NYSE$OSG

Octave Specialty Group Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported net income of $340 million and adjusted earnings of $338 million.

Ambac Financial Group reported a net income of $340 million and adjusted earnings of $338 million for Q3 2022, driven by a $319 million gain from a litigation settlement. The Specialty P&C Insurance Platform saw a 76% increase in production, reaching $58 million.

  • $319 million gain from $1.84 billion legacy RMBS representation and warranty litigation settlement
  • Specialty P&C Insurance Platform production of $58 million, up 76% from third quarter of 2021
  • Book Value and Adjusted Book Value per Share up 29% and 34%, respectively, from the prior quarter
  • Net income attributable to common stockholders of $340 million or $7.41 per diluted share

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$80M

Previous: $51M+56.9%
EPS (adj)

$7.37

Previous: $0.53+1290.6%
Free Cash Flow

$340M

Previous: $17M+1900.0%
Net Income

$340M

Previous: $17M+1900.0%
Operating Income

-$309M

Previous: $9M-3533.3%
Gross Profit

-$273M

Previous: $49M-657.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$29M

Previous: $14M+107.1%
Total Assets

$9.41B

Previous: $12.2B-23.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$3M

Previous: $4M-25.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Ambac · Revenue · Quarterly

$80M

Q3 2022+56.9%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 13 of 13 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ambac · $12.9M total across 2 segments · Q3 2022

  • Insurance Distribution
    $7.3M
  • Specialty P&C Insurance
    $5.6M

Forward guidance

Ambac is now in a materially stronger position to further advance its strategic priorities across both its Legacy and Core P&C Businesses.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.4%

Avg return

30 days after

47%

24 / 51 earnings

Positive

+23.0%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-19.9%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.7%+26.9%+24.9%
Q3 2025+15.6%+9.6%-3.7%
Q2 2025-15.9%-0.8%+9.8%
Q1 2025-19.9%-3.7%-18.6%
Q4 2024-10.8%-22.4%-25.8%
Q3 2024+11.0%+6.3%+13.9%
Q1 2024+23.0%+23.8%-5.9%
Q4 2023+1.6%-2.9%-6.2%
Q3 2023+7.2%+17.1%+19.9%
Q2 2023-5.1%-1.9%-8.3%
Q1 2023-3.1%-3.1%-7.1%
Q4 2022+5.4%+4.3%-7.3%
Q3 2022+0.7%+12.0%+21.7%
Q2 2022+15.5%+33.6%+31.3%
Q1 2022+6.2%+15.1%+51.7%
Q4 2021-6.5%-14.0%-38.3%
Q3 2021-4.0%-2.5%-7.9%
Q2 2021-3.7%-1.0%-3.7%
Q1 2021-11.4%-16.5%-9.2%
Q4 2020-1.1%+0.2%-1.2%
Q3 2020+12.2%+10.0%+36.8%
Q2 2020+2.5%+4.7%-3.5%
Q1 2020-16.4%-25.1%-15.3%
Q4 2019-1.6%-2.3%-40.8%
Q3 2019-0.1%-0.4%+1.3%
Q2 2019+0.1%+1.6%+1.8%
Q1 2019-8.5%-8.8%-20.0%
Q4 2018+3.6%+2.3%-7.9%
Q3 2018-10.1%-12.3%-22.3%
Q2 2018+5.8%+5.4%+2.0%
Q1 2018+8.3%+10.2%+17.5%
Q4 2017+0.1%-0.9%+3.4%
Q3 2017-13.9%-9.7%-3.2%
Q2 2017-0.5%-4.4%-10.7%
Q1 2017-5.6%-5.8%-7.1%
Q4 2016-0.5%+1.8%-15.4%
Q3 2016+9.8%+14.5%+35.6%
Q2 2016-4.1%-3.9%+1.3%
Q1 2016-1.2%
Q4 2015+9.0%
Q3 2015-6.2%
Q2 2015+14.4%
Q1 2015+6.4%
Q4 2014-0.9%
Q3 2014+5.8%
Q2 2014-2.4%
Q1 2014+0.5%
Q4 2013-0.2%
Q3 2013+7.3%
Q4 2012+7.3%
Q2 2013-1.4%
Q1 2013
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2011
Q1 2012
Q4 2010
Q4 2011
Q3 2010
Q3 2011
Q2 2010
Q2 2011
Q1 2010

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