NYSE$ORC
Orchid Island Ca · Q2 2023 earnings
Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Announced second quarter 2023 results, reporting net income of $10.2 million and declaring dividends of $0.48 per common share.
Orchid Island Capital reported a net income of $10.2 million, or $0.25 per common share, for the second quarter of 2023. The company increased its Agency RMBS portfolio and maintained a liquidity position of $204.1 million. They raised approximately $48 million of new capital in the second quarter and deployed the proceeds into higher coupon, low pay-up specified pools and hedged these positions predominantly with swaps.
- Net income was $10.2 million, or $0.25 per common share.
- Net realized and unrealized gains of $23.8 million on RMBS and derivative instruments.
- Dividends declared and paid were $0.48 per common share.
- Book value per common share was $11.16 at June 30, 2023.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Orchid Island · Revenue · Quarterly
-$8.76M
Forward guidance
The company anticipates current interest rate levels and curve shape are at or near the extremes they will experience for the cycle. They do not anticipate changes to their strategy other than possibly adding current income securities hedged with interest rate swaps to increase net interest income.
Tailwinds
- FDIC liquidation sales of Agency RMBS seized from failed banks have gone well and are nearing an end, far sooner than originally anticipated.
- Anticipate current interest rate levels and curve shape are at or near the extremes we will experience for the cycle.
- Possibly adding current income securities hedged with interest rate swaps to increase our net interest income, assuming we can add additional capital at attractive levels.
- Continue to hold lower coupon bias securities as we believe these securities still offer superior total return potential over new origination, higher coupon securities.
- Hedge positions allow us to earn approximately 100 basis points of marginal net interest income on the new securities.
Headwinds
- Market expectations were now in sync with Fed rhetoric that funding rates would be higher and for far longer than previously expected.
- These developments were not good for the Agency RMBS market as the spread between the Agency RMBS current coupon and the 5-year U.S. Treasury reached approximately 187.5 bps on May 26, 2023.
- Markets and the Fed are closely focused on incoming economic data as it pertains to inflation and the labor markets.
- Market performance – for all asset classes – will likely be dominated by these developments and their implications for monetary policy going forward.
- Challenging for levered Agency RMBS investors.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023
-1.0%
Avg return
Earnings day
-2.1%
Avg return
5 days after
-3.7%
Avg return
30 days after
44%
25 / 57 earnings
Positive
+7.5%
Q4 2023
Best reaction
-12.4%
Q4 2016
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +3.2% | +2.8% | -1.2% | |
| Q4 2025 | -5.7% | -7.4% | -10.0% | |
| Q3 2025 | +2.7% | -0.5% | -3.2% | |
| Q2 2025 | +1.2% | -2.1% | -2.3% | |
| Q1 2025 | +5.1% | +3.2% | -0.1% | |
| Q3 2024 | +1.4% | +0.9% | -1.4% | |
| Q2 2024 | +1.3% | +3.1% | +4.5% | |
| Q1 2024 | +1.0% | -3.5% | -0.7% | |
| Q4 2023 | +7.5% | +3.4% | +8.5% | |
| Q3 2023 | -1.3% | +2.6% | +20.8% | |
| Q2 2023 | -4.0% | -6.1% | -14.5% | |
| Q1 2023 | -1.8% | -12.8% | -7.5% | |
| Q4 2022 | +1.7% | -0.6% | -8.9% | |
| Q3 2022 | -0.1% | +0.2% | +8.0% | |
| Q2 2022 | -1.9% | -1.9% | -19.9% | |
| Q1 2022 | -4.1% | +2.4% | +5.2% | |
| Q4 2021 | -4.8% | -11.2% | -5.9% | |
| Q3 2021 | -1.2% | -1.2% | -4.4% | |
| Q2 2021 | -3.1% | -4.1% | +0.2% | |
| Q1 2021 | -1.4% | -1.8% | -2.0% | |
| Q4 2020 | -2.1% | -1.0% | +2.4% | |
| Q3 2020 | +1.2% | +3.3% | +6.8% | |
| Q2 2020 | +1.2% | -2.2% | +1.4% | |
| Q1 2020 | -5.1% | -6.8% | +2.0% | |
| Q4 2019 | +3.2% | -2.2% | -59.4% | |
| Q3 2019 | -4.1% | -3.8% | -2.9% | |
| Q2 2019 | +0.6% | +0.6% | -13.0% | |
| Q1 2019 | -1.0% | -4.6% | -4.9% | |
| Q4 2018 | -0.6% | -1.1% | -3.8% | |
| Q3 2018 | -3.8% | -6.9% | -2.2% | |
| Q2 2018 | -2.1% | -1.9% | -4.0% | |
| Q1 2018 | -2.9% | -6.6% | -1.9% | |
| Q4 2017 | -2.7% | +1.4% | -2.7% | |
| Q3 2017 | +2.7% | -0.9% | -1.6% | |
| Q2 2017 | +1.7% | +0.5% | +2.4% | |
| Q1 2017 | -3.8% | -2.6% | -8.3% | |
| Q4 2016 | -12.4% | -17.5% | -18.8% | |
| Q3 2016 | +3.3% | +3.8% | +2.9% | |
| Q2 2016 | +1.1% | +1.3% | -3.4% | |
| Q1 2016 | -10.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +3.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -10.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +3.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -6.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +0.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +1.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +1.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +0.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -1.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -3.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -3.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | — | — | — |
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