NYSE$QUAD

Quad/Graphics Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Quad's Q4 results were impacted by the pandemic and print industry pressures, but showed sequential revenue improvement. Cost discipline and productivity improvements drove margin and cash flow increases, while debt was reduced.

Quad reported a net sales of $843 million, a net loss of $86 million, and an adjusted EBITDA of $64 million for Q4 2020. Despite challenges from the COVID-19 pandemic and print industry pressures, the company achieved sequential revenue improvement and focused on cost management and debt reduction.

  • Achieved second straight quarter of sequential improvement in Net Sales since the beginning of the pandemic.
  • Aligned costs with demand environment throughout 2020 and achieved margin expansion while growing print segment share.
  • Delivered cash from operating activities of $190 million and Free Cash Flow of $129 million; increases of $35 million and $23 million compared to 2019, respectively.
  • Reduced debt by $184 million during 2020, ending the year with a Debt Leverage Ratio of 3.35x.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$843M

Previous: $1.07B-21.2%
EPS (adj)

$0.10

Previous: $0.38-73.7%
Capital Expenditures

$10.3M

Previous: $12.5M-17.6%
Free Cash Flow

$129M

Previous: $139M-7.1%
Net Income

-$85.7M

Previous: $7.5M-1242.7%
Operating Income

-$54.5M

Previous: $29M-287.9%
Gross Profit

$160M

Previous: $202M-20.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$55.2M

Previous: $78.7M-29.9%
Total Assets

$1.93B

Previous: $2.42B-20.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.4M

Previous: $2M+20.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Quad · Revenue · Quarterly

$843M

Q4 2020-21.2%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 3 of 13 quarters(23%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Quad · $843M total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • United States Print and Related Services
    $757M-21.5%
  • International
    $86M-18.0%

Forward guidance

Quad expects to see sequential improvement in quarterly net sales trends in the first half of 2021 due to the improving impact of the pandemic and print segment share gains. Free Cash Flow is expected to decrease in 2021 due to the non-recurring nature of the CARES Act income tax refund received in 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Sequential improvement in quarterly net sales trends in the first half of 2021
  • Improving impact of the pandemic on net sales
  • Print segment share gains
  • Improvements in working capital
  • Lower pension contributions and lower capital expenditures

Headwinds

  • Lack of full-year visibility due to the pandemic
  • Free Cash Flow decrease in 2021
  • Non-recurring nature of the CARES Act income tax refund received in 2020
  • Impact of the pandemic on net sales
  • Print segment share gains

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

33 / 64 earnings

Positive

+33.9%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-55.3%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-10.7%+1.8%-4.9%
Q4 2025+0.9%+6.7%-0.6%
Q3 2025-12.3%-10.7%-5.4%
Q1 2025-7.9%+6.0%+12.5%
Q4 2024+10.8%-11.8%-21.7%
Q3 2024+14.9%+24.5%+41.7%
Q2 2024-19.3%-26.0%-17.7%
Q1 2024-1.5%+4.6%+0.0%
Q4 2023-9.5%-17.8%-18.6%
Q3 2023-14.1%-9.5%-7.2%
Q2 2023-12.5%-4.6%-13.7%
Q1 2023-10.0%-17.3%-1.8%
Q4 2022+7.0%+21.4%-2.8%
Q3 2022+14.0%+18.0%+34.5%
Q2 2022+8.1%+9.4%+1.6%
Q1 2022-24.6%-25.2%-35.2%
Q4 2021+2.0%+9.8%+33.4%
Q3 2021+14.5%+8.1%-7.4%
Q2 2021+10.6%+37.9%+19.5%
Q1 2021-3.2%-13.7%-0.8%
Q4 2020-2.3%-16.7%-25.5%
Q3 2020-4.3%-6.1%+45.5%
Q2 2020+6.4%+4.5%+3.0%
Q1 2020-0.6%+9.4%+12.0%
Q4 2019+20.5%+14.7%-26.4%
Q3 2019-55.3%-57.3%-58.7%
Q2 2019+33.5%+34.5%+7.4%
Q1 2019-10.0%-9.0%-29.8%
Q4 2018+11.8%+8.3%-20.0%
Q3 2018-7.0%-11.9%-10.2%
Q2 2018+22.9%+8.5%+13.1%
Q1 2018-15.3%-25.5%-20.0%
Q4 2017+33.9%+25.6%+15.5%
Q3 2017+2.0%+4.5%+2.4%
Q2 2017-10.7%-14.2%-15.1%
Q1 2017+5.0%-1.6%-15.2%
Q4 2016-4.2%+4.0%-9.3%
Q3 2016+0.6%+1.8%+2.7%
Q2 2016+12.8%+14.0%+6.8%
Q1 2016+24.5%
Q4 2015+3.9%
Q3 2015-25.6%
Q2 2015-5.7%
Q1 2015-1.5%
Q4 2014+3.9%
Q3 2014-1.0%
Q2 2014-1.2%
Q1 2014-2.1%
Q4 2013-5.4%
Q3 2013-19.3%
Q2 2013+4.2%
Q1 2013+5.5%
Q4 2012+4.3%
Q3 2012-12.3%
Q2 2012-4.9%
Q1 2011+5.0%
Q1 2012+5.6%
Q4 2009+10.1%
Q4 2011+10.1%
Q3 2011+1.4%
Q2 2011+11.0%
Q4 2010+11.0%
Q3 2010-1.6%
Q2 2010+1.9%
Q1 2010

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro