NYSE$TREX

Trex Co Inc · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Trex reported strong quarterly growth across all key financial metrics, repurchased 2.8 million shares, and successfully launched Trex Transcend® Lineage™ decking line.

Trex Company reported a 24% increase in consolidated net sales, reaching $386 million. Net income rose by 45% to $89 million, with diluted earnings per share up 49% to $0.79. The company's EBITDA increased by 41% to $129 million, with an EBITDA margin of 33.4%.

  • Consolidated net sales increased 24% to $386 million.
  • Net income increased 45% to $89 million, with diluted earnings per share up 49% to $0.79.
  • EBITDA increased 41% to $129 million, with EBITDA margin up 400 basis points to 33.4%.
  • Trex Residential net sales increased 25% to $374 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$386M

Previous: $312M+24.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.79

Previous: $0.53+49.1%
Gross Margin

40.7%

Previous: 38.0%+7.1%
SG&A Expense

$40M

Previous: $36M+11.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$66.6M

Previous: -$94.8M+29.8%
Free Cash Flow

$22.3M

Previous: -$33.5M+166.7%
Net Income

$88.9M

Previous: $61.4M+44.9%
Operating Income

$118M

Previous: $82.4M+43.0%
Gross Profit

$157M

Previous: $118M+33.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$16.6M

Previous: $5.47M+204.4%
Total Assets

$887M

Previous: $899M-1.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.06M

Previous: $2.13M-50.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Trex · Revenue · Quarterly

$386M

Q2 2022+24%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company anticipates a significant reduction in revenues in the second half of 2022 as consumer demand is filled by existing channel inventories. Third and fourth quarter revenues are expected to range from $185 million to $195 million, and $180 million to $190 million, respectively. The company expects EBITDA margin of 27% to 29% for full year 2022.

Tailwinds

  • The enduring strength of the Trex brand continues to resonate with consumers.
  • Trex has the highest production efficiencies within the industry.
  • Trex's product portfolio is well-positioned to capture demand across a broad consumer base.
  • Trex enters this period with tremendous financial and operating strength.
  • Trex can continue to capture share not only from wood but also gain share within the composite industry.

Headwinds

  • Experienced a sudden reduction in pro-channel demand in late June.
  • Channel partners began to adjust their inventory levels to align with expectations for an economic slowdown.
  • Anticipate a significant reduction in revenues in the second half of 2022.
  • Consumer demand is filled by existing channel inventories.
  • Revising capital expenditure spending for 2022 to $170 million to $180 million down from previous range.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

33 / 65 earnings

Positive

+26.8%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-31.1%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.9%-2.2%-0.7%
Q4 2025+0.7%-1.9%-14.3%
Q3 2025-31.1%-31.5%-26.7%
Q1 2025-1.0%+3.6%-2.8%
Q4 2024+1.2%+5.1%-5.8%
Q3 2024+9.8%+10.0%+15.7%
Q2 2024-20.4%-19.5%-19.4%
Q1 2024-3.8%-2.5%-11.7%
Q4 2023-0.7%+0.9%+5.8%
Q3 2023+3.6%+15.5%+29.4%
Q2 2023+9.7%+4.8%+2.9%
Q1 2023+10.2%+2.6%+5.4%
Q4 2022+2.0%-4.1%+5.9%
Q3 2022-10.6%-14.3%-7.0%
Q2 2022-16.0%-8.7%-27.2%
Q1 2022+5.7%+13.2%+16.5%
Q4 2021-8.0%-17.4%-22.0%
Q3 2021+16.2%+13.6%+23.0%
Q2 2021+0.3%+8.4%+14.4%
Q1 2021-2.5%-3.8%-10.1%
Q4 2020-11.2%-10.7%-14.7%
Q3 2020+2.0%+14.5%+6.2%
Q2 2020-0.3%-0.2%+9.3%
Q1 2020+18.8%+25.2%+27.1%
Q4 2019-2.4%-10.0%-23.4%
Q3 2019-6.6%-0.7%-2.8%
Q2 2019+14.3%+12.5%+18.4%
Q1 2019-8.9%-11.0%-19.2%
Q4 2018-1.2%+0.7%-9.7%
Q3 2018-0.5%+7.6%+5.0%
Q2 2018+20.2%+21.4%+30.1%
Q1 2018+12.6%+9.1%+19.4%
Q4 2017-4.9%+0.2%-3.1%
Q3 2017+22.8%+17.1%+31.1%
Q2 2017+3.4%+6.5%+3.1%
Q1 2017-7.5%-10.8%-7.9%
Q4 2016-5.7%-5.0%-0.4%
Q3 2016+11.0%+22.3%+27.6%
Q2 2016+17.4%+22.2%+27.7%
Q1 2016-6.5%
Q4 2015+16.9%
Q3 2015-2.9%
Q2 2015-10.6%
Q1 2015+0.3%
Q4 2014+4.1%
Q3 2014+7.7%
Q2 2014+18.5%
Q1 2014-10.9%
Q4 2013+10.8%
Q3 2013+26.8%
Q2 2013-11.7%
Q1 2013+8.4%
Q4 2012+7.6%
Q3 2012+12.4%
Q2 2012-5.9%
Q1 2011-6.9%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2009+3.6%
Q4 2011+3.6%
Q3 2011+7.5%
Q3 2010+7.5%
Q2 2011-13.5%
Q4 2010-13.5%
Q2 2010-13.5%
Q1 2010-2.5%

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