NYSE$TKR

The Timken Company · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Timken's first-quarter results were reported, with sales declining due to lower demand and unfavorable currency, but profitability improved from the previous quarter.

Timken reported first-quarter sales of $923.4 million, a decrease of 5.7% year-over-year, driven by lower demand in most end markets and unfavorable currency. Earnings per diluted share were $1.06 on a GAAP basis, with adjusted EPS of $1.11. The company is well-positioned with a solid balance sheet and expects to generate strong cash flow over the remainder of 2020.

  • First-quarter sales were $923 million, down 5.7 percent from last year.
  • GAAP earnings per diluted share were $1.06, with adjusted EPS of $1.11.
  • Net income was $80.7 million, or $1.06 per diluted share.
  • Free cash flow was $24.4 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$923M

Previous: $980M-5.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.11

Previous: $1.35-17.8%
Free Cash Flow

$80.7M

Previous: $91.9M-12.2%
Net Income

$80.7M

Previous: $91.9M-12.2%
Operating Income

$122M

Previous: $150M-18.8%
Gross Profit

$279M

Previous: $303M-7.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$388M

Previous: $240M+61.8%
Total Assets

$4.98B

Previous: $4.68B+6.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.6M

Previous: $7.8M-28.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Timken · Revenue · Quarterly

$923M

Q1 2020-5.7%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Timken · $1.14B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Engineered Bearings
    $776M
  • Industrial Motion
    $367M

Forward guidance

Timken is planning for revenue to decline significantly in the second quarter of 2020 compared to the year-ago period, with markets anticipated to improve from second-quarter levels over the remainder of the year. The company expects to generate strong free cash flow in 2020. Timken plans to reinstate full-year financial guidance at the earliest reasonable opportunity.

Tailwinds

  • Company expects to generate strong free cash flow in 2020.
  • Markets anticipated to improve from second-quarter levels over the remainder of the year.
  • Company is focused on reducing net debt.
  • Timken has sufficient liquidity to meet its near-term needs.
  • Company expects to generate strong free cash flow for the remainder of 2020

Headwinds

  • Revenue to decline significantly in the second quarter of 2020 compared to the year-ago period
  • Company withdrew its 2020 financial guidance due to the evolving impact of COVID-19 on the economy.
  • Company has suspended its practice of providing detailed sales and earnings guidance.
  • Share buyback program suspended until further notice.
  • COVID-19 pandemic has created a shock to demand across most markets.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

34 / 68 earnings

Positive

+14.9%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-14.6%

Q3 2013

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.3%+7.0%+20.2%
Q4 2025+3.2%+13.3%+3.7%
Q3 2025+2.4%+0.9%+5.4%
Q1 2025-1.6%+1.7%+4.9%
Q4 2024+3.5%+3.3%-2.3%
Q3 2024-5.0%-7.8%-8.7%
Q2 2024-1.2%-5.4%-1.2%
Q1 2024+0.9%+3.2%-0.3%
Q4 2023-5.6%-3.9%-1.1%
Q3 2023+2.6%+3.6%+8.0%
Q2 2023-11.4%-13.1%-14.1%
Q1 2023-4.0%-1.6%+1.2%
Q4 2022-1.4%-3.2%+1.7%
Q3 2022+0.2%+4.0%+9.6%
Q2 2022+5.5%+2.5%+4.6%
Q1 2022+5.6%+2.4%+4.0%
Q4 2021-1.2%-1.7%-4.7%
Q3 2021+1.2%+2.5%-8.3%
Q2 2021-4.0%-4.4%-8.4%
Q1 2021+4.2%+2.0%+5.6%
Q4 2020-9.3%-7.2%+0.6%
Q3 2020+5.5%+13.0%+32.1%
Q2 2020+7.4%+13.5%+25.7%
Q1 2020-2.6%-3.4%+13.2%
Q4 2019-0.2%+2.2%-18.0%
Q3 2019-0.1%+8.1%+7.2%
Q2 2019-10.9%-12.6%-17.1%
Q1 2019+5.4%+7.2%-8.2%
Q4 2018-3.5%-0.5%-2.0%
Q3 2018+1.5%+8.1%+5.9%
Q2 2018+1.2%+1.1%+6.3%
Q1 2018+6.3%+8.2%+10.6%
Q4 2017-9.7%-8.6%-4.0%
Q3 2017-5.4%-8.8%-8.8%
Q2 2017-6.5%-7.8%-11.1%
Q1 2017+1.1%-0.2%-4.4%
Q4 2016+2.6%+3.1%+1.2%
Q3 2016-5.6%-6.7%+13.3%
Q2 2016+3.2%+2.9%+5.4%
Q1 2016-1.5%
Q4 2015+14.9%
Q3 2015+7.9%
Q2 2015+1.0%
Q1 2015-3.8%
Q4 2014-6.2%
Q3 2014+0.7%
Q2 2014-4.3%
Q1 2014+2.9%
Q4 2013+3.3%
Q3 2013-14.6%
Q2 2013-5.5%
Q1 2013+1.0%
Q4 2012+2.7%
Q3 2012+2.5%
Q2 2012-0.3%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2011+1.6%
Q1 2010+1.6%
Q3 2011+8.7%
Q2 2011-8.9%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q4 2010-7.6%
Q4 2008-7.6%
Q3 2009+6.0%
Q3 2010+6.0%
Q2 2009-0.5%
Q2 2010-0.5%
Q4 2009-0.5%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro