NYSE$TREX

Trex Co Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Trex's first quarter performance demonstrated broad appeal and attractiveness, with results aligning with expectations.

Trex Company reported first quarter 2023 results with net sales of $239 million, a gross margin of 39.6%, net income of $41 million, and EPS of $0.38. The company's EBITDA was $69 million, representing an EBITDA margin of 28.8%.

  • Net sales reached $239 million.
  • Gross margin was reported at 39.6%.
  • Net income amounted to $41 million, with diluted earnings per share at $0.38.
  • EBITDA stood at $69 million, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 28.8%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$239M

Previous: $339M-29.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.38

Previous: $0.62-38.7%
Gross Margin

39.6%

Previous: 39.8%-0.5%
SG&A Expense

$37M

Previous: $11.80+313559222.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$39.2M

Previous: -$22.3M-75.8%
Free Cash Flow

$1.94M

Previous: $48.9M-96.0%
Net Income

$41.1M

Previous: $71.2M-42.2%
Operating Income

$56.9M

Previous: $95M-40.0%
Gross Profit

$94.4M

Previous: $135M-30.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.92M

Previous: $115M-96.6%
Total Assets

$1.13B

Previous: $972M+16.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.97M

Previous: $2.23M-11.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Trex · Revenue · Quarterly

$239M

Q1 2023-29.6%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company anticipates second quarter 2023 net sales to be in the range of $310 million to $320 million and reaffirms its expectation for full year 2023 EBITDA margin in the range of 26% to 27%. Capital expenditures for 2023 are expected to be in the $130 million to $140 million range.

Tailwinds

  • Trex anticipates second quarter 2023 net sales to be in the range of $310 million to $320 million
  • First quarter margin performance supports our expectation for full year 2023 EBITDA margin in the range of 26% to 27%.
  • Trex Board of Directors adopted a new stock repurchase program of up to 10.8 million shares of its outstanding common stock
  • Trex terminated the existing stock repurchase program.
  • Year-to-date market demand has been consistent with our expectations.

Headwinds

  • Decrease was primarily due to a decrease in volume, attributable to more cautious purchase patterns by the channel in the face of softening economic conditions.
  • Also impacting first quarter earnings is the absence of revenue from Trex Commercial, which was sold on December 30,2022.
  • Consolidated gross profit as a percentage of net sales, gross margin, was 39.6% in the first quarter of 2023 compared to consolidated gross margin of 39.8% and Residential gross margin of 40.9% in the same quarter last year.
  • The decrease was primarily the result of lower capacity utilization due to a decrease in production levels.
  • Capital expenditures for 2023 are expected to be in the $130 million to $140 million range, primarily related to the modular build out of our Arkansas facility, which will be calibrated to demand trends

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

33 / 65 earnings

Positive

+26.8%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-31.1%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.9%-2.2%-0.7%
Q4 2025+0.7%-1.9%-14.3%
Q3 2025-31.1%-31.5%-26.7%
Q1 2025-1.0%+3.6%-2.8%
Q4 2024+1.2%+5.1%-5.8%
Q3 2024+9.8%+10.0%+15.7%
Q2 2024-20.4%-19.5%-19.4%
Q1 2024-3.8%-2.5%-11.7%
Q4 2023-0.7%+0.9%+5.8%
Q3 2023+3.6%+15.5%+29.4%
Q2 2023+9.7%+4.8%+2.9%
Q1 2023+10.2%+2.6%+5.4%
Q4 2022+2.0%-4.1%+5.9%
Q3 2022-10.6%-14.3%-7.0%
Q2 2022-16.0%-8.7%-27.2%
Q1 2022+5.7%+13.2%+16.5%
Q4 2021-8.0%-17.4%-22.0%
Q3 2021+16.2%+13.6%+23.0%
Q2 2021+0.3%+8.4%+14.4%
Q1 2021-2.5%-3.8%-10.1%
Q4 2020-11.2%-10.7%-14.7%
Q3 2020+2.0%+14.5%+6.2%
Q2 2020-0.3%-0.2%+9.3%
Q1 2020+18.8%+25.2%+27.1%
Q4 2019-2.4%-10.0%-23.4%
Q3 2019-6.6%-0.7%-2.8%
Q2 2019+14.3%+12.5%+18.4%
Q1 2019-8.9%-11.0%-19.2%
Q4 2018-1.2%+0.7%-9.7%
Q3 2018-0.5%+7.6%+5.0%
Q2 2018+20.2%+21.4%+30.1%
Q1 2018+12.6%+9.1%+19.4%
Q4 2017-4.9%+0.2%-3.1%
Q3 2017+22.8%+17.1%+31.1%
Q2 2017+3.4%+6.5%+3.1%
Q1 2017-7.5%-10.8%-7.9%
Q4 2016-5.7%-5.0%-0.4%
Q3 2016+11.0%+22.3%+27.6%
Q2 2016+17.4%+22.2%+27.7%
Q1 2016-6.5%
Q4 2015+16.9%
Q3 2015-2.9%
Q2 2015-10.6%
Q1 2015+0.3%
Q4 2014+4.1%
Q3 2014+7.7%
Q2 2014+18.5%
Q1 2014-10.9%
Q4 2013+10.8%
Q3 2013+26.8%
Q2 2013-11.7%
Q1 2013+8.4%
Q4 2012+7.6%
Q3 2012+12.4%
Q2 2012-5.9%
Q1 2011-6.9%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2009+3.6%
Q4 2011+3.6%
Q3 2011+7.5%
Q3 2010+7.5%
Q2 2011-13.5%
Q4 2010-13.5%
Q2 2010-13.5%
Q1 2010-2.5%

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