NYSE$QUAD

Quad/Graphics Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Net sales increased and adjusted EBITDA grew due to print segment share gains, increased pricing, and investments in labor, inventory, and equipment.

Quad/Graphics reported strong third-quarter results, with net sales up 18% year-over-year and adjusted diluted earnings per share increasing by 78%. The company raised its full-year net sales guidance range to 8%-10% growth, driven by strong execution and continued sales momentum.

  • Net Sales increased 18% compared to the third quarter of 2021.
  • Net Earnings were $14 million, consistent with the third quarter of 2021.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $69 million compared to $55 million in the third quarter of 2021, excluding a $13 million property insurance gain in 2021.
  • Adjusted Diluted Earnings Per Share grew to $0.32 compared to $0.18 in the third quarter of 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$830M

Previous: $706M+17.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.32

Previous: $0.18+77.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$49.5M

Previous: -$41.6M-19.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$35.8M

Previous: -$27.3M-31.1%
Net Income

$13.7M

Previous: $14.3M-4.2%
Operating Income

$25.2M

Previous: $28M-10.0%
Gross Profit

$156M

Previous: $132M+18.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$14M

Previous: $27.4M-48.9%
Total Assets

$1.79B

Previous: $1.84B-2.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.1M

Previous: $1.9M-42.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Quad · Revenue · Quarterly

$830M

Q3 2022+17.5%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 4 of 14 quarters(29%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Quad · $830M total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • United States Print and Related Services
    $713M+14.2%
  • International
    $117M+42.8%

Forward guidance

Quad increased its Net Sales outlook and narrowed its remaining full-year 2022 guidance.

Tailwinds

  • Net Sales Change increased from 3% to 7% to 8% to 10%.
  • Full-Year Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $235 to $255 million.
  • Free Cash Flow is expected to be between $70 to $90 million.
  • Year-End Debt Leverage Ratio is expected to be approximately 2.25x.
  • Company is positioned to achieve higher year-over-year earnings in the fourth quarter.

Headwinds

  • Ongoing challenges from inflationary costs.
  • Ongoing supply chain disruptions.
  • Adjusted EBITDA guidance was narrowed from $230-$270 million to $235-$255 million.
  • Free Cash Flow guidance was narrowed from $70-$100 million to $70-$90 million.
  • Macro-economic headwinds, such as cost inflation and supply chain constraints that impact productivity.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

33 / 64 earnings

Positive

+33.9%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-55.3%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-10.7%+1.8%-4.9%
Q4 2025+0.9%+6.7%-0.6%
Q3 2025-12.3%-10.7%-5.4%
Q1 2025-7.9%+6.0%+12.5%
Q4 2024+10.8%-11.8%-21.7%
Q3 2024+14.9%+24.5%+41.7%
Q2 2024-19.3%-26.0%-17.7%
Q1 2024-1.5%+4.6%+0.0%
Q4 2023-9.5%-17.8%-18.6%
Q3 2023-14.1%-9.5%-7.2%
Q2 2023-12.5%-4.6%-13.7%
Q1 2023-10.0%-17.3%-1.8%
Q4 2022+7.0%+21.4%-2.8%
Q3 2022+14.0%+18.0%+34.5%
Q2 2022+8.1%+9.4%+1.6%
Q1 2022-24.6%-25.2%-35.2%
Q4 2021+2.0%+9.8%+33.4%
Q3 2021+14.5%+8.1%-7.4%
Q2 2021+10.6%+37.9%+19.5%
Q1 2021-3.2%-13.7%-0.8%
Q4 2020-2.3%-16.7%-25.5%
Q3 2020-4.3%-6.1%+45.5%
Q2 2020+6.4%+4.5%+3.0%
Q1 2020-0.6%+9.4%+12.0%
Q4 2019+20.5%+14.7%-26.4%
Q3 2019-55.3%-57.3%-58.7%
Q2 2019+33.5%+34.5%+7.4%
Q1 2019-10.0%-9.0%-29.8%
Q4 2018+11.8%+8.3%-20.0%
Q3 2018-7.0%-11.9%-10.2%
Q2 2018+22.9%+8.5%+13.1%
Q1 2018-15.3%-25.5%-20.0%
Q4 2017+33.9%+25.6%+15.5%
Q3 2017+2.0%+4.5%+2.4%
Q2 2017-10.7%-14.2%-15.1%
Q1 2017+5.0%-1.6%-15.2%
Q4 2016-4.2%+4.0%-9.3%
Q3 2016+0.6%+1.8%+2.7%
Q2 2016+12.8%+14.0%+6.8%
Q1 2016+24.5%
Q4 2015+3.9%
Q3 2015-25.6%
Q2 2015-5.7%
Q1 2015-1.5%
Q4 2014+3.9%
Q3 2014-1.0%
Q2 2014-1.2%
Q1 2014-2.1%
Q4 2013-5.4%
Q3 2013-19.3%
Q2 2013+4.2%
Q1 2013+5.5%
Q4 2012+4.3%
Q3 2012-12.3%
Q2 2012-4.9%
Q1 2011+5.0%
Q1 2012+5.6%
Q4 2009+10.1%
Q4 2011+10.1%
Q3 2011+1.4%
Q2 2011+11.0%
Q4 2010+11.0%
Q3 2010-1.6%
Q2 2010+1.9%
Q1 2010

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro