NYSE$OSG

Octave Specialty Group Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ambac reported a solid start to 2024, with all three business segments generating positive net income.

Ambac Financial Group reported a net income of $20 million or $0.43 per diluted share and Adjusted net income of $38 million or $0.82 per diluted share for Q1 2024. The specialty P&C platform continues to deliver growth, with a 45% increase in premium production. The Legacy Financial Guarantee segment also generated positive net income.

  • Net income of $20 million or $0.43 per diluted share and Adjusted net income of $38 million or $0.82 per diluted share
  • Legacy Financial Guarantee segment generated net income of $20 million
  • Specialty P&C Insurance produced a 98.4% combined ratio compared to 121.9% in the first quarter of 2023
  • Insurance Distribution generated net income of $3 million and EBITDA of $5 million on $90 million of premiums placed

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$103M

Previous: $58M+77.6%
EPS

$0.43

Previous: -$0.30+243.3%
Capital Expenditures

$0.00

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$20M

Previous: -$33M+160.6%
Net Income

$20M

Previous: -$33M+160.6%
Operating Income

$10M

Previous: -$45M+122.2%
Gross Profit

$100M

Previous: $39M+156.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$33M

Previous: $38M-13.2%
Total Assets

$8.43B

Previous: $8.22B+2.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Ambac · Revenue · Quarterly

$103M

Q1 2024+77.6%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 13 of 13 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ambac · $14.6M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Insurance Distribution
    $14.6M+100.0%

Forward guidance

The strategic review of the Legacy Financial Guarantee Business is proceeding as planned. The company hopes to provide an update on the process on or before the 2nd quarter reporting.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

24 / 51 earnings

Positive

+23.0%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-19.9%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.7%+26.9%+24.9%
Q3 2025+15.6%+9.6%-3.7%
Q2 2025-15.9%-0.8%+9.8%
Q1 2025-19.9%-3.7%-18.6%
Q4 2024-10.8%-22.4%-25.8%
Q3 2024+11.0%+6.3%+13.9%
Q1 2024+23.0%+23.8%-5.9%
Q4 2023+1.6%-2.9%-6.2%
Q3 2023+7.2%+17.1%+19.9%
Q2 2023-5.1%-1.9%-8.3%
Q1 2023-3.1%-3.1%-7.1%
Q4 2022+5.4%+4.3%-7.3%
Q3 2022+0.7%+12.0%+21.7%
Q2 2022+15.5%+33.6%+31.3%
Q1 2022+6.2%+15.1%+51.7%
Q4 2021-6.5%-14.0%-38.3%
Q3 2021-4.0%-2.5%-7.9%
Q2 2021-3.7%-1.0%-3.7%
Q1 2021-11.4%-16.5%-9.2%
Q4 2020-1.1%+0.2%-1.2%
Q3 2020+12.2%+10.0%+36.8%
Q2 2020+2.5%+4.7%-3.5%
Q1 2020-16.4%-25.1%-15.3%
Q4 2019-1.6%-2.3%-40.8%
Q3 2019-0.1%-0.4%+1.3%
Q2 2019+0.1%+1.6%+1.8%
Q1 2019-8.5%-8.8%-20.0%
Q4 2018+3.6%+2.3%-7.9%
Q3 2018-10.1%-12.3%-22.3%
Q2 2018+5.8%+5.4%+2.0%
Q1 2018+8.3%+10.2%+17.5%
Q4 2017+0.1%-0.9%+3.4%
Q3 2017-13.9%-9.7%-3.2%
Q2 2017-0.5%-4.4%-10.7%
Q1 2017-5.6%-5.8%-7.1%
Q4 2016-0.5%+1.8%-15.4%
Q3 2016+9.8%+14.5%+35.6%
Q2 2016-4.1%-3.9%+1.3%
Q1 2016-1.2%
Q4 2015+9.0%
Q3 2015-6.2%
Q2 2015+14.4%
Q1 2015+6.4%
Q4 2014-0.9%
Q3 2014+5.8%
Q2 2014-2.4%
Q1 2014+0.5%
Q4 2013-0.2%
Q3 2013+7.3%
Q4 2012+7.3%
Q2 2013-1.4%
Q1 2013
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2011
Q1 2012
Q4 2010
Q4 2011
Q3 2010
Q3 2011
Q2 2010
Q2 2011
Q1 2010

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