NYSE$QUAD

Quad/Graphics Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Quad's Q4 2021 results reflected a 1% increase in net sales, driven by growth in print and agency solutions, despite cost inflation and supply chain disruptions, with a net loss of $21 million.

Quad reported a 1% increase in net sales to $855 million for Q4 2021. The increase in net sales was due to a 4% increase in year-over-year print Net Sales and a 4% increase in year-over-year Agency Solutions Net Sales. Net loss from continuing operations was $21 million, an improvement of $65 million compared to the fourth quarter of 2020. Adjusted EBITDA was $56 million, compared to $64 million in the same period in 2020.

  • Net Sales increased 1% (5% excluding divestiture of QuadExpress) driven by growth in print and agency solutions.
  • Net Loss From Continuing Operations improved by $65 million compared to Q4 2020.
  • Adjusted EBITDA decreased to $56 million due to cost inflation and supply chain disruptions.
  • Company reduced Net Debt by 40% over the past two years, reaching Debt Leverage of 2.5x.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$855M

Previous: $843M+1.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.10

Previous: $0.10+0.0%
Adjusted EBITDA

$56.4M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$8.4M

Previous: $10.3M-18.4%
Free Cash Flow

$106M

Previous: $129M-17.8%
Net Income

-$21M

Previous: -$85.7M+75.5%
Operating Income

-$4.2M

Previous: -$54.5M+92.3%
Gross Profit

$153M

Previous: $160M-4.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$180M

Previous: $55.2M+225.9%
Total Assets

$1.89B

Previous: $1.93B-2.0%
Stock-Based Comp

-$400K

Previous: $2.4M-116.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Quad · Revenue · Quarterly

$855M

Q4 2021+1.3%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 2 of 12 quarters(17%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Quad · $855M total across 2 segments · Q4 2021

  • United States Print and Related Services
    $759M+0.2%
  • International
    $95.8M+11.4%

Forward guidance

The Company provides 2022 financial guidance: annual net sales change of 3-7% increase, full-year adjusted EBITDA of $230 to $270 million, free cash flow of $70 to $100 million, capital expenditures of $55 to $65 million, and year-end debt leverage ratio of approximately 2.25x.

Tailwinds

  • Annual Net Sales Change excludes the Net Sales impact from the divestiture of QuadExpress, which was sold on June 30, 2021.
  • Expect an additional 5% sales growth in 2022.
  • Continue to be a strong Free Cash Flow generator.
  • Used cash along with proceeds from asset sales to return to our long-term targeted leverage range of 2.0x to 2.5x.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

33 / 64 earnings

Positive

+33.9%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-55.3%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-10.7%+1.8%-4.9%
Q4 2025+0.9%+6.7%-0.6%
Q3 2025-12.3%-10.7%-5.4%
Q1 2025-7.9%+6.0%+12.5%
Q4 2024+10.8%-11.8%-21.7%
Q3 2024+14.9%+24.5%+41.7%
Q2 2024-19.3%-26.0%-17.7%
Q1 2024-1.5%+4.6%+0.0%
Q4 2023-9.5%-17.8%-18.6%
Q3 2023-14.1%-9.5%-7.2%
Q2 2023-12.5%-4.6%-13.7%
Q1 2023-10.0%-17.3%-1.8%
Q4 2022+7.0%+21.4%-2.8%
Q3 2022+14.0%+18.0%+34.5%
Q2 2022+8.1%+9.4%+1.6%
Q1 2022-24.6%-25.2%-35.2%
Q4 2021+2.0%+9.8%+33.4%
Q3 2021+14.5%+8.1%-7.4%
Q2 2021+10.6%+37.9%+19.5%
Q1 2021-3.2%-13.7%-0.8%
Q4 2020-2.3%-16.7%-25.5%
Q3 2020-4.3%-6.1%+45.5%
Q2 2020+6.4%+4.5%+3.0%
Q1 2020-0.6%+9.4%+12.0%
Q4 2019+20.5%+14.7%-26.4%
Q3 2019-55.3%-57.3%-58.7%
Q2 2019+33.5%+34.5%+7.4%
Q1 2019-10.0%-9.0%-29.8%
Q4 2018+11.8%+8.3%-20.0%
Q3 2018-7.0%-11.9%-10.2%
Q2 2018+22.9%+8.5%+13.1%
Q1 2018-15.3%-25.5%-20.0%
Q4 2017+33.9%+25.6%+15.5%
Q3 2017+2.0%+4.5%+2.4%
Q2 2017-10.7%-14.2%-15.1%
Q1 2017+5.0%-1.6%-15.2%
Q4 2016-4.2%+4.0%-9.3%
Q3 2016+0.6%+1.8%+2.7%
Q2 2016+12.8%+14.0%+6.8%
Q1 2016+24.5%
Q4 2015+3.9%
Q3 2015-25.6%
Q2 2015-5.7%
Q1 2015-1.5%
Q4 2014+3.9%
Q3 2014-1.0%
Q2 2014-1.2%
Q1 2014-2.1%
Q4 2013-5.4%
Q3 2013-19.3%
Q2 2013+4.2%
Q1 2013+5.5%
Q4 2012+4.3%
Q3 2012-12.3%
Q2 2012-4.9%
Q1 2011+5.0%
Q1 2012+5.6%
Q4 2009+10.1%
Q4 2011+10.1%
Q3 2011+1.4%
Q2 2011+11.0%
Q4 2010+11.0%
Q3 2010-1.6%
Q2 2010+1.9%
Q1 2010

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