NYSE$NSA

National Storage Affiliates Trust · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

NSA's financial performance for Q4 2019 was reported, showing an increase in net income and Core FFO per share, alongside the announcement of SecurCare's internalization.

National Storage Affiliates Trust reported a net income of $18.8 million for Q4 2019, a 30% increase compared to Q4 2018. Core FFO was $36.8 million, or $0.40 per share, an 8.1% increase per share year-over-year. Same store NOI grew by 3.8%, driven by a 2.8% increase in same store total revenues.

  • Net income increased by 30.0% to $18.8 million compared to the fourth quarter of 2018.
  • Core FFO increased by 8.1% per share to $0.40 for the fourth quarter of 2019, compared to the fourth quarter of 2018.
  • Same store NOI grew by 3.8% compared to the same period in 2018.
  • Seven wholly-owned self storage properties were acquired for $32.2 million during the fourth quarter of 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$101M

Previous: $89.3M+12.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.40

Previous: $0.37+8.1%
Period-End Occupancy

87.3%

Previous: 87.4%-0.1%
Average Occupancy

88.2%

No prior period
Avg Rental Revenue per SqFt

$12.14

Previous: $11.83+2.6%
Net Income

$18.8M

Previous: -$6.64M+383.7%
Operating Income

$33.9M

Previous: $28.9M+17.5%
Gross Profit

$72.9M

Previous: $62.4M+16.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$20.6M

Previous: $13.2M+56.0%
Total Assets

$3.08B

Previous: $2.73B+13.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.15M

Previous: $1.03M+12.1%

Revenue & EPS history

NSA · Revenue · Quarterly

$101M

Q4 2019+12.6%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 4 of 16 quarters(25%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

NSA · $101M total across 3 segments · Q4 2019

  • Rental Revenue
    $92.1M
  • Management Fees and Other
    $5.35M
  • Other Property-Related
    $3.13M

Forward guidance

The Company's outlook for 2020 incorporates the effect of the SecurCare internalization assuming an effective date of April 1, 2020, which is expected to be accretive to Core FFO per share by approximately $0.03 in 2020, or $0.04 - $0.05 on an annualized basis.

Tailwinds

  • Core FFO per share between $1.64 and $1.68
  • Total revenue growth between 2.25% and 3.25%
  • NOI growth between 2.0% and 3.0%
  • Management fees and other revenue between $21.0 million and $23.0 million
  • Core FFO from unconsolidated real estate ventures between $15.0 million and $16.0 million

Headwinds

  • Property operating expenses growth between 3.0% and 4.0%
  • General and administrative expenses between $41.0 and $43.0 million (excluding equity-based compensation)
  • Equity-based compensation between $4.5 and $5.0 million
  • Subordinated performance unit distributions between $28.0 million and $30.0 million
  • Wholly-owned acquisitions between $400.0 million and $600.0 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

21 / 44 earnings

Positive

+5.6%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-12.0%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.7%+5.0%+3.2%
Q4 2025+0.4%+0.6%+7.9%
Q3 2025+2.8%+5.5%+1.8%
Q1 2025-4.8%-3.0%-11.4%
Q4 2024+2.0%-0.5%+1.3%
Q3 2024-0.8%-1.2%+6.1%
Q2 2024-1.6%+0.5%+8.3%
Q1 2024+1.9%+4.1%+4.4%
Q4 2023+0.6%+3.1%+10.0%
Q3 2023+3.8%+5.7%+21.2%
Q2 2023-1.4%+0.0%+4.0%
Q1 2023-4.7%-1.5%-5.0%
Q4 2022+2.1%+7.7%-2.3%
Q3 2022-12.0%-11.9%-8.0%
Q2 2022-1.0%+1.8%-5.0%
Q1 2022-0.4%-10.1%-7.1%
Q4 2021-1.5%+3.3%+5.1%
Q3 2021+0.6%-1.1%+0.2%
Q2 2021+0.7%+0.2%+7.7%
Q1 2021+0.9%+2.2%+6.0%
Q4 2020+5.6%+2.2%+4.7%
Q3 2020-2.0%+1.2%-3.1%
Q2 2020+4.6%+3.8%+7.7%
Q1 2020-10.8%-17.4%+7.3%
Q4 2019+0.6%-7.9%-35.1%
Q3 2019-2.8%-5.8%-4.7%
Q2 2019+0.6%+1.0%+10.5%
Q1 2019+1.8%+0.1%+0.6%
Q4 2018-1.4%+0.2%-0.0%
Q3 2018-3.6%+0.3%+5.0%
Q2 2018-2.2%-1.2%-2.9%
Q1 2018-0.2%+2.0%+6.4%
Q4 2017-0.4%+1.1%+2.7%
Q3 2017+3.0%+2.1%+5.3%
Q2 2017-5.7%-3.3%-2.3%
Q1 2017-1.7%+0.1%+2.9%
Q4 2016+1.2%+3.1%-1.0%
Q3 2016-0.3%+3.4%+2.8%
Q2 2016+3.7%+4.5%+5.1%
Q1 2016-1.7%
Q4 2015+5.3%
Q3 2015-1.6%
Q2 2015+0.3%
Q1 2015-1.9%
Q4 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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