NYSE$TKR

The Timken Company · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported record sales and solid operating performance.

Timken reported strong second-quarter 2021 results with record sales of $1.06 billion, up 32 percent from last year. The company delivered earnings per diluted share of $1.36 on a GAAP basis, with adjusted earnings per diluted share of $1.37. They also generated strong cash from operations of $147 million and free cash flow of $116 million.

  • Posted record sales of $1.06 billion, up 32 percent from last year
  • Delivered earnings per diluted share of $1.36 on a GAAP basis, with adjusted earnings per diluted share of $1.37
  • Generated strong cash from operations of $147 million and free cash flow of $116 million
  • Maintains earnings outlook; expects 2021 GAAP earnings per diluted share of $5.00 to $5.30 and adjusted earnings per diluted share of $5.15 to $5.45

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.06B

Previous: $804M+32.3%
EPS (adj)

$1.37

Previous: $1.02+34.3%
Free Cash Flow

$105M

Previous: $61.9M+69.3%
Net Income

$105M

Previous: $61.9M+69.3%
Operating Income

$152M

Previous: $115M+31.7%
Gross Profit

$302M

Previous: $230M+31.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$306M

Previous: $416M-26.5%
Total Assets

$5.17B

Previous: $4.9B+5.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$6M

Previous: $5.8M+3.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Timken · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.06B

Q2 2021+32.3%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Timken · $1.14B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Engineered Bearings
    $776M
  • Industrial Motion
    $367M

Forward guidance

Timken anticipates 2021 earnings per diluted share to range from $5.00 to $5.30 for the full year on a GAAP basis. Excluding special items, the company expects 2021 adjusted earnings per diluted share of $5.15 to $5.45. The company now expects 2021 revenue to be up approximately 19 percent at the midpoint in total versus 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Customer demand remains extremely strong across most sectors
  • Planning for the industrial expansion to continue through 2022
  • Expect to deliver record revenue in 2021
  • Expect to deliver record earnings per share in 2021
  • Move into 2022 with significant market and operational momentum

Headwinds

  • Supply chain pressures are likely to persist through the rest of the year
  • Other cost pressures are likely to persist through the rest of the year

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

34 / 68 earnings

Positive

+14.9%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-14.6%

Q3 2013

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.3%+7.0%+20.2%
Q4 2025+3.2%+13.3%+3.7%
Q3 2025+2.4%+0.9%+5.4%
Q1 2025-1.6%+1.7%+4.9%
Q4 2024+3.5%+3.3%-2.3%
Q3 2024-5.0%-7.8%-8.7%
Q2 2024-1.2%-5.4%-1.2%
Q1 2024+0.9%+3.2%-0.3%
Q4 2023-5.6%-3.9%-1.1%
Q3 2023+2.6%+3.6%+8.0%
Q2 2023-11.4%-13.1%-14.1%
Q1 2023-4.0%-1.6%+1.2%
Q4 2022-1.4%-3.2%+1.7%
Q3 2022+0.2%+4.0%+9.6%
Q2 2022+5.5%+2.5%+4.6%
Q1 2022+5.6%+2.4%+4.0%
Q4 2021-1.2%-1.7%-4.7%
Q3 2021+1.2%+2.5%-8.3%
Q2 2021-4.0%-4.4%-8.4%
Q1 2021+4.2%+2.0%+5.6%
Q4 2020-9.3%-7.2%+0.6%
Q3 2020+5.5%+13.0%+32.1%
Q2 2020+7.4%+13.5%+25.7%
Q1 2020-2.6%-3.4%+13.2%
Q4 2019-0.2%+2.2%-18.0%
Q3 2019-0.1%+8.1%+7.2%
Q2 2019-10.9%-12.6%-17.1%
Q1 2019+5.4%+7.2%-8.2%
Q4 2018-3.5%-0.5%-2.0%
Q3 2018+1.5%+8.1%+5.9%
Q2 2018+1.2%+1.1%+6.3%
Q1 2018+6.3%+8.2%+10.6%
Q4 2017-9.7%-8.6%-4.0%
Q3 2017-5.4%-8.8%-8.8%
Q2 2017-6.5%-7.8%-11.1%
Q1 2017+1.1%-0.2%-4.4%
Q4 2016+2.6%+3.1%+1.2%
Q3 2016-5.6%-6.7%+13.3%
Q2 2016+3.2%+2.9%+5.4%
Q1 2016-1.5%
Q4 2015+14.9%
Q3 2015+7.9%
Q2 2015+1.0%
Q1 2015-3.8%
Q4 2014-6.2%
Q3 2014+0.7%
Q2 2014-4.3%
Q1 2014+2.9%
Q4 2013+3.3%
Q3 2013-14.6%
Q2 2013-5.5%
Q1 2013+1.0%
Q4 2012+2.7%
Q3 2012+2.5%
Q2 2012-0.3%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2011+1.6%
Q1 2010+1.6%
Q3 2011+8.7%
Q2 2011-8.9%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q4 2010-7.6%
Q4 2008-7.6%
Q3 2009+6.0%
Q3 2010+6.0%
Q2 2009-0.5%
Q2 2010-0.5%
Q4 2009-0.5%

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