NYSE$ORC

Orchid Island Ca · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Orchid Island Capital reported a net loss for Q1 2021, driven by net realized and unrealized losses on RMBS and derivative instruments, while net interest income provided a positive contribution.

Orchid Island Capital reported a net loss of $29.4 million, or $0.34 per common share, for the first quarter of 2021. The results were impacted by net realized and unrealized losses on RMBS and derivative instruments, although net interest income contributed positively. The company's book value per common share stood at $4.94 at the end of the quarter.

  • Net loss of $29.4 million, or $0.34 per common share, was reported.
  • Net interest income was $24.9 million, or $0.29 per common share.
  • Net realized and unrealized losses on RMBS and derivative instruments totaled $50.8 million, or $0.60 per common share.
  • Book value per common share was $4.94 at March 31, 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$24.9M

Previous: $19.1M+30.1%
EPS (adj)

-$1.70

Previous: -$7.05+75.9%
Constant prepayment rate

12.0%

Previous: 11.9%+0.8%
Leverage ratio

9.1

Previous: 9.3-2.2%
Avg. yield on RMBS

2.7%

Previous: 4.4%-39.0%
Avg. cost of funds

0.2%

Previous: 2.1%-90.5%
Interest rate spread

2.5%

Previous: 2.3%+9.3%
Net Income

-$29.4M

Previous: -$91.2M+67.8%
Operating Income

-$3.49M

Previous: -$89.1M+96.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$329M

Previous: $201M+63.1%
Total Assets

$4.93B

Previous: $3.16B+55.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Orchid Island · Revenue · Quarterly

$24.9M

Q1 2021+30.1%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Orchid Island Capital anticipates that the portfolio should continue to generate attractive yields, barring another episode of extreme market volatility.

Tailwinds

  • The portfolio's low-coupon bias has increased.
  • The concentration in higher quality specified pools has decreased.
  • The combination of higher rates/lower dollar prices and the reduction in higher quality specified pools lowered the weighted average price of the portfolio by 2.8 basis points.
  • The company expects these developments to lead to lower premium amortization rates going forward.
  • The company believes that the current portfolio construction should perform well in the current, higher rate environment.

Headwinds

  • The substantial move in the market and the increase in rates during the first quarter of 2021 negatively impacted the company's book value.
  • The company repositioned hedge positions and eliminated lower coupon dollar roll positions pending a stabilization in rates.
  • The company recorded net realized and unrealized losses of $0.60 per share on Agency RMBS assets and derivative instruments
  • As interest rates increased over the course of the first quarter, mark to market gains on hedging instruments were offset by mark to market losses on Agency RMBS assets.
  • Net portfolio loss was $(25,876) thousands.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-3.7%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

25 / 57 earnings

Positive

+7.5%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-12.4%

Q4 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.2%+2.8%-1.2%
Q4 2025-5.7%-7.4%-10.0%
Q3 2025+2.7%-0.5%-3.2%
Q2 2025+1.2%-2.1%-2.3%
Q1 2025+5.1%+3.2%-0.1%
Q3 2024+1.4%+0.9%-1.4%
Q2 2024+1.3%+3.1%+4.5%
Q1 2024+1.0%-3.5%-0.7%
Q4 2023+7.5%+3.4%+8.5%
Q3 2023-1.3%+2.6%+20.8%
Q2 2023-4.0%-6.1%-14.5%
Q1 2023-1.8%-12.8%-7.5%
Q4 2022+1.7%-0.6%-8.9%
Q3 2022-0.1%+0.2%+8.0%
Q2 2022-1.9%-1.9%-19.9%
Q1 2022-4.1%+2.4%+5.2%
Q4 2021-4.8%-11.2%-5.9%
Q3 2021-1.2%-1.2%-4.4%
Q2 2021-3.1%-4.1%+0.2%
Q1 2021-1.4%-1.8%-2.0%
Q4 2020-2.1%-1.0%+2.4%
Q3 2020+1.2%+3.3%+6.8%
Q2 2020+1.2%-2.2%+1.4%
Q1 2020-5.1%-6.8%+2.0%
Q4 2019+3.2%-2.2%-59.4%
Q3 2019-4.1%-3.8%-2.9%
Q2 2019+0.6%+0.6%-13.0%
Q1 2019-1.0%-4.6%-4.9%
Q4 2018-0.6%-1.1%-3.8%
Q3 2018-3.8%-6.9%-2.2%
Q2 2018-2.1%-1.9%-4.0%
Q1 2018-2.9%-6.6%-1.9%
Q4 2017-2.7%+1.4%-2.7%
Q3 2017+2.7%-0.9%-1.6%
Q2 2017+1.7%+0.5%+2.4%
Q1 2017-3.8%-2.6%-8.3%
Q4 2016-12.4%-17.5%-18.8%
Q3 2016+3.3%+3.8%+2.9%
Q2 2016+1.1%+1.3%-3.4%
Q1 2016-10.6%
Q4 2015+3.0%
Q3 2015-10.4%
Q2 2015+3.7%
Q1 2015-0.4%
Q4 2014-6.5%
Q3 2014+0.1%
Q2 2014-0.3%
Q1 2014+1.5%
Q4 2013+1.8%
Q3 2013-0.9%
Q3 2012-0.9%
Q2 2012+0.9%
Q2 2013-1.1%
Q1 2013+0.2%
Q1 2012+0.2%
Q4 2011-3.3%
Q4 2012-3.3%
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro