NYSE$TREX

Trex Co Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Trex experienced continued demand for residential decking and railing products, leveraging operating efficiencies through expanded gross margin and lower SG&A expenses.

Trex Company reported a 7% increase in consolidated net sales, reaching $221 million. The company's gross margin expanded to 41.9%, and earnings per diluted share increased by 33% to $0.81.

  • Consolidated net sales increased 7% to $221 million.
  • Consolidated gross margin of 41.9%, up 150 basis points.
  • EBITDA margin of 30.6%, up 580 basis points.
  • Consolidated earnings per diluted share of $0.81, up 33%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$221M

Previous: $206M+6.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.41

Previous: $0.32+28.1%
Gross Margin

41.9%

Previous: 40.4%+3.7%
SG&A Expense

$13.20

Previous: $17.30-23.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$62.6M

Previous: -$19.1M-228.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$15.4M

Previous: $16.6M-192.5%
Net Income

$47.2M

Previous: $35.7M+32.2%
Operating Income

$63.4M

Previous: $47.7M+32.8%
Gross Profit

$92.4M

Previous: $83.4M+10.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$12.2M

Previous: $106M-88.5%
Total Assets

$671M

Previous: $536M+25.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.53M

Previous: $2.13M-28.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Trex · Revenue · Quarterly

$221M

Q2 2020+6.9%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For the third quarter of 2020, Trex expects consolidated net sales of approximately $215 million to $225 million, representing 13% year-over-year growth at the midpoint.

Tailwinds

  • Trex expects full year 2020 incremental gross margin to be 45% to 50% inclusive of additional COVID-19 related expenses.
  • Full year SG&A as a percentage of sales to improve by 80 to 100 basis points compared to the prior year.
  • A full year tax rate of approximately 25%.
  • Full year capital spending of $150 million to $170 million.
  • Trex Board of Directors has approved a 2-for-1 stock split of the Company’s common shares.

Headwinds

  • The extent of market acceptance of the Company’s current and newly developed products.
  • The costs associated with the development and launch of new products and the market acceptance of such new products.
  • The sensitivity of the Company’s business to general economic conditions.
  • The impact of seasonal and weather-related demand fluctuations on inventory levels in the distribution channel and sales of the Company’s products.
  • Material adverse impacts from global public health pandemics, including the strain of coronavirus known as COVID-19.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

33 / 65 earnings

Positive

+26.8%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-31.1%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.9%-2.2%-0.7%
Q4 2025+0.7%-1.9%-14.3%
Q3 2025-31.1%-31.5%-26.7%
Q1 2025-1.0%+3.6%-2.8%
Q4 2024+1.2%+5.1%-5.8%
Q3 2024+9.8%+10.0%+15.7%
Q2 2024-20.4%-19.5%-19.4%
Q1 2024-3.8%-2.5%-11.7%
Q4 2023-0.7%+0.9%+5.8%
Q3 2023+3.6%+15.5%+29.4%
Q2 2023+9.7%+4.8%+2.9%
Q1 2023+10.2%+2.6%+5.4%
Q4 2022+2.0%-4.1%+5.9%
Q3 2022-10.6%-14.3%-7.0%
Q2 2022-16.0%-8.7%-27.2%
Q1 2022+5.7%+13.2%+16.5%
Q4 2021-8.0%-17.4%-22.0%
Q3 2021+16.2%+13.6%+23.0%
Q2 2021+0.3%+8.4%+14.4%
Q1 2021-2.5%-3.8%-10.1%
Q4 2020-11.2%-10.7%-14.7%
Q3 2020+2.0%+14.5%+6.2%
Q2 2020-0.3%-0.2%+9.3%
Q1 2020+18.8%+25.2%+27.1%
Q4 2019-2.4%-10.0%-23.4%
Q3 2019-6.6%-0.7%-2.8%
Q2 2019+14.3%+12.5%+18.4%
Q1 2019-8.9%-11.0%-19.2%
Q4 2018-1.2%+0.7%-9.7%
Q3 2018-0.5%+7.6%+5.0%
Q2 2018+20.2%+21.4%+30.1%
Q1 2018+12.6%+9.1%+19.4%
Q4 2017-4.9%+0.2%-3.1%
Q3 2017+22.8%+17.1%+31.1%
Q2 2017+3.4%+6.5%+3.1%
Q1 2017-7.5%-10.8%-7.9%
Q4 2016-5.7%-5.0%-0.4%
Q3 2016+11.0%+22.3%+27.6%
Q2 2016+17.4%+22.2%+27.7%
Q1 2016-6.5%
Q4 2015+16.9%
Q3 2015-2.9%
Q2 2015-10.6%
Q1 2015+0.3%
Q4 2014+4.1%
Q3 2014+7.7%
Q2 2014+18.5%
Q1 2014-10.9%
Q4 2013+10.8%
Q3 2013+26.8%
Q2 2013-11.7%
Q1 2013+8.4%
Q4 2012+7.6%
Q3 2012+12.4%
Q2 2012-5.9%
Q1 2011-6.9%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2009+3.6%
Q4 2011+3.6%
Q3 2011+7.5%
Q3 2010+7.5%
Q2 2011-13.5%
Q4 2010-13.5%
Q2 2010-13.5%
Q1 2010-2.5%

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