NYSE$TKR

The Timken Company · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Timken's third-quarter results were reported, with sales decreasing by 1.4 percent and adjusted EPS at $1.23.

Timken reported Q3 2024 sales of $1.13 billion, a 1.4% decrease year-over-year. EPS was $1.16, with adjusted EPS at $1.23. The company updated its full-year outlook, now expecting EPS of $4.65-$4.75, with adjusted EPS of $5.55-$5.65.

  • Sales decreased by 1.4 percent from last year to $1.13 billion.
  • Third-quarter earnings per share (EPS) was $1.16; adjusted EPS was $1.23.
  • Cash from operations amounted to $123 million, and free cash flow was $88 million.
  • The full-year 2024 outlook was updated, projecting an EPS range of $4.65-$4.75, and an adjusted EPS range of $5.55-$5.65.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.13B

Previous: $1.14B-1.4%
EPS

$1.16

Previous: $1.55-25.2%
Net Income Margin

7.3%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

16.9%

No prior period
Engineered Bearings Adj. EBITDA Margin

18.7%

No prior period
Industrial Motion Adj. EBITDA Margin

19.2%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$35M

Previous: -$43.6M+19.7%
Free Cash Flow

$81.8M

Previous: $87.9M-6.9%
Net Income

$81.8M

Previous: $87.9M-6.9%
Operating Income

$146M

Previous: $150M-2.2%
Gross Profit

$344M

Previous: $356M-3.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$413M

Previous: $368M+12.2%
Total Assets

$6.77B

Previous: $6.24B+8.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.2M

Previous: $5.8M-10.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Timken · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.13B

Q3 2024-1.4%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Timken · $1.14B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Engineered Bearings
    $776M
  • Industrial Motion
    $367M

Forward guidance

Timken is reducing its full-year 2024 outlook, with earnings per diluted share now forecasted to be in the range of $4.65 to $4.75 and adjusted earnings per diluted share in the range of $5.55 to $5.65. The company now expects revenue to be down approximately 4 percent in total from 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

34 / 68 earnings

Positive

+14.9%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-14.6%

Q3 2013

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.3%+7.0%+20.2%
Q4 2025+3.2%+13.3%+3.7%
Q3 2025+2.4%+0.9%+5.4%
Q1 2025-1.6%+1.7%+4.9%
Q4 2024+3.5%+3.3%-2.3%
Q3 2024-5.0%-7.8%-8.7%
Q2 2024-1.2%-5.4%-1.2%
Q1 2024+0.9%+3.2%-0.3%
Q4 2023-5.6%-3.9%-1.1%
Q3 2023+2.6%+3.6%+8.0%
Q2 2023-11.4%-13.1%-14.1%
Q1 2023-4.0%-1.6%+1.2%
Q4 2022-1.4%-3.2%+1.7%
Q3 2022+0.2%+4.0%+9.6%
Q2 2022+5.5%+2.5%+4.6%
Q1 2022+5.6%+2.4%+4.0%
Q4 2021-1.2%-1.7%-4.7%
Q3 2021+1.2%+2.5%-8.3%
Q2 2021-4.0%-4.4%-8.4%
Q1 2021+4.2%+2.0%+5.6%
Q4 2020-9.3%-7.2%+0.6%
Q3 2020+5.5%+13.0%+32.1%
Q2 2020+7.4%+13.5%+25.7%
Q1 2020-2.6%-3.4%+13.2%
Q4 2019-0.2%+2.2%-18.0%
Q3 2019-0.1%+8.1%+7.2%
Q2 2019-10.9%-12.6%-17.1%
Q1 2019+5.4%+7.2%-8.2%
Q4 2018-3.5%-0.5%-2.0%
Q3 2018+1.5%+8.1%+5.9%
Q2 2018+1.2%+1.1%+6.3%
Q1 2018+6.3%+8.2%+10.6%
Q4 2017-9.7%-8.6%-4.0%
Q3 2017-5.4%-8.8%-8.8%
Q2 2017-6.5%-7.8%-11.1%
Q1 2017+1.1%-0.2%-4.4%
Q4 2016+2.6%+3.1%+1.2%
Q3 2016-5.6%-6.7%+13.3%
Q2 2016+3.2%+2.9%+5.4%
Q1 2016-1.5%
Q4 2015+14.9%
Q3 2015+7.9%
Q2 2015+1.0%
Q1 2015-3.8%
Q4 2014-6.2%
Q3 2014+0.7%
Q2 2014-4.3%
Q1 2014+2.9%
Q4 2013+3.3%
Q3 2013-14.6%
Q2 2013-5.5%
Q1 2013+1.0%
Q4 2012+2.7%
Q3 2012+2.5%
Q2 2012-0.3%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2011+1.6%
Q1 2010+1.6%
Q3 2011+8.7%
Q2 2011-8.9%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q4 2010-7.6%
Q4 2008-7.6%
Q3 2009+6.0%
Q3 2010+6.0%
Q2 2009-0.5%
Q2 2010-0.5%
Q4 2009-0.5%

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