NYSE$LMND

Lemonade Inc. · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lemonade experienced strong growth and improved unit economics, in-force premium doubled, gross profit increased 83%, and net loss per dollar of gross earned premium halved.

Lemonade's Q3 2020 showed stronger growth than anticipated with sustained improvements in unit economics. In force premium doubled year-on-year, while gross profit increased 83%, adjusted gross profit grew 138%, and net loss per dollar of gross earned premium halved.

  • In force premium increased by 99% year-over-year to $188.9 million.
  • Customer count increased by 67% year-over-year to 941,313.
  • Gross loss ratio improved from 78% to 72% year-over-year.
  • Launched pet health insurance with compelling cross-sell dynamics.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$17.8M

Previous: $23.5M-24.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.57

Previous: -$0.75+24.0%
In-Force Premium

$189M

Previous: $94.9M+99.1%
Customers

941.3K

Previous: 562.0K+67.5%
Premium per Customer

$201.00

Previous: $169.00+18.9%
Gross Earned Premium

$42.9M

Previous: $21M+104.3%
Gross Loss Ratio

72.0%

Previous: 78.0%-7.7%
Net Loss Ratio

72.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$3.1M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$34M

No prior period
Net Income

-$30.9M

Previous: -$31.1M+0.6%
Operating Income

-$22.8M

Previous: -$18.4M-23.9%
Gross Profit

$17.8M

Previous: $19M-6.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$597M

No prior period
Total Assets

$832M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$2.7M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Lemonade · Revenue · Quarterly

$17.8M

Q3 2020-24.3%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 9 of 9 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Lemonade provided guidance for Q4 2020 and full year 2020.

Tailwinds

  • In force premium at December 31 of $200 - $205 million
  • Gross earned premium of $46 - $48 million
  • Revenue of $18 - $19 million

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA loss of ($34) - ($32) million
  • Stock-based compensation expense of approximately $3 million
  • Capital expenditures of approximately $1 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+3.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+10.5%

Avg return

30 days after

44%

11 / 25 earnings

Positive

+57.5%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-25.2%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.7%-13.6%-11.5%
Q4 2025-6.1%-20.6%-2.4%
Q3 2025+34.3%+34.5%+34.6%
Q1 2025+0.8%+3.6%+19.2%
Q4 2024+12.6%+18.5%+3.1%
Q3 2024+28.8%+33.6%+176.3%
Q2 2024-23.6%-26.6%-18.1%
Q1 2024+3.0%+4.1%-4.2%
Q4 2023-25.2%-20.6%-24.4%
Q3 2023+57.5%+53.1%+66.4%
Q2 2023-22.4%-26.8%-36.3%
Q1 2023+32.0%+47.8%+64.1%
Q4 2022-2.9%-0.7%-21.1%
Q3 2022+11.2%+13.7%-7.3%
Q2 2022+14.1%+27.5%-3.2%
Q1 2022-6.7%+13.7%+3.5%
Q4 2021+2.3%+5.8%+12.7%
Q3 2021-10.8%-9.3%-34.0%
Q2 2021-10.0%-7.6%-14.0%
Q1 2021-12.4%-1.9%+43.8%
Q1 2020-12.4%-1.9%+43.8%
Q4 2020-22.2%-29.8%-27.8%
Q3 2020-15.0%-1.0%+38.9%
Q2 2020-5.6%-2.0%-20.1%
Q4 2019-5.6%-2.0%-20.1%
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q4 2018
Q3 2018
Q2 2018

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