NYSE$TREX

Trex Co Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Trex demonstrated resilience with stronger-than-expected sales, margin expansion via production optimization, and raised full-year EBITDA margin guidance.

Trex Company reported a net sales of $357 million. The company's gross margin was 43.9%. Net income reached $77 million, with diluted earnings per share at $0.71. EBITDA stood at $117 million, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 32.8%.

  • Net sales reached $357 million.
  • Gross margin was 43.9%.
  • Net income was $77 million, with diluted earnings per share of $0.71.
  • EBITDA was $117 million, with an EBITDA margin of 32.8%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$357M

Previous: $386M-7.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.71

Previous: $0.79-10.1%
Gross Margin

43.9%

Previous: 40.7%+7.9%
SG&A Expense

$52M

Previous: $40M+30.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$82.4M

Previous: -$66.6M-23.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$5.32M

Previous: $22.3M-123.9%
Net Income

$77M

Previous: $88.9M-13.4%
Operating Income

$105M

Previous: $118M-11.1%
Gross Profit

$156M

Previous: $157M-0.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$4.23M

Previous: $16.6M-74.6%
Total Assets

$1.07B

Previous: $887M+20.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.59M

Previous: $1.06M+145.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Trex · Revenue · Quarterly

$357M

Q2 2023-7.7%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Trex anticipates full year 2023 revenues to range from $1.04 billion to $1.06 billion, with third quarter revenues estimated between $280 million and $290 million. The company also raised its full year EBITDA margin guidance to a range of 28% to 29%.

Tailwinds

  • Full year 2023 revenues are expected to range from $1.04 billion to $1.06 billion
  • Continued sell-through is expected to reduce year-end channel inventories below 2022 levels
  • Third quarter revenues are estimated to be in the range of $280 million to $290 million
  • Full year EBITDA margin guidance raised to a range of 28% to 29%
  • SG&A spending will be at the high end of the 15% to 16% guidance range

Headwinds

  • Fourth quarter results reflecting both seasonally low demand
  • Expectations that year end channel inventories will be below that of year end 2022
  • Sales were 5% below comparable year-ago residential levels
  • Second quarter 2023 EBITDA margin of 32.8% was 180 basis points below residential margin of 34.6% for the comparable period last year
  • Increase in selling, general and administrative expenses was primarily due to increases in personnel-related expenses, disposal of certain equipment, and expenses related to the exit of our prior corporate headquarters

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

33 / 65 earnings

Positive

+26.8%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-31.1%

Q3 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.9%-2.2%-0.7%
Q4 2025+0.7%-1.9%-14.3%
Q3 2025-31.1%-31.5%-26.7%
Q1 2025-1.0%+3.6%-2.8%
Q4 2024+1.2%+5.1%-5.8%
Q3 2024+9.8%+10.0%+15.7%
Q2 2024-20.4%-19.5%-19.4%
Q1 2024-3.8%-2.5%-11.7%
Q4 2023-0.7%+0.9%+5.8%
Q3 2023+3.6%+15.5%+29.4%
Q2 2023+9.7%+4.8%+2.9%
Q1 2023+10.2%+2.6%+5.4%
Q4 2022+2.0%-4.1%+5.9%
Q3 2022-10.6%-14.3%-7.0%
Q2 2022-16.0%-8.7%-27.2%
Q1 2022+5.7%+13.2%+16.5%
Q4 2021-8.0%-17.4%-22.0%
Q3 2021+16.2%+13.6%+23.0%
Q2 2021+0.3%+8.4%+14.4%
Q1 2021-2.5%-3.8%-10.1%
Q4 2020-11.2%-10.7%-14.7%
Q3 2020+2.0%+14.5%+6.2%
Q2 2020-0.3%-0.2%+9.3%
Q1 2020+18.8%+25.2%+27.1%
Q4 2019-2.4%-10.0%-23.4%
Q3 2019-6.6%-0.7%-2.8%
Q2 2019+14.3%+12.5%+18.4%
Q1 2019-8.9%-11.0%-19.2%
Q4 2018-1.2%+0.7%-9.7%
Q3 2018-0.5%+7.6%+5.0%
Q2 2018+20.2%+21.4%+30.1%
Q1 2018+12.6%+9.1%+19.4%
Q4 2017-4.9%+0.2%-3.1%
Q3 2017+22.8%+17.1%+31.1%
Q2 2017+3.4%+6.5%+3.1%
Q1 2017-7.5%-10.8%-7.9%
Q4 2016-5.7%-5.0%-0.4%
Q3 2016+11.0%+22.3%+27.6%
Q2 2016+17.4%+22.2%+27.7%
Q1 2016-6.5%
Q4 2015+16.9%
Q3 2015-2.9%
Q2 2015-10.6%
Q1 2015+0.3%
Q4 2014+4.1%
Q3 2014+7.7%
Q2 2014+18.5%
Q1 2014-10.9%
Q4 2013+10.8%
Q3 2013+26.8%
Q2 2013-11.7%
Q1 2013+8.4%
Q4 2012+7.6%
Q3 2012+12.4%
Q2 2012-5.9%
Q1 2011-6.9%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2009+3.6%
Q4 2011+3.6%
Q3 2011+7.5%
Q3 2010+7.5%
Q2 2011-13.5%
Q4 2010-13.5%
Q2 2010-13.5%
Q1 2010-2.5%

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