NYSE$TREX

Trex Co Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Trex's Q1 2021 results reflected strong revenue growth and improved profitability.

Trex Company reported a 23% increase in consolidated net sales, reaching $246 million in Q1 2021. The company's diluted earnings per share increased by 17% to $0.42, and EBITDA grew by 20% to $71 million. Trex Residential Products saw a 25% increase in net sales, driven by sustained demand and market share gains.

  • Consolidated net sales increased 23% to $246 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share increased 17% to $0.42.
  • EBITDA increased 20% to $71 million with an EBITDA margin of 28.9%.
  • Company reaffirms full year 2021 incremental EBITDA margin guidance of 35% to 40%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$246M

Previous: $200M+22.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.42

Previous: $0.37+13.5%
Gross Margin

39.0%

Previous: 44.8%-12.9%
SG&A Expense

$31M

Previous: $35M-11.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$58.1M

Previous: -$22.7M-155.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$9.55M

Previous: $19.7M-148.5%
Net Income

$48.5M

Previous: $42.4M+14.5%
Operating Income

$64.5M

Previous: $55.1M+17.0%
Gross Profit

$95.8M

Previous: $89.7M+6.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$8.22M

Previous: $5.34M+54.0%
Total Assets

$900M

Previous: $631M+42.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.18M

Previous: $2.78M-21.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Trex · Revenue · Quarterly

$246M

Q1 2021+22.5%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For the second quarter of 2021, Trex expects consolidated net sales to range from $295 million to $305 million, representing 36% year-over-year growth at the midpoint of the range. They are also reaffirming guidance for full year 2021 incremental EBITDA margin of between 35% and 40%.

Tailwinds

  • Consolidated net sales are expected to range from $295 million to $305 million.
  • Represents 36% year-over-year growth at the midpoint of the range.
  • Reaffirming guidance for full year 2021 incremental EBITDA margin of between 35% and 40%.
  • Capacity expansion to be completed ahead of schedule.
  • Price increases on most products will take effect in August 2021.

Headwinds

  • Increased inflation across many key raw materials.
  • Increased transportation costs.
  • Start-up costs related to capacity expansion program.
  • Increased depreciation related to capital expansion program.
  • Reduced overhead absorption due to a fire at the Virginia facility.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

33 / 65 earnings

Positive

+26.8%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-31.1%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.9%-2.2%-0.7%
Q4 2025+0.7%-1.9%-14.3%
Q3 2025-31.1%-31.5%-26.7%
Q1 2025-1.0%+3.6%-2.8%
Q4 2024+1.2%+5.1%-5.8%
Q3 2024+9.8%+10.0%+15.7%
Q2 2024-20.4%-19.5%-19.4%
Q1 2024-3.8%-2.5%-11.7%
Q4 2023-0.7%+0.9%+5.8%
Q3 2023+3.6%+15.5%+29.4%
Q2 2023+9.7%+4.8%+2.9%
Q1 2023+10.2%+2.6%+5.4%
Q4 2022+2.0%-4.1%+5.9%
Q3 2022-10.6%-14.3%-7.0%
Q2 2022-16.0%-8.7%-27.2%
Q1 2022+5.7%+13.2%+16.5%
Q4 2021-8.0%-17.4%-22.0%
Q3 2021+16.2%+13.6%+23.0%
Q2 2021+0.3%+8.4%+14.4%
Q1 2021-2.5%-3.8%-10.1%
Q4 2020-11.2%-10.7%-14.7%
Q3 2020+2.0%+14.5%+6.2%
Q2 2020-0.3%-0.2%+9.3%
Q1 2020+18.8%+25.2%+27.1%
Q4 2019-2.4%-10.0%-23.4%
Q3 2019-6.6%-0.7%-2.8%
Q2 2019+14.3%+12.5%+18.4%
Q1 2019-8.9%-11.0%-19.2%
Q4 2018-1.2%+0.7%-9.7%
Q3 2018-0.5%+7.6%+5.0%
Q2 2018+20.2%+21.4%+30.1%
Q1 2018+12.6%+9.1%+19.4%
Q4 2017-4.9%+0.2%-3.1%
Q3 2017+22.8%+17.1%+31.1%
Q2 2017+3.4%+6.5%+3.1%
Q1 2017-7.5%-10.8%-7.9%
Q4 2016-5.7%-5.0%-0.4%
Q3 2016+11.0%+22.3%+27.6%
Q2 2016+17.4%+22.2%+27.7%
Q1 2016-6.5%
Q4 2015+16.9%
Q3 2015-2.9%
Q2 2015-10.6%
Q1 2015+0.3%
Q4 2014+4.1%
Q3 2014+7.7%
Q2 2014+18.5%
Q1 2014-10.9%
Q4 2013+10.8%
Q3 2013+26.8%
Q2 2013-11.7%
Q1 2013+8.4%
Q4 2012+7.6%
Q3 2012+12.4%
Q2 2012-5.9%
Q1 2011-6.9%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2009+3.6%
Q4 2011+3.6%
Q3 2011+7.5%
Q3 2010+7.5%
Q2 2011-13.5%
Q4 2010-13.5%
Q2 2010-13.5%
Q1 2010-2.5%

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