NYSE$ORC
Orchid Island Ca · Q2 2022 earnings
Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Orchid Island Capital reported a net loss for Q2 2022 due to losses on RMBS and derivative instruments, but sees potential for outperformance in Agency RMBS due to wide spreads and favorable convexity.
Orchid Island Capital reported a net loss of $60.1 million for the second quarter of 2022, driven by net realized and unrealized losses of $82.3 million on RMBS and derivative instruments. Despite the loss, the company believes its portfolio is well-positioned for the second half of 2022 due to favorable convexity and the potential for outperformance in Agency RMBS.
- Net loss of $60.1 million, or $0.34 per common share
- Net interest income of $27.1 million, or $0.15 per common share
- Second quarter total dividends declared and paid of $0.135 per common share
- Book value per common share of $2.87 at June 30, 2022
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Orchid Island · Revenue · Quarterly
$27.1M
Forward guidance
Company expects the Fed to continue to raise the Fed Funds rate and tighten financial conditions until inflation appears to moderate sufficiently.
Tailwinds
- Lack of any credit risk in the Agency RMBS market should lead to relative outperformance for the sector given the very wide spreads available currently.
- Orchid’s existing portfolio of discount securities retains very favorable convexity, particularly in a decreasing rate environment.
- The duration, or rate sensitivity, of the securities should not decline materially if rates were to decrease.
- Agency RMBS have performed very well so far in the third quarter.
- Agency RMBS have reversed most of the widening that occurred in June of 2022.
Headwinds
- Increases in the Fed Funds rate are likely to affect economic activity, and the Fed has acknowledged their actions may lead to a recession.
- Sectors of the economy most sensitive to interest rates – such as housing – have already started to slow and other economic indicators have shown evidence of slowing as well.
- The manufacturing sector of the economy has clearly begun to slow.
- The labor market also has been impacted, as evidenced by initial claims for unemployment in July of 2022 rising by approximately 94,000 above the cycle low reading reported in early March of 2022.
- The market expects the Fed to continuing raising the Fed Funds rate by another 100 basis points by year-end.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022
-1.0%
Avg return
Earnings day
-2.1%
Avg return
5 days after
-3.7%
Avg return
30 days after
44%
25 / 57 earnings
Positive
+7.5%
Q4 2023
Best reaction
-12.4%
Q4 2016
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +3.2% | +2.8% | -1.2% | |
| Q4 2025 | -5.7% | -7.4% | -10.0% | |
| Q3 2025 | +2.7% | -0.5% | -3.2% | |
| Q2 2025 | +1.2% | -2.1% | -2.3% | |
| Q1 2025 | +5.1% | +3.2% | -0.1% | |
| Q3 2024 | +1.4% | +0.9% | -1.4% | |
| Q2 2024 | +1.3% | +3.1% | +4.5% | |
| Q1 2024 | +1.0% | -3.5% | -0.7% | |
| Q4 2023 | +7.5% | +3.4% | +8.5% | |
| Q3 2023 | -1.3% | +2.6% | +20.8% | |
| Q2 2023 | -4.0% | -6.1% | -14.5% | |
| Q1 2023 | -1.8% | -12.8% | -7.5% | |
| Q4 2022 | +1.7% | -0.6% | -8.9% | |
| Q3 2022 | -0.1% | +0.2% | +8.0% | |
| Q2 2022 | -1.9% | -1.9% | -19.9% | |
| Q1 2022 | -4.1% | +2.4% | +5.2% | |
| Q4 2021 | -4.8% | -11.2% | -5.9% | |
| Q3 2021 | -1.2% | -1.2% | -4.4% | |
| Q2 2021 | -3.1% | -4.1% | +0.2% | |
| Q1 2021 | -1.4% | -1.8% | -2.0% | |
| Q4 2020 | -2.1% | -1.0% | +2.4% | |
| Q3 2020 | +1.2% | +3.3% | +6.8% | |
| Q2 2020 | +1.2% | -2.2% | +1.4% | |
| Q1 2020 | -5.1% | -6.8% | +2.0% | |
| Q4 2019 | +3.2% | -2.2% | -59.4% | |
| Q3 2019 | -4.1% | -3.8% | -2.9% | |
| Q2 2019 | +0.6% | +0.6% | -13.0% | |
| Q1 2019 | -1.0% | -4.6% | -4.9% | |
| Q4 2018 | -0.6% | -1.1% | -3.8% | |
| Q3 2018 | -3.8% | -6.9% | -2.2% | |
| Q2 2018 | -2.1% | -1.9% | -4.0% | |
| Q1 2018 | -2.9% | -6.6% | -1.9% | |
| Q4 2017 | -2.7% | +1.4% | -2.7% | |
| Q3 2017 | +2.7% | -0.9% | -1.6% | |
| Q2 2017 | +1.7% | +0.5% | +2.4% | |
| Q1 2017 | -3.8% | -2.6% | -8.3% | |
| Q4 2016 | -12.4% | -17.5% | -18.8% | |
| Q3 2016 | +3.3% | +3.8% | +2.9% | |
| Q2 2016 | +1.1% | +1.3% | -3.4% | |
| Q1 2016 | -10.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +3.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -10.4% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +3.7% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | -0.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | -6.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | +0.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -0.3% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +1.5% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +1.8% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -0.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +0.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | -1.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -3.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | -3.3% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | — | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | — | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | — | — | — |
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