NYSE$OSG
Octave Specialty Group Inc · Q4 2020 earnings
Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Reported a net loss of $14 million and adjusted earnings of $4 million.
Ambac Financial Group reported a Net Loss attributable to common stockholders of $14 million or $0.31 per diluted share and Adjusted Earnings of $4 million or $0.08 per diluted share for the quarter ended December 31, 2020. Book Value per Share increased $0.98 to $23.57 and Adjusted Book Value per Share increased $0.61 to $20.05 from September 30, 2020 to December 31, 2020.
- Net Loss of $14 million or $0.31 per diluted share and Adjusted Earnings of $4 million or $0.08 per diluted share for the Quarter Ended December 31, 2020
- Book Value per Share increased $0.98 to $23.57
- Adjusted Book Value per Share increased $0.61 to $20.05 from September 30, 2020 to December 31, 2020
- Fourth quarter 2020 results were not impacted by the previously announced acquisition of 80% of the membership interests of each of Xchange Benefits, LLC and Xchange Affinity Underwriting Agency, LLC
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Ambac · Revenue · Quarterly
$88M
Revenue by segment
Ambac · $14.6M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023
- Insurance Distribution$14.6M+100.0%100.0%
Forward guidance
Ambac executed under its platform diversification, three pillar strategy which consists of (I) specialty program insurance, (II) managing general agency/underwriting, and (III) other insurance and insurance related businesses, that meet preestablished criteria and that are expected to generate long-term stockholder value with attractive risk-adjusted returns.
Tailwinds
- Ambac launched Everspan Group, a specialty participatory fronting program insurance business
- Everspan Group's receipt of an AM Best Financial Strength Rating of A-(Excellent)
- Ambac acquired 80% of the membership interests of Xchange
- Xchange is a specialty property and casualty Managing General Underwriter
- AAC reduced its nominal debt and accrued interest outstanding by approximately $76 million.
Headwinds
- the highly speculative nature of AFG’s common stock and volatility in the price of AFG’s common stock
- Ambac's inability to realize the expected recoveries, including RMBS litigation recoveries, included in its financial statements which would have a materially adverse effect on Ambac Assurance Corporation's (\"AAC\") financial condition and may lead to regulatory intervention
- failure to recover claims paid on Puerto Rico exposures or realization of losses in amounts higher than expected
- increases to loss and loss expense reserves
- inadequacy of reserves established for losses and loss expenses and possibility that changes in loss reserves may result in further volatility of earnings or financial results
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020
+0.4%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.5%
Avg return
5 days after
-0.4%
Avg return
30 days after
47%
24 / 51 earnings
Positive
+23.0%
Q1 2024
Best reaction
-19.9%
Q1 2025
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -3.7% | +26.9% | +24.9% | |
| Q3 2025 | +15.6% | +9.6% | -3.7% | |
| Q2 2025 | -15.9% | -0.8% | +9.8% | |
| Q1 2025 | -19.9% | -3.7% | -18.6% | |
| Q4 2024 | -10.8% | -22.4% | -25.8% | |
| Q3 2024 | +11.0% | +6.3% | +13.9% | |
| Q1 2024 | +23.0% | +23.8% | -5.9% | |
| Q4 2023 | +1.6% | -2.9% | -6.2% | |
| Q3 2023 | +7.2% | +17.1% | +19.9% | |
| Q2 2023 | -5.1% | -1.9% | -8.3% | |
| Q1 2023 | -3.1% | -3.1% | -7.1% | |
| Q4 2022 | +5.4% | +4.3% | -7.3% | |
| Q3 2022 | +0.7% | +12.0% | +21.7% | |
| Q2 2022 | +15.5% | +33.6% | +31.3% | |
| Q1 2022 | +6.2% | +15.1% | +51.7% | |
| Q4 2021 | -6.5% | -14.0% | -38.3% | |
| Q3 2021 | -4.0% | -2.5% | -7.9% | |
| Q2 2021 | -3.7% | -1.0% | -3.7% | |
| Q1 2021 | -11.4% | -16.5% | -9.2% | |
| Q4 2020 | -1.1% | +0.2% | -1.2% | |
| Q3 2020 | +12.2% | +10.0% | +36.8% | |
| Q2 2020 | +2.5% | +4.7% | -3.5% | |
| Q1 2020 | -16.4% | -25.1% | -15.3% | |
| Q4 2019 | -1.6% | -2.3% | -40.8% | |
| Q3 2019 | -0.1% | -0.4% | +1.3% | |
| Q2 2019 | +0.1% | +1.6% | +1.8% | |
| Q1 2019 | -8.5% | -8.8% | -20.0% | |
| Q4 2018 | +3.6% | +2.3% | -7.9% | |
| Q3 2018 | -10.1% | -12.3% | -22.3% | |
| Q2 2018 | +5.8% | +5.4% | +2.0% | |
| Q1 2018 | +8.3% | +10.2% | +17.5% | |
| Q4 2017 | +0.1% | -0.9% | +3.4% | |
| Q3 2017 | -13.9% | -9.7% | -3.2% | |
| Q2 2017 | -0.5% | -4.4% | -10.7% | |
| Q1 2017 | -5.6% | -5.8% | -7.1% | |
| Q4 2016 | -0.5% | +1.8% | -15.4% | |
| Q3 2016 | +9.8% | +14.5% | +35.6% | |
| Q2 2016 | -4.1% | -3.9% | +1.3% | |
| Q1 2016 | -1.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +9.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -6.2% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +14.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +6.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +5.8% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -2.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -0.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +7.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +7.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -1.4% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | — | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | — | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | — | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | — | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | — | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | — | — | — |
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