NYSE$NSA

National Storage Affiliates Trust · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

National Storage Affiliates Trust reported third quarter 2020 results.

National Storage Affiliates Trust reported a net income of $21.4 million for the third quarter of 2020, a 29.7% increase compared to the third quarter of 2019. Core FFO was $44.0 million, or $0.44 per share, a 10.0% increase per share compared to the third quarter of 2019. Same store NOI increased by 0.2%, driven by a 0.4% decrease in same store property operating expenses.

  • Net income increased by 29.7% compared to the third quarter of 2019, reaching $21.4 million.
  • Core FFO increased by 10.0% per share compared to the third quarter of 2019, amounting to $44.0 million, or $0.44 per share.
  • Same store NOI increased by 0.2% compared to the same period in 2019, driven by a 0.4% decrease in same store property operating expenses.
  • Same store period-end occupancy reached 91.9% as of September 30, 2020, a 260 basis points increase compared to September 30, 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$109M

Previous: $101M+8.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.44

Previous: $0.40+10.0%
Period-End Occupancy

91.9%

Previous: 89.3%+2.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$273M

Previous: -$349M+21.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$259M

Previous: -$358M+27.5%
Net Income

$13.5M

Previous: -$8.86M+252.2%
Operating Income

$37.1M

Previous: $3.72M+896.3%
Gross Profit

$77.9M

Previous: $72.3M+7.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$16.8M

Previous: $44.7M-62.5%
Total Assets

$3.28B

Previous: $3.11B+5.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.18M

Previous: $1.15M+2.6%

Revenue & EPS history

NSA · Revenue · Quarterly

$109M

Q3 2020+8%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 6 of 16 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

NSA · $109M total across 3 segments · Q3 2020

  • Rental Revenue
    $99.7M
  • Management Fees and Other
    $5.9M
  • Other Property-Related
    $3.88M

Forward guidance

NSA now believes that it will end the year with Core FFO per share of $1.66 to $1.68, with the midpoint being up 8.4% above 2019.

Tailwinds

  • Core FFO per share is expected to be between $1.66 and $1.68.
  • Total revenue growth is projected to be between 0.75% and 1.25%.
  • Property operating expenses growth is estimated to be between 1.5% and 2.0%.
  • NOI growth is expected to be between 0.25% and 1.00%.
  • Management fees and other revenue are projected to be between $22.0 million and $23.0 million.

Headwinds

  • General and administrative expenses (excluding equity-based compensation) are expected to be between $38.5 million and $39.5 million.
  • Equity-based compensation is projected to be between $4.0 million and $4.5 million.
  • Core FFO from unconsolidated real estate ventures is expected to be between $14.5 million and $15.5 million.
  • Subordinated performance unit distributions are projected to be between $28.5 million and $29.5 million.
  • Wholly-owned acquisitions are expected to be between $400.0 million and $500.0 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

21 / 44 earnings

Positive

+5.6%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-12.0%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.7%+5.0%+3.2%
Q4 2025+0.4%+0.6%+7.9%
Q3 2025+2.8%+5.5%+1.8%
Q1 2025-4.8%-3.0%-11.4%
Q4 2024+2.0%-0.5%+1.3%
Q3 2024-0.8%-1.2%+6.1%
Q2 2024-1.6%+0.5%+8.3%
Q1 2024+1.9%+4.1%+4.4%
Q4 2023+0.6%+3.1%+10.0%
Q3 2023+3.8%+5.7%+21.2%
Q2 2023-1.4%+0.0%+4.0%
Q1 2023-4.7%-1.5%-5.0%
Q4 2022+2.1%+7.7%-2.3%
Q3 2022-12.0%-11.9%-8.0%
Q2 2022-1.0%+1.8%-5.0%
Q1 2022-0.4%-10.1%-7.1%
Q4 2021-1.5%+3.3%+5.1%
Q3 2021+0.6%-1.1%+0.2%
Q2 2021+0.7%+0.2%+7.7%
Q1 2021+0.9%+2.2%+6.0%
Q4 2020+5.6%+2.2%+4.7%
Q3 2020-2.0%+1.2%-3.1%
Q2 2020+4.6%+3.8%+7.7%
Q1 2020-10.8%-17.4%+7.3%
Q4 2019+0.6%-7.9%-35.1%
Q3 2019-2.8%-5.8%-4.7%
Q2 2019+0.6%+1.0%+10.5%
Q1 2019+1.8%+0.1%+0.6%
Q4 2018-1.4%+0.2%-0.0%
Q3 2018-3.6%+0.3%+5.0%
Q2 2018-2.2%-1.2%-2.9%
Q1 2018-0.2%+2.0%+6.4%
Q4 2017-0.4%+1.1%+2.7%
Q3 2017+3.0%+2.1%+5.3%
Q2 2017-5.7%-3.3%-2.3%
Q1 2017-1.7%+0.1%+2.9%
Q4 2016+1.2%+3.1%-1.0%
Q3 2016-0.3%+3.4%+2.8%
Q2 2016+3.7%+4.5%+5.1%
Q1 2016-1.7%
Q4 2015+5.3%
Q3 2015-1.6%
Q2 2015+0.3%
Q1 2015-1.9%
Q4 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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