92 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 30.2%.

  • Consolidated net sales increased 33% to $304 million.
  • Net income of $25 million; diluted earnings per share of $0.22.
  • Adjusted net income of $64 million, up 47%; Adjusted EPS of $0.55, up 49%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA up 44% to $92 million; Adjusted EBITDA margin of 30.2%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$304M

Previous: $228M+33.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.55

Previous: $0.37+48.6%
Gross Margin

38.9%

Previous: 40.5%-4.0%
SG&A Expense

$37M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$34.9M

Previous: $73.1M-52.2%
Free Cash Flow

$110M

Previous: $102M+8.3%
Net Income

$25M

Previous: $43M-41.9%
Operating Income

$30.4M

Previous: $58.2M-47.7%
Gross Profit

$118M

Previous: $92.4M+27.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$141M

Previous: $122M+15.9%
Total Assets

$920M

Previous: $770M+19.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.24M

Previous: $1.21M+85.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Trex · Revenue · Quarterly

$304M

Q4 2021+33.1%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

First quarter 2022 consolidated net sales are expected to range from $320 million to $330 million, representing 32% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. For the full year 2022, we expect double-digit revenue growth rates with a return to a more normalized seasonal cadence similar to pre-pandemic patterns. We anticipate full-year 2022 incremental EBITDA margin of 30% to 35%, which includes additional investments in marketing and branding now that we have ramped up our new capacity and market inventories have improved. Our capital expenditure guidance for 2022 is $200 million to $220 million.

Tailwinds

  • Expected double-digit revenue growth rates for full year 2022.
  • Return to a more normalized seasonal cadence similar to pre-pandemic patterns expected in 2022.
  • Full-year 2022 incremental EBITDA margin of 30% to 35% anticipated.
  • Additional investments in marketing and branding planned.
  • New capacity has ramped up and market inventories have improved.

Headwinds

  • Managing through operating headwinds including higher raw material costs.
  • Managing through operating headwinds including higher transportation costs.
  • Revenues from Trex Commercial to be constrained in 2022.
  • Uncertainty created in commercial markets by the COVID-19 virus.
  • Delay in new projects influenced by the COVID-19 virus.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

33 / 65 earnings

Positive

+26.8%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-31.1%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.9%-2.2%-0.7%
Q4 2025+0.7%-1.9%-14.3%
Q3 2025-31.1%-31.5%-26.7%
Q1 2025-1.0%+3.6%-2.8%
Q4 2024+1.2%+5.1%-5.8%
Q3 2024+9.8%+10.0%+15.7%
Q2 2024-20.4%-19.5%-19.4%
Q1 2024-3.8%-2.5%-11.7%
Q4 2023-0.7%+0.9%+5.8%
Q3 2023+3.6%+15.5%+29.4%
Q2 2023+9.7%+4.8%+2.9%
Q1 2023+10.2%+2.6%+5.4%
Q4 2022+2.0%-4.1%+5.9%
Q3 2022-10.6%-14.3%-7.0%
Q2 2022-16.0%-8.7%-27.2%
Q1 2022+5.7%+13.2%+16.5%
Q4 2021-8.0%-17.4%-22.0%
Q3 2021+16.2%+13.6%+23.0%
Q2 2021+0.3%+8.4%+14.4%
Q1 2021-2.5%-3.8%-10.1%
Q4 2020-11.2%-10.7%-14.7%
Q3 2020+2.0%+14.5%+6.2%
Q2 2020-0.3%-0.2%+9.3%
Q1 2020+18.8%+25.2%+27.1%
Q4 2019-2.4%-10.0%-23.4%
Q3 2019-6.6%-0.7%-2.8%
Q2 2019+14.3%+12.5%+18.4%
Q1 2019-8.9%-11.0%-19.2%
Q4 2018-1.2%+0.7%-9.7%
Q3 2018-0.5%+7.6%+5.0%
Q2 2018+20.2%+21.4%+30.1%
Q1 2018+12.6%+9.1%+19.4%
Q4 2017-4.9%+0.2%-3.1%
Q3 2017+22.8%+17.1%+31.1%
Q2 2017+3.4%+6.5%+3.1%
Q1 2017-7.5%-10.8%-7.9%
Q4 2016-5.7%-5.0%-0.4%
Q3 2016+11.0%+22.3%+27.6%
Q2 2016+17.4%+22.2%+27.7%
Q1 2016-6.5%
Q4 2015+16.9%
Q3 2015-2.9%
Q2 2015-10.6%
Q1 2015+0.3%
Q4 2014+4.1%
Q3 2014+7.7%
Q2 2014+18.5%
Q1 2014-10.9%
Q4 2013+10.8%
Q3 2013+26.8%
Q2 2013-11.7%
Q1 2013+8.4%
Q4 2012+7.6%
Q3 2012+12.4%
Q2 2012-5.9%
Q1 2011-6.9%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2009+3.6%
Q4 2011+3.6%
Q3 2011+7.5%
Q3 2010+7.5%
Q2 2011-13.5%
Q4 2010-13.5%
Q2 2010-13.5%
Q1 2010-2.5%

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