NYSE$QUAD

Quad/Graphics Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Quad reported a decrease in net sales but an improvement in net earnings for the fourth quarter of 2024, driven by increased manufacturing productivity and cost reduction initiatives.

Quad reported fourth quarter 2024 net sales of $708.4 million, a decrease of 10.1% compared to the same period in 2023. Despite the sales decline, the company achieved net earnings of $4.7 million, an improvement from a net loss of $22.0 million in the prior year, primarily due to increased manufacturing productivity and cost reduction initiatives. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $62.6 million.

  • Net Sales decreased by 10.1% to $708.4 million in Q4 2024 compared to Q4 2023.
  • Net Earnings improved to $4.7 million in Q4 2024 from a Net Loss of $22.0 million in Q4 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $62.6 million in Q4 2024, with an Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 8.8%.
  • Adjusted Diluted Earnings Per Share increased to $0.36 in Q4 2024 from $0.23 in Q4 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$708M

Previous: $788M-10.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.36

Previous: $0.23+56.5%
Adjusted EBITDA

$62.6M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

8.8%

No prior period
Net Debt

$350M

No prior period
Net Debt Leverage Ratio

1.56

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$11.5M

Previous: -$11.3M-1.8%
Net Income

$4.7M

Previous: -$22M+121.4%
Operating Income

$19.7M

Previous: $3.5M+462.9%
Gross Profit

$136M

Previous: -$960M+114.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Quad · Revenue · Quarterly

$708M

Q4 2024-10.1%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 4 of 14 quarters(29%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Quad · $700M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • United States Print and Related Services
    $608M-14.7%
  • International
    $92.2M-21.1%

Forward guidance

Quad introduces 2025 guidance, expecting continued strong cash generation to further reduce Net Debt Leverage to approximately 1.5x, while anticipating a decline in organic annual net sales.

Tailwinds

  • Expects to lower Net Debt Leverage to approximately 1.5x by year-end 2025.
  • Anticipates strong cash generation to amplify strategic investments in innovation.
  • Plans to accelerate offerings to drive future diversified revenue growth.
  • Intends to increase return of capital to shareholders through a 50% higher quarterly dividend.
  • Will pursue opportunistic share repurchases.

Headwinds

  • Forecasts an Organic Annual Net Sales Change of 2% to 6% decline.
  • Full-Year Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $180 million and $220 million, lower than 2024.
  • Free Cash Flow is projected to be between $40 million and $60 million, lower than 2024.
  • Capital Expenditures are projected to be between $65 million and $75 million, higher than 2024.
  • The guidance excludes European operations to be divested, which could impact overall sales.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

33 / 64 earnings

Positive

+33.9%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-55.3%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-10.7%+1.8%-4.9%
Q4 2025+0.9%+6.7%-0.6%
Q3 2025-12.3%-10.7%-5.4%
Q1 2025-7.9%+6.0%+12.5%
Q4 2024+10.8%-11.8%-21.7%
Q3 2024+14.9%+24.5%+41.7%
Q2 2024-19.3%-26.0%-17.7%
Q1 2024-1.5%+4.6%+0.0%
Q4 2023-9.5%-17.8%-18.6%
Q3 2023-14.1%-9.5%-7.2%
Q2 2023-12.5%-4.6%-13.7%
Q1 2023-10.0%-17.3%-1.8%
Q4 2022+7.0%+21.4%-2.8%
Q3 2022+14.0%+18.0%+34.5%
Q2 2022+8.1%+9.4%+1.6%
Q1 2022-24.6%-25.2%-35.2%
Q4 2021+2.0%+9.8%+33.4%
Q3 2021+14.5%+8.1%-7.4%
Q2 2021+10.6%+37.9%+19.5%
Q1 2021-3.2%-13.7%-0.8%
Q4 2020-2.3%-16.7%-25.5%
Q3 2020-4.3%-6.1%+45.5%
Q2 2020+6.4%+4.5%+3.0%
Q1 2020-0.6%+9.4%+12.0%
Q4 2019+20.5%+14.7%-26.4%
Q3 2019-55.3%-57.3%-58.7%
Q2 2019+33.5%+34.5%+7.4%
Q1 2019-10.0%-9.0%-29.8%
Q4 2018+11.8%+8.3%-20.0%
Q3 2018-7.0%-11.9%-10.2%
Q2 2018+22.9%+8.5%+13.1%
Q1 2018-15.3%-25.5%-20.0%
Q4 2017+33.9%+25.6%+15.5%
Q3 2017+2.0%+4.5%+2.4%
Q2 2017-10.7%-14.2%-15.1%
Q1 2017+5.0%-1.6%-15.2%
Q4 2016-4.2%+4.0%-9.3%
Q3 2016+0.6%+1.8%+2.7%
Q2 2016+12.8%+14.0%+6.8%
Q1 2016+24.5%
Q4 2015+3.9%
Q3 2015-25.6%
Q2 2015-5.7%
Q1 2015-1.5%
Q4 2014+3.9%
Q3 2014-1.0%
Q2 2014-1.2%
Q1 2014-2.1%
Q4 2013-5.4%
Q3 2013-19.3%
Q2 2013+4.2%
Q1 2013+5.5%
Q4 2012+4.3%
Q3 2012-12.3%
Q2 2012-4.9%
Q1 2011+5.0%
Q1 2012+5.6%
Q4 2009+10.1%
Q4 2011+10.1%
Q3 2011+1.4%
Q2 2011+11.0%
Q4 2010+11.0%
Q3 2010-1.6%
Q2 2010+1.9%
Q1 2010

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