NYSE$OSG

Octave Specialty Group Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders and an adjusted loss for the quarter ended March 31, 2020.

Ambac Financial Group reported a net loss of $280 million or $6.07 per diluted share and an adjusted loss of $265 million or $5.75 per diluted share for Q1 2020. The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the financial results, with lower interest rates and higher market risk premiums being primary drivers.

  • Net loss attributable to common stockholders was $280 million, or $6.07 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted loss was $265 million, or $5.75 per diluted share.
  • Net premiums earned were $10 million.
  • Net investment loss was $21 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

-$70M

Previous: $100M-169.7%
EPS (adj)

-$5.75

Previous: -$0.20-2775.0%
Net Income

-$280M

Previous: -$43.2M-548.1%
Operating Income

-$287M

Previous: $29.3M-1078.2%
Gross Profit

-$70M

Previous: $95.4M-173.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$58M

Previous: $21.8M+165.6%
Total Assets

$12.8B

Previous: $15B-14.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$3M

Previous: $4M-25.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Ambac · Revenue · Quarterly

-$70M

Q1 2020-169.7%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 7 of 16 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ambac · $14.6M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Insurance Distribution
    $14.6M+100.0%

Forward guidance

The depth and duration of this pandemic is unknown and Ambac has exposure to certain sectors that have been, and will continue to be, adversely impacted by the economic dislocation caused by COVID-19. Ambac is actively assessing both macro and idiosyncratic developments related to their insured portfolio and working to mitigate the overall financial impact on both their insured and investment portfolios.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

24 / 51 earnings

Positive

+23.0%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-19.9%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.7%+26.9%+24.9%
Q3 2025+15.6%+9.6%-3.7%
Q2 2025-15.9%-0.8%+9.8%
Q1 2025-19.9%-3.7%-18.6%
Q4 2024-10.8%-22.4%-25.8%
Q3 2024+11.0%+6.3%+13.9%
Q1 2024+23.0%+23.8%-5.9%
Q4 2023+1.6%-2.9%-6.2%
Q3 2023+7.2%+17.1%+19.9%
Q2 2023-5.1%-1.9%-8.3%
Q1 2023-3.1%-3.1%-7.1%
Q4 2022+5.4%+4.3%-7.3%
Q3 2022+0.7%+12.0%+21.7%
Q2 2022+15.5%+33.6%+31.3%
Q1 2022+6.2%+15.1%+51.7%
Q4 2021-6.5%-14.0%-38.3%
Q3 2021-4.0%-2.5%-7.9%
Q2 2021-3.7%-1.0%-3.7%
Q1 2021-11.4%-16.5%-9.2%
Q4 2020-1.1%+0.2%-1.2%
Q3 2020+12.2%+10.0%+36.8%
Q2 2020+2.5%+4.7%-3.5%
Q1 2020-16.4%-25.1%-15.3%
Q4 2019-1.6%-2.3%-40.8%
Q3 2019-0.1%-0.4%+1.3%
Q2 2019+0.1%+1.6%+1.8%
Q1 2019-8.5%-8.8%-20.0%
Q4 2018+3.6%+2.3%-7.9%
Q3 2018-10.1%-12.3%-22.3%
Q2 2018+5.8%+5.4%+2.0%
Q1 2018+8.3%+10.2%+17.5%
Q4 2017+0.1%-0.9%+3.4%
Q3 2017-13.9%-9.7%-3.2%
Q2 2017-0.5%-4.4%-10.7%
Q1 2017-5.6%-5.8%-7.1%
Q4 2016-0.5%+1.8%-15.4%
Q3 2016+9.8%+14.5%+35.6%
Q2 2016-4.1%-3.9%+1.3%
Q1 2016-1.2%
Q4 2015+9.0%
Q3 2015-6.2%
Q2 2015+14.4%
Q1 2015+6.4%
Q4 2014-0.9%
Q3 2014+5.8%
Q2 2014-2.4%
Q1 2014+0.5%
Q4 2013-0.2%
Q3 2013+7.3%
Q4 2012+7.3%
Q2 2013-1.4%
Q1 2013
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2011
Q1 2012
Q4 2010
Q4 2011
Q3 2010
Q3 2011
Q2 2010
Q2 2011
Q1 2010

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